On the EU, yes there are different requests from different member states for safeguards. Yes, this will need to be negotiated, sorted out. Yes, the EU will probably carry on importing energy from Russia and there will no doubt be other exemptions. But...-1-
if you think they won't agree a broad package, along the lines of what the Commission/EEAS proposes, agreed in principle tonight and hammered out over next days, then I'd suggest you haven't been watching how the EU has moved this week. -2-
And never lose sight of the fact that while Washington and Europe have worked closely together, the US has massive leverage to force Europe's hands over sanctions. Iran is a reminder of that. European leaders finally learned that lesson after 2018.-3-
That doesn't of course mean that the EU will probably take longer than US, U.K., to take next steps. Nor that they will put everything else on the table tonight. There are clear divisions about that & they need all 27 to agree. But all suggests the decisions will come. -4-
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