(Very) short summary of the military situation in Ukraine (March 12) ๐๐งต
No major frontline changes over last 24hrs.
๐ท๐บ main objective remains Kyiv.
Encirclement/capture of Chernihiv, Mariupol, Mykolaiv, Sumy & Kharkiv still ๐ท๐บsecondary objectives.
(map:@JominiW)
No major frontline changes over last 24hrs.
๐ท๐บ main objective remains Kyiv.
Encirclement/capture of Chernihiv, Mariupol, Mykolaiv, Sumy & Kharkiv still ๐ท๐บsecondary objectives.
(map:@JominiW)
Russian forces are pushing hard to reach outskirts of Kyiv and encircle the city; attempts to seal off Chernihiv failed; Kharkiv getting shelled; some Russian troops reportedly in Mariupol; urban combat at outskirts of Sumy; similar attempt in Mykolaiv repulsed.
This map from March 10 by @HN_Schlottman does a good job highlighting how overstretched Russian forces in Ukraine are. 1 BTG = 700-~900 personnel plus ~40-50 vehicles. It also highlights the difficult supply situation.
Military units are usually becoming combat ineffective at with 20-30% casualty rate (often earlier depending on exact losses). Both sides have lost about an equal % of personnel/materiel to date. If the below is accurate, there has to be a pause in mil. operations in ~2 weeks.
(Or a readjustment in how this war is fought.)
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