Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #forecasting

Most recents (18)

Bayern sagte im Dez. 2.000 neue Nachverfolger zu, 15 pro 100k Einwohner. Als Zielzahl des Bundes gelten 25/100k. Die Fluktuation war wohl zu groß.

Frage: Weiß jemand wie die Lage heute ist?

Wiesbaden, Anfang März, sollen "statt ursprünglich 5 nun bis zu 10 Kontaktnachverfolger pro 20 000" zur Verfügung stehen. Was ist die Realität? Weiß dass jemand, liebe #Hessen?…
Kreis & Stadt Würzburg hatten am 29.12. 59 #Nachverfolger auf 280k Einwohner, 21 pro 100k.

Die Zielzahl des Bundes ist 25/100k. Die USA planten min. 30/100k, in Wuhan konnten 80/100k die Lage lösen.

Weiß jemand wie es heute ist #Würzburg?…
Read 44 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/04/2020…
Preserving a Sense of Wonder in DNA - Issue 92: Frontiers - Nautilus…

The ocean in humanity’s future…

#future #humanity #ocean
Read 8 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/02/2020…
Preserving a Sense of Wonder in DNA - Issue 92: Frontiers - Nautilus…

The ocean in humanity’s future…

#future #humanity #ocean
Read 8 tweets
🌄Good evening everyone!

Welcome to In Conversation with 𝐃𝐫 𝐑 𝐂𝐡𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐦𝐛𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐦, Former Principal Scientific Adviser to Govt. of India, Chairman AEC & Secretary @DAEIndia👥

🗣️Please post your recommendations, comments with #ChatwithRChidambaram
👸👸This live-tweet thread is curated by @AnamZille & @Jengovz on behalf of @spf_in

🌸🌸Opening the session with a warm welcome by @ChagunBasha @DSTCPRIISc @PrinSciAdvGoI
Read 43 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 09/15/2020…
Biologists warn of ‘extinction denial’ as latest anti-science conspiracy…

#denial #conspiracy #extinction
Meet 18-year-old Niles Francis, the next generation of election forecaster…

#elections #forecasting #PoliticalAnalysis
Read 7 tweets
Please help us welcome our next curator Darryl Takudzwa Griffiths. @BlaqNinja completed his Bachelors Degree in Computer Engineering at DUT, graduated in 2011. Due to struggling to find suitable employment he went on to study multiple certificates from bodies such as Microsoft.
He has certificates in N+ (Computer Networking), A+ (Computer Technician & Technical Support), Certified Ethical Hacking V7 (CEH v7), Offensive Security Certified Professional (OSCP). Sadly even with these, he could not secure his desired post so in 2016 he moved to USA.
Darryl was able to secure a job in a corporation that owns casinos as a system analyst & security architect. Within the same year he embarked on a Masters degree in Robotics & Artificial Intelligence Engineering. In 2017 he resigned from his post and started his own company...
Read 99 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 08/12/2020…
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Presidential Forecast Works — And What’s Different Because Of COVID-19…

#elections #forecasting #COVID19
Tracking the Real Coronavirus Death Toll in the United States…

#COVID19 #DeathToll #tracking #usa
Read 7 tweets
D1 of #50daysofudacity
I finished up to Lesson 2.19
My notes can be found here for quick refernce…
D2 of #50daysofUdacity
I finished up to Lesson 2.25
Also completed lab assignment for a linear regression model to predict the price of taxi in new york city
My notes can be found here for quick reference…
D3 of #50daysofudacity
I finished Lesson 2
Also completed lab assignment for linear regression model to predict the price of taxi in new york city
My notes can be found here for quick reference…
Read 53 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 7/08/2020-2…

The radical technologies to keep offices clear of coronavirus | Free to read | Financial Times…

#technologies #offices #radical #coronavirus
Evictions likely to skyrocket this summer as jobs remain scarce. Black renters will be hardest hit. - The Washington Post… 

#jobs #renters #summer
The Metaverse Is Coming And It’s A Very Big Deal… 

Read 14 tweets
"Remember, these models are always wrong.” -@drsanjaygupta

This kind of statement reinforces our misconception of what models are: *decision tools* that give our *best estimates* of future given certain assumptions/inputs— helping us improve decision making under uncertainty.
These models have lots of inputs, which change based on new information like states opening back up or asymptomatic transmission etc.

Updating a model doesn’t make previous projections wrong, since they were forecasts based on current information and assumptions and *SHOULD change* as new information reveals itself.

Read 9 tweets
Gündeme dair yazmayı pek sevmem ama salgın artık ‘yeni normal’e dönüşünce, ben de tarihe (yok canım 😜 bloguma) bir not düşmek istedim. …
Yeni #blog yazımda, yaşadığımız salgın sürecine farklı bir analizle baktım. Size de yeni bir izleme noktası oluşturacağı ümidindeyim. Buyrun: “CoVID-19 Büyüme Faktörü Analizi”… #CoVID2019TR #KoronaTurkiye
Yazmam için teşvikte bulunan ve tivitiyle yazıma konuk olan @yasemingunduz96’a teşekkürler :)
Read 11 tweets
(1/) The @imperialcollege study by @MRC_Outbreak on #COVID19 is incredibly important. You should read it. How do their approaches and conclusions for the US compare to mine? tl;dr: they are very similar. More detail in the thread.
(2/) Comparing charts for overall deaths from their model and mine, you'll see that the Imperial College model finds that we stop adding significant numbers to the death count by mid July. My model puts that around June. Total Deaths - IC: 2.2M, My forecast: 1.2M
(3/) Without govt intervention: The IC study finds US cases peak in mid-May. My model peaks in late April.
Read 12 tweets
"Life did not invent #DNA."

Experimental support for the #hotsprings hypothesis for life's origin: David Deamer of @ucsc on nucleic acid polymerization in the wet-dry cycling of Darwin's "warm little pond," powered by #geothermal. Lab results confirmed in #hydrothermal pools.
From "boring statistical partitioning" in the fission of early protocells to the complex #homeostasis-driven #mitosis of the cells we know - Doron Lancet of @WeizmannInstSci on the gradient between closure of #autocatalysis #networks to complex regulatory mechanisms of #biology.
"Life is an integrated nested network of dynamic #kinetic cycles."

Addy Pross emphasizes the importance of motion to the persistent forms of self-organizing #complexsystems at SFI today
Read 13 tweets
Last month a friend asked me "what's the best resource you've read thus far on human decision-making?" 1/
After thinking about it, I decided to recommend her one of the first such resources I ever encountered, seven years ago: Doug Hubbard (@hubbardaie)'s How to Measure Anything. 2/…
While I don't agree with every word of it, How to Measure Anything is quite possibly the most important and useful book I've ever read on any topic. Here's why. 3/
Read 24 tweets

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