People sometimes talk about how the seafloor is one of the great unexplored mysteries - and it's true - but there's a vast region of land that also qualifies: the Tibetan Plateau. 🧵 1/
Standing at ~4.8 km above sea level (15,700 ft), the Plateau is extremely inhospitable to humans: oxygen is almost halved compared to sea level. Operating at this altitude is difficult: movement is exhausting, thinking is hard. 2/
For comparison: the highest peak in the continental US is Mt. Whitney, at 14,494 feet (4418 m).
That's lower than the AVERAGE elevation of the Tibetan Plateau - a region 2000 km x 1000 km! 3/
The Tibetan Plateau covers 2.5 million square km. That's equivalent to California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, AND Texas combined.
That's 60% of the area of the EU, or 78% the area of India. 4/
Tibetans, who have lived at these altitudes for generations, actually have a genetic adaptation that modifies their red blood cells, allowing them to cope with low oxygen levels. (This gene matches 41,000 yr old DNA from a group of extinct humans!) 5/
So: the Tibetan Plateau is huge and high. But although you might usually think of mountains as rugged, the plateau is also SUPER FLAT. (The borders of the plateau stand taller - most impressively to the south: the Himalaya with Mt. Everest at 8849 m). 6/
So, WHY?
Why is the plateau so high?
Why is it so big?
Why is it so flat?
The answer lies in geology and plate tectonics. 7/
Earth's continents go through "supercontinent cycles": the continents collide, stick, and then break apart.
The last supercontinent was Pangaea. It started to break up about 225 million years ago - not long after early dinosaurs started to appear in the fossil record. 8/
Pangaea broke into two parts, basically representing today's northern & southern continents.
But ~120 million years ago, India split off of the southern half and started to move north. 9/
What was driving this? Like most plate movements, subduction of oceanic crust in between. Oceanic crust is made of mantle material. As it cools, it becomes denser than the mantle below. If it gets the chance, it sinks, pulling continents along behind. 10/
There's no ocean between India and Eurasia today, of course - because ~50 million years ago, the oceanic crust finally subducted away, and the two blocks collided. The plateau has been growing ever since.
Here's how the plates are moving today. 11/
More than 1,400 km of shortening has occurred across the Plateau. All that material had to go somewhere! A lot of it went into thickening the crust: it doubled to ~60-70 km thick. A lot got squeezed to the sides - that's why the Plateau is so wide. 12/
That extra-thick crust supports the high elevations of the Plateau ("isostasy"). Because continental crust is less dense than the mantle, these low-density roots balance the extra mass above. (Just like icebergs!) 13/
Why is the Plateau flat? This may partly be because many rivers drain inward, so mountains erode and fill nearby valleys. It's also possible that the deep crust moves and deforms in response to gravitational forces, "levelling" the surface. 14/
But the question of how exactly the crust got thick remains debated. One plate slid under another? Giant thrust faults progressively active from south to north? Flow of deep material?
The plateau makes answering these questions hard, because... 15/
DOI: 10.1126/science.105978
...it's so hard to work there! Understanding the subsurface is ALWAYS hard but geoscientists have ways to image it. Those methods involve deploying instruments - to listen to earthquakes, listen to echoes of our own signals, record magnetic field and gravity variations. 16/
We've done some of this in the Plateau, but it's HARD. High altitude, only occasional roads, limited facilities.
For example, here are the locations of the INDEPTH experiments (started 1992). Sparse, largely following roads. 17/
Of course, even perfect images of the subsurface today wouldn't tell us how the Plateau grew over 50 million years. We have to piece that together from clues - leaf fossils, fragments of volcanic rock, bits of limestone. 18/
Incongruously, despite its inaccessibility, the Plateau has been imaged in detail by satellites - little atmospheric distortion to get in the way! These reveal a stark but beautiful landscape, dotted with icy lakes. 20/
Suddenly, iron dissolved in the oceans bonded with oxygen and precipitated, forming layers of rust on the ocean floor. The deposits got thicker and thicker, reaching 100s of meters. 60% of iron is mined from these layers! 2/n
Methane was no longer stable: it reacted with oxygen to form CO2. Methane is a far more powerful greenhouse gas - so dropping methane levels triggered sudden cooling. The Earth froze over, with glaciers reaching as far as the tropics. 3/n
First, let's define "prediction". A useful #earthquakeprediction will tell you where, when, and how big a significant #earthquake will be, with a reasonably high success rate.
Stress is basically how much the rocks are being squeezed, and in which direction. If we can know that, and also know how *strong* the rocks are, we can estimate whether they will break.
When rocks *do* break (#earthquake!), we can use that to estimate stress. If you know the direction of slip, you can do even better. This even works for earthquakes that occurred long ago, if they left scratches on the fault!
Or, if you have a lot of money and time, you can drill into the Earth and measure the orientation of maximum squeezing based on how the borehole deforms. #boreholebreakouts
A Mw6.6 #earthquake just occurred below the W tip of #Java, #Indonesia. Here, the Indo-Australian Plate is sinking below the Sunda Plate. To the north, this #subductionzone produced the devastating Mw9.1 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami. 🧵1/5
The earthquake depth (~35-45 km) is similar to the plate boundary fault, but the focal mechanism shows slip on a steeply dipping thrust fault. This likely represents a hanging wall splay fault, or fracture of the downgoing plate. 3/5
Ever look at global #earthquakes from the top down? The #NorthAmericanPlate and #EurasianPlate seem simple around the Atlantic - they're pulling apart - but if you follow that boundary across the pole to Russia, it gets weird and diffuse. 🧵1/4
#Iceland provides a remarkable view of the plate boundary. Here, the plates are pulling apart over a #hotspot, so the spreading center is on land instead of at the bottom of the sea.
But follow that plate boundary past the pole and under the ice, and you find yourself in Russia. Suddenly the #earthquakes are scattered and the plate boundaries poorly defined.
There's actually a whole extra baby plate here - the #OkhotskPlate. 3/4
The "lumpiness" comes from variations in density and topography. Mountains have gravity, so the #geoid is generally higher in mountainous regions. But inside the Earth there are variations, too - from the different kinds of rocks and the thickness of the crust. 2/7
Elevations on Earth are defined relative to the geoid. So every time you look at a topographic map, there's a secret geoid hidden behind that data! 3/7