Thread on #Russia invasion of #Ukraine - March 10
The past 24 hours continue to show that Russian offensives are slowing down and mostly stalled. Still, around Kyiv, Russian forces are making slow/incremental (and costly) progress, in a bid to try and surround the city
From the most recent movements and previous attacks (and this is an assessment) it seems the two tactical objectives of the Russian forces around Kyiv may still be the Vasylkiv and Boryspil airport with offensives in the east and west of Kyiv (map is from @LeBeckInt's coverage)
I will repeat that this is an assessment - including the map - meant to represent our understanding of the situation. I also know the debate around representing "areas of control"/territory - this is a very sound debate, our choice is meant to make the map readable for better use
I think it's getting more and more evident that Russian forces are aiming for a siege of Kyiv rather than a direct attack - it could include more direct attacks, but that's what I am getting from troop movements. There are no probing attack toward Kyiv/saboteurs anymore
Surrounding Kyiv is still a very costly military endeavor and I am not sure that it is a realistic one at the rate of losses suffered by Russia. This is still extremely concerning, because this implies significant civilian casualties whether Russia is successful or not
According to the Mariupol City Council, three people have now died after being injured in the bombing of the maternity hospital in the city.

One of them is a child.

(vide of the aftermath of the strike yesterday)
Chernihiv, in northeastern #Ukraine is now without gas and heating according to the head of the regional state administration in the city.

The targeting of local and national infrastucture is not a "coincidence", it is a deliberate tactic meant to force cities to surrender.
The city of Okhtyrka in eastern #Ukraine is being destroyed by Russia's constant bombardment. It has been resisting since day 1.
Mariupol

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More from @michaelh992

Mar 10
I heard #Russia faces difficulties supplying its own troops. It seems they are, however, pretty good at supplying Ukrainian forces with all the ammo they need 👌
Video published by #Ukraine's 93rd mechanized brigade (found via @MrKovalenko)
source (full video)
facebook.com/watch/?v=32755…
The head of the military administration of Mykolaiv reports that the Ukrainian air force was able to target a Russian supply convoy last night
t.me/mykolaivskaODA…
Read 48 tweets
Mar 9
Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 9
There were some interesting info in the Ukrainian military update overnight. Broadly, my understanding Russian forces appear to have been able to cross the E40, west of Kyiv in an effort to surround the city. They likely took significant losses, but this is still notable.
Both the Ukrainian and Russian military updates mentioned the town of Nizhyn. Russia claims it took the city, Ukraine reported continued clashes.

This is an important town, as Russian forces are trying to link up south of Chernihiv and east of Konotop.
Read 29 tweets
Mar 8
Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 8
The Ukrainian military released several notable details its midnight update. According to the update, Russian forces continue to amass, around Kyiv, including its "most capable" units, such as Kadyrov's Special Guards Regiment.
Notably, from the update and other reports, it seems yesterday Russian forces attempted several attacks, including in Irpin, but also north of it (across the Irpin river), and east of Kyiv in the direction of Brovary.

Russia is clearly probing Ukrainian defensive lines.
Read 44 tweets
Mar 7
Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 7
Today Russian and Ukrainian delegations are slated to hold the third round of talks, per the head of Zelensky's party
Meanwhile, the Ukrainian army reported several notable developments overnight. The first is the full recapture of Chuhuiv, near Kharkiv. Despite Russian heavy shelling, Ukrainian forces there are not only able to hold off Russia, but also counter-attack.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 6
Thread on the #Russian invasion of #Ukraine - March 6
In its last update, the Ukrainian military reported several Russian movements east of Kyiv, including in an effort to advance towards the area between Borsipyl and Brovary (map is just to show these two positions).
Russian forces are also amassing in the Kozelets area, while also trying to advance towards the Kaniv Hydroeletric Power Plant (they are still quite far, from my understanding of their position).
>>
Read 44 tweets
Mar 5
Thread on the Russian invasion of #Ukraine - March 5
Aftermath of the shelling of power plant in Okhtyrka in eastern Ukraine. The power plant was shelled during the night of March 3-4. The city is without power since.
During the night, the mayor of Slavutych near Chernobyl, warned that the Ukrainian team at the nuclear plant are exhausted as they have been working for 10 days and cannot be replaced due to the lack of a safe corridor for them to go through.
Read 51 tweets

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