The last day saw very limited Russian advances as Russian forces have effectively paused most of their offensives with some exceptions (but are still massively shelling cities). Most movements are in the Donbass and in southern Ukraine (Mykolaiv Oblast particularly).
It's clear that the Ukrainian defense is one of the main factors behind the Russian "pause", but over the past days, the Russians also seem to be regrouping and reorganizing. This is not over unfortunately.
This "pause" paves way to more serious diplomatic efforts. I would not rule out the possibility that a temporary ceasefire (24-48 hours) will be reached in coming days. It will mean very little though, given that Russia can use that time to do what it is already doing: Regrouping
Zelensky has been insisting on meeting with Putin. This is a good move (though unlikely to happen at this time in my opinion) for two main reasons:
1 - Putin is the only decision maker. All the others are nothing else than middle-men. It was very clear in Antalya.
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1 - Putin is the only decision maker. All the others are nothing else than middle-men. It was very clear in Antalya.
>>
2 - A face-to-face meeting between Putin and Zelensky will make it difficult for Putin to then claim the Ukrainian President is "illegitimate" and that the government is the result of a "coup". Meeting would be a concrete proof Russia is climbing down the "regime-change" tree.
Remember that this is a key part of Putin's rhetoric: The government in Kyiv is the result of a "coup", and illegitimate. Notably Russia said it was not looking to change the regime in Kyiv recently, but a Putin-Zelensky meeting would put this idea to rest.
It's one thing to send your lackeys discuss with an "illegitimate" government, another to do so yourself. This is also why I think despite Peskov claims that Putin is "open to it", this won't happen (but happy to be wrong).
On evacuations, this is quite telling:
#Russia bombed the bridge between Enerhodar and Zaporozhia that was used to evacuate civilians from the Russian-controlled town of Enerhodar and send aid.
#Russia bombed the bridge between Enerhodar and Zaporozhia that was used to evacuate civilians from the Russian-controlled town of Enerhodar and send aid.
This morning the Antonov plant was shelled in Kyiv, according to the city administration
A residential building was shelled by Russian forces in Kyiv's Obolon. The Ukrainian emergency services reported that two people were killed and 12 people injured.
Video released by Ukraine's emergency service of the aftermath of the attack in Kyiv's Obolon
Closer view of the aftermath of a Russian strike against the Antonov plant near Kyiv
#Kyiv administration names the most dangerous areas of the Kyiv region:
- Zhytomyr highway
- Bucha-Irpin-Hostomel
- north of the Vyshhord district.
- Fighting taking place in Baryshivka, Katiyanska Velyka Dymerka areas in the Brovary region
- Zhytomyr highway
- Bucha-Irpin-Hostomel
- north of the Vyshhord district.
- Fighting taking place in Baryshivka, Katiyanska Velyka Dymerka areas in the Brovary region
(This confirms the general picture we already had of the battle for Kyiv, no major changes).
The Ukrainian military released a map of the war as of today
The city of Kramatorsk in the Donbass was hit by a missile earlier this morning according to the Mayor. Two people were killed according to initial reports.
facebook.com/alexander.vasi…
facebook.com/alexander.vasi…
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov says Moscow is not aware of Ramzan Kadyrov's alleged travel to Ukraine to participate in #Russia's "special operation" (Kadyrov recently claimed he travelled to #Ukraine)
Peskov claims that, at the beginning of the "special operation" in Ukraine (the Russian invasion), the Ministry of Defense was instructed not to carry out attacks against large cities [right...], such as Kyiv. He seems to suggest that may not be the case anymore.
Video of the Kurenivka district in Kyiv after missile debris fell on the area.
https://twitter.com/suspilne_news/status/1503346346933248007
Residents of Kharkiv standing in queue to receive aid as Russia continues to try and siege the city.
Ukrainian land forces claim to have carried out an ambush against a Russian column. Lots of equipment, as well as vehicle-launched bridge
Protesters in the Kherson region facing off with Russian troops - warning shots fired.
🚩Ukrenergo released a statement indicating that the power line to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant has been damaged again, after it was repaired. Repair are once again needed to avoid potential radioactive emissions.
https://twitter.com/michaelh992/status/1503053973669961733
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