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Peter Zeihan Profile picture
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Feb 28 • 3 tweets • 1 min read
As the Russians move in more forces, it is getting more difficult to get information out.

1/ "Russian soldiers, go fuck yourself" has become the de facto Ukrainian national motto.

2/ Russia still hasn't captured any major city, but...
wsj.com/articles/kyiv-…
3/ ...the additional Russian forces are having the expected impact. It appears the second big Russia thrust - west from the secessionist enclaves too Crimea - was successful. Russia can now pour its entire army into its push for Odessa. Also,
4/ 4/ Russia has clearly secure a major bridge over the Dneiper. The Ukrainians always faced a tough war, but they are now losing potential supply routes for materiel.

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More from @PeterZeihan

Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Mar 1
Here's one of many snapshots of that 40 mile long traffic jam of Russian heavy equipment. Some thoughts:

First, it'll take longer for it to get where its going than you think. This isn't the Canadian trucker convoy where they could stop for fuel as they goal...

1/ Image
They have to bring their own. 40 MILES of vehicles will move vvvvvvvvvveeeeeerrrrrrrrrrrryyyyyyyyyy sssssssssssslllllllllllooooooooooowwwwwwwwwwllllllllllllyyyy. Military vehicles like tanks get about 1 mile per gallon. They'll likely all run out of fuel multiple times.

2/
And the convoy is so long and moving so slow that every time one vehicle stops, EVERY VEHICLE BEHIND IT MUST STOP AS WELL. I can explain away much of what has gone wrong for Russia in the war to date as it simply being the first week...

3/
Read 5 tweets
Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Feb 27
Lots here. General update:

1/ The Russian advanced into #Kharkiv, up in northeast #Ukraine and hard on the Russian border, was chopped to bits
wsj.com/articles/ukrai…
2/ Ukraine is forming an international branch of their "military "which will make it much easier for anyone in the world and wants to come and join the fight to do so
3/ #Kiev again repulsed a Russian assault. Once Russian armor was dispatched, Kiev spent the night purging itself of Russian foot soldiers
4/ Russian armor is flowing in from #Belarus on multiple vectors, with the intent of hitting Kiev from multiple directions
Read 5 tweets
Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Feb 26
DW dumped everything they had into a single article. In no particular order.
1/ The French have started seizing Russian cargo ships on the high seas. That's kinda badass. Very pre-WWI.
dw.com/en/ukraine-hea…
2/ Heavy fighting near Mariupol. Russian forces are pushing out of those eastern secessionist enclaves with the goal of linking up with Crimea.
3/ Facebook decided that while they are fine posting xenophobic and genocidal propaganda from China, actual war propaganda is a step too far. Facebook has barred all Russian entities from putting up ads on their platform.
Read 4 tweets
Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Feb 23
1/
 In light of all the Ukraine goings on, I'm posting some maps from The Absent Superpower.
2/
 From the US point of view, Ukraine is not what matters. Instead, its what happens after the Russians have consolidated control over Ukraine & turn to their next targets: Poland and the Baltics.
3/
 Russia sees these conquerings as defensive. Russians are attempting to plug the access point to their heartlands. In Absent Superpower I broke these efforts into a series of phases. By my math we are now in phase 3.
Read 4 tweets
Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Feb 21
1/
Quick sequence of some of my favorite #Russia graphics so you can familiarize yourself with the scope of what is unfolding vis-a-vis #Ukraine. Russians live in the green. The wheat belt. The part of Russia that has temperature and rainfall levels to make habitation possible.
2/
 Compare that to the #populationdensity map so you know I'm not lying.
3/
 Russia's problem is - Russia's problem HAS ALWAYS BEEN - there are no good barriers near the populated zones to keep invaders at bay. The Russian goal is - the Russian goal HAS ALWAYS BEEN - to expand their footprint until they reach such barriers. Those barriers are in red.
Read 7 tweets
Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Jan 31
Short personal story. Im immunocompromised & I am vaccinated and boosted. Got my Covid shots as soon as I could. Vaccination in March and April of last year, booster in September. 10 days ago I woke up with a sore throat. Tis flu season so I didn't think much about it.
1/
But the next day was… Less fun. Bodyaches, chills, fever, bit of a cough. I've certainly been sicker in my life, but it's not something I aim for. I speak to groups of people for a living, so being patient zero for any sort of outbreak is a big no-no.
2/
Day 3 was pretty miserable. Called the doctor and was told it would be five days before I would be able to get in. The system was totally overwhelmed and they had no Covid tests. They also said they would not see me without a Covid test.
3/
Read 8 tweets

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