About Darvas :
In the late 1950s, Nicolas Darvas was one half of the highest paid dance team in show business.
Darvas turned a $36,000 investment into more than $2.25 million in a three-year period.
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It was on a two-year tour of the world that he initially developed his ‘Darvas Box’ method of screening stocks – a method of picking stocks based on the stock’s price and volume .
Trading Style :
TREND FOLLOWING MOMENTUM TRADING
📌Darvas was tracking stocks only making new high
Trading stocks breaking 2-3 year high.
📌But 52-week high is mostly tracked for this theory
📌Emphasized very much on Huge volume Breakouts
A typical Darvas Box Chart : 3/n
Rules to Follow :
Stock Price Should be within 15 to 20 % of Highs
Overall trend of the stocks should be up and greater than 200 ema
Preferably 100% up then the 52 week low
Look for Industry Leaders , with High Growth
4/n
How to Trade ?
📌Whenever the stocks breaks the 52 week Keep them on watchlist
📌Look that The next 3 candles should not break the 52 week high and fall below
📌The high point will be called as CEILING
📌Look for Volume Breakout too or Breakout should be Above Average volume 5/n
Floor: Stoploss
📌Floor is basically the a small reversal point or bottom the stock is trying to make.
📌Floor is generally the stoploss of the trade
📌The bigger the range the bigger the stoploss and higher the Risk 6/n
Example : #GREENPANEL
After 52 week High , mark the Top: Ceiling
After a small Reversal mark the Bottom : Floor
Enter As soon as the 52 week high breaks with stoploss 7/n
#RADICO#MANINFRA
✅Enter When 52 Week High is Broken , and Keep Adding as and when the box formation takes place .
🛑Keep Shifting the stoploss to next Box lows 8/n
PIC 1:
Entry on failed Breakout but Stops Dont hit as Stoploss is below the Box
PIC 2 : You should only draw boxes when the next 3 candles of 52 week high dont break the high.
9/n
Parameters checked : #MINDAIND #kotakbank : Not valid Box , as stock is not breaking the 52 week high only the range breakout is happening
Also Restrict yourself to growth stocks that is midcaps and smallcaps 10/n
Time and % Differece of boxes :
There isnt any fixed % of difference from ceiling to floor mentioned any where
There also isnt any time frame mentioned how much the sideways trend or box formatiom will take place
There could be any combinations of boxes and there sizes 11/n
Short Ranges : IRCTC
Long Consolidation : BIRLASOFT
Short Range , Short Time : JINDWORLD 12/n
Trailing Stop and Pyramiding 1. Buy if price closes above Ceiling and put a stop-loss below Floor price. 2. Add Small Qtys as breakout happens and one can pyramid in winners and further breakouts 3. Ride the winner till you get Stopped 4. Reenter if stock regains 52 wk high 13/
3. After the breakout of the box, if price moves higher and forms another box, then trail stop-loss to the Floor price of the newly formed box and keep trailing on each subsequent floor.
4.Exit the trade when price goes below the floor price of the recent box. @AmitabhJha3
14/n
STOCK FUNDAMENTALS
Buy companies whose growth & earnings prospects look highly promising
Overall Market trend should be bullish
Stocks should be outperforming the general Market and should be leader
Breakout should be always on higher volume
Prefer Midcaps and Smallcaps
15/n
1. Avoid Stocks Below 200 ema 2. Sell Stocks in Stage 4 Down Trend 3. Dont Trade Stocks that are moving in Circuits 4. Avoid News based Trading
A thread With examples
Retweet to Educate
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A Study Shows that 90% of the winning Stocks stay above 200 ema before a big Advancing Phase
1. Simply Not Holding or Buying Stocks below 200 ema Saves a lot of time and Money. 2. You can looses opportunity Cost if you buy stocks below 200 ema. 3. TimeFrame: Daily 200 ema
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B. Sell Stocks in Stage 4 Down Trend
1. Stocks Exhibiting this are in complete Bear Grip 2. The 30 week ema acts as reference for stage analysis 3. These Stocks can be short sold on pullback to 30wema 4. Happens after Topping Phase 5. TimeFrame : Weekly , 30 Week Ema
What is Breakout ?
A breakout is a stock price moving outside a defined support or resistance level with increased volume.
Always trade breakouts in uptrend for high win ratios
Retweet and Share :) 1/n Source : Google
What to Look before entering a breakout ?
Look for Volume Spikes on Up days and Down Volume on down days.
Simply Volume Should Dry during Pullbacks
This is a sign of Accumulation by Bigger Sharks.
As they buy in huge quantities they have to buy in parts to avoid price spikes 2/n
They dont only buy on Uptrend but continue holding during pullbacks for bigger gains .
Important thing is pullbacks should always have less volumes . 3/n
SuperTrend :
It is TrendFollowing Indicator That generates Buy / Sell signals based on the ATR value or volatility of the stock
Supertrend also works as a trailing stop-loss for the existing trades Best on daily time frame 2/n
Supertrend Conditions
Works Best on 10 , 3 settings
One can try and backtest on 10 ,2 at own also !
Doesnt Work well in Sideways Zone as it is trend following indicator
Trend Analysis using moving averages !
A mega thread to understand the Use of 21 , 50 and 200 ema.
4 Effective uses of Exponential Moving Averages !
Which can Help you avoid Big Losses