Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 11
Last night several Russian strikes hit the city of Lutsk in western #Ukraine ImageImageImage
Russian strikes also hit Dnipro in central Ukraine
Video of the strike in Dnipro earlier this morning
Russian strike also hit Ivano-Frankivsk in western Ukraine, near the border Romania, Slovakia and Hungary
We're now after the two-week mark. As a reminder according to plans found by the Ukrainian military (if those are accurate), Russia planed a two-week offensive to capture #Ukraine.

That should have seemed unrealistic then, and certainly is now
Video published by pro-separatist sources from Volnovakha in the Donbass, as the city has reportedly fallen to Russian forces
The city has been mostly destroyed, after days of clashes and heavy bombardment by Russian forces.
A Russian pilot who ejected from his aircraft (unclear which) was killed after his parachute did not open Image
The Ukrainian military recaptured the village of Viktorivka south of Chernihiv. This is the second town to be recaptured in as many days, as Ukrainian forces are trying to prevent Russian forces from surrounding the city.
🚩Russian Presidential spokesperson Dmitry Peskov does not rule out a meeting between Putin and Zelensky in principle, but says negotiators must first do their part.
Peskov also said that Putin speaks with Macron almost every other day (via TASS) #Russia #France
ATGM strike against a Russian tank by the Ukrainian 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade. They claim seven vehicles were destroyed.
Russian Forpost (Russian version of the Israeli IAI Searcher MkII drone) was shot down over Zhytomyr according to Ukrainian sources ImageImageImage
Russian forces deployed under the Mariupol Donetsk highway in the Volnovakha area
From the look of it probably in the Novotroitske area
Protest in Berdyansk, near Mariupol, to denounce the Russian occupation ImageImageImage
🚩 Ukraine Security Service (SBU) accuses Russia of firing at targets in Belarus to accuse Ukraine of "provocations". The SBU denies being involved in strikes in Belarus, and says Kyiv is not planning to attack the country.
This is quite concerning, as it could be the signal for Belarus to get more directly involved in the Ukraine war. This comes just as Lukashenko is visiting Moscow
This is a scenario many, including myself, have warned about.

The Ukrainian military intel also warned a few days ago that Russia was preparing a deliberate provocation to justify the entry of Belarusian troops in #Ukraine
During his meeting with Putin, Lukashenko also claimed he had evidence that Ukraine was preparing to strike Belarus
The Ukrainian army also released this video of the alleged incident.

Source:
facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…
Note that for now, the incident is not confirmed from the Belarusian side, official or unofficial (below ⬇️ from an account that has closely tracked movements related to the Ukraine war)
ATGM strike against a Russian armored vehicle in Mariupol
Full statement from the Ukrainian Minister of Defense, accusing Russia of preparing false-flag attacks against Belarus (translated)
facebook.com/MinistryofDefe… Image

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More from @michaelh992

Mar 13
Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 13
Yesterday saw very few Russian advance. Interestingly, Russian forces seem to have focused on the Donbass, including with an attack against Mariupol, and a continued attempt to surround Severodonetsk
I doubt #Russia is dropping its more ambitious goal for now, but I would not rule out that it's now more seriously considering a more limited goal (Luhansk, Donetsk and Kherson Provinces) as a Plan B to call its "special military operation" (invasion) a success.
Read 20 tweets
Mar 12
Threat on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 12
Let's start by this: The woman photographed in the aftermath of the Russian bombing of a Maternity hospital in Mariupol, days ago, gave birth to a baby girl. Image
**Thread
Read 36 tweets
Mar 10
I heard #Russia faces difficulties supplying its own troops. It seems they are, however, pretty good at supplying Ukrainian forces with all the ammo they need 👌
Video published by #Ukraine's 93rd mechanized brigade (found via @MrKovalenko)
source (full video)
facebook.com/watch/?v=32755…
The head of the military administration of Mykolaiv reports that the Ukrainian air force was able to target a Russian supply convoy last night
t.me/mykolaivskaODA…
Read 48 tweets
Mar 10
Thread on #Russia invasion of #Ukraine - March 10
The past 24 hours continue to show that Russian offensives are slowing down and mostly stalled. Still, around Kyiv, Russian forces are making slow/incremental (and costly) progress, in a bid to try and surround the city
From the most recent movements and previous attacks (and this is an assessment) it seems the two tactical objectives of the Russian forces around Kyiv may still be the Vasylkiv and Boryspil airport with offensives in the east and west of Kyiv (map is from @LeBeckInt's coverage)
Read 10 tweets
Mar 9
Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 9
There were some interesting info in the Ukrainian military update overnight. Broadly, my understanding Russian forces appear to have been able to cross the E40, west of Kyiv in an effort to surround the city. They likely took significant losses, but this is still notable.
Both the Ukrainian and Russian military updates mentioned the town of Nizhyn. Russia claims it took the city, Ukraine reported continued clashes.

This is an important town, as Russian forces are trying to link up south of Chernihiv and east of Konotop.
Read 29 tweets
Mar 8
Thread on #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - March 8
The Ukrainian military released several notable details its midnight update. According to the update, Russian forces continue to amass, around Kyiv, including its "most capable" units, such as Kadyrov's Special Guards Regiment.
Notably, from the update and other reports, it seems yesterday Russian forces attempted several attacks, including in Irpin, but also north of it (across the Irpin river), and east of Kyiv in the direction of Brovary.

Russia is clearly probing Ukrainian defensive lines.
Read 44 tweets

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