Peter Zeihan Profile picture
Jan 31 8 tweets 2 min read
Short personal story. Im immunocompromised & I am vaccinated and boosted. Got my Covid shots as soon as I could. Vaccination in March and April of last year, booster in September. 10 days ago I woke up with a sore throat. Tis flu season so I didn't think much about it.
1/
But the next day was… Less fun. Bodyaches, chills, fever, bit of a cough. I've certainly been sicker in my life, but it's not something I aim for. I speak to groups of people for a living, so being patient zero for any sort of outbreak is a big no-no.
2/
Day 3 was pretty miserable. Called the doctor and was told it would be five days before I would be able to get in. The system was totally overwhelmed and they had no Covid tests. They also said they would not see me without a Covid test.
3/
I scheduled a Covid test at a pharmacy. Took four additional days. Ultimately got this little gem:
4/
Most of my symptoms had faded away by the time I got tested, much less by the time I got the result. Pretty sure I had something flu-ish at the same time because even now, 10 days on, I still have a bit of congestion. Anyhow, happy ending. Got the all clear from a 2nd test.
5/
The question is how long the natural resistance gained from suffering thru this new Omicron stream lasts. With Delta it was hugely variable, ranging from a year to a little as a few weeks.
6/
If it's the latter, then Omicron's ridiculous spread (it is the most contagious disease in circulation right now, period) suggest that the majority of the population will have a degree of resistance, and the worst of Covid it is behind us.
7/
If it is the former, then Omicron is just the next step on this long grueling journey. Regardless, I do not enjoy being sick. I do not enjoy quarantine. But I enjoy getting other people sick even less. The Omicron-specific vaccine formula cannot get to me soon enough.
8/end

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More from @PeterZeihan

Jan 31
Yup. That.
Get the #COVID #vaccine already.
For a point of reference. The death rate from car accidents in the general population is about 12.
1/
And here you can see where #COVID deaths fall by age group. Great chart.
2/
news-medical.net/news/20210415/….
Here is where the US currently stands with vaccinations. Just a touch over 64% of us are fully vaxxed. (Data is a bit wobbly because it relies upon states reporting regularly, which they do not always do.)
3/
usafacts.org/visualizations…
Read 5 tweets
Nov 2, 2021
1/
Quick US military thread:
Military COVID vaccine deadlines start today (active duty Air Force) and continue on service-by-service, active-then-reserve, into next June.
2/
The U.S. military is the most vaccinated population on the planet, and the mandate isn’t so far meeting meaningful resistance.
There 2.1m servicepeople. So far only a small single-digit thousand have applied for exemptions.
3/
Zero religious exceptions have been granted as <no> religions represented in the military have a problem with vaccines.
<All> medical exceptions granted are temporary (pregnancy, undergoing surgery, etc). Once the temporary conditions are passed, the mandate kicks back in.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 13, 2021
1/
I had the opportunity during the past couple of days to have lengthy chats with both #United and #Southwest pilots. So this is both a bit of an explainer for what happened with Southwest’s weekend from hell as well as corporate #VaccineMandates writ large.
2/
Southwest has had just as many problems restaffing since May as the other carriers. (Note: the airline w the worst record on this is American. They sold tickets as if everything was going to be normal, but failed to staff to meet demand. The worst seems to be behind them now)
3/
Southwest always runs a lean ship. They have very few extra crews to step in when there is a problem. They also count on crews picking up extra shifts, because oftentimes pilot earns double pay. #NiceIfYouCanGetIt
Read 11 tweets
Oct 2, 2021
1/
A #China-centric #demographics chain:

Demographics are about the balance between young and old. Young folks do the work and raise the kids. They are the consumers.
2/

China had scads in that group in the 2000s. When Americans look at this they see waves of cheap workers stealing global jobs. When the politburo looks they see waves of consumption overturning global norms. Both were right. Were. Past tense.
3/

20 years later not only is everyone 20 years older, but the Chinese had very few kids during the intervening 20 years. China's labor costs are now skyrocketing, and in productivity-adjusted terms are well below American workers. & the Mao generation is moving into retirement.
Read 10 tweets
Sep 9, 2021
1/ Here is what I've been waiting for: major institutions doing away with the test-test-test option and simply forcing vaccinations. The legal niceties are firmly on the institutions' side, but...
msn.com/en-us/news/us/…

msn.com/en-us/money/co…
2/ ...we'll still have fast court challenges that will culminate in a 9-0 Supreme Court ruling that cites the 1905 precedent which formally enabled all companies and all governments at all levels to mandate the smallpox vaccine.
3/ The whole process will be loud and unpleasant, but this is the way forward...and the way out of COVID.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 8, 2021
1/4
That this is such a minor story in the #UnitedStates is a testament to how little the United States cares about global #energysecurity
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
2/4
With #oilprices back above $70 we will see a big surge of activity in the #shale fields. At a minimum there will be 500 KBPD that comes from the #Fracklog in short order.
3/4
The attack came from #Yemen - which is much farther away from #RasTanura (the worlds largest oil loading facility) than #Iran. #SaudiArabia now has no option but to significantly expand its strike capabilities.
Read 4 tweets

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