Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 17 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello St. Patrick's Day! ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

Emerging market equities, commodities, and currencies are ๐Ÿป the ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ that are PE Powell and the #FOMC

Let #inflation ๐Ÿƒ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia ๐Ÿš€ for a 2nd day ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

$NIKK 26653 +3.45%
$SSEC 32115 +1.4%
$TWII 17448 +3.0%
$HSI 21501 +7.05% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2695 +1.35%
$IDX 6964 -0.4%

Australia โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ€
$ASX 8251 +1.05%

India โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ€
$BSE 57954 +2.0%
Europe a little more subdued but mostly โ†—๏ธ

$DAX 14410 -0.2%
$FTSE 7305 +0.15%
$CAC 6596 +0.1%
$AEX 707 +0.45%
$IBEX 6410 +0.45%
$MIB 24222 -0.2%
$SMI 11940 +0.35%
$MOEX ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ’ฅ

$VSTOXX 36.01 ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ€
Implied VOL ๐ŸŒŠcame out of the $SPX which ripped โ†—๏ธ for a 2nd day. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†”๏ธ

$ES 4351 -0.15%
$NQ 13923 -0.25%
$RTY 2027 +0.25% ๐Ÿ€

$VIX 26.86 #contango
Metals ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

$GOLD 1939 +1.6%
$SILVER 25.483 +3.15%
$COPPER 4.654 +1.15%
$PLAT 1027 +1.9%
$PALL 2441 +3.1%
$ALI 3448 +5.5% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€
$ZINC 3833 +0.35%

$GVZ 22.51 ๐Ÿ”ป
Hydrocarbons ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€
๐Ÿ›ข๏ธโ›ฝ๏ธ

$WTIC 98.88 +4.05%
$BRENT 102.06 +4.1%
$GASO 3.08 +3.1%
$NATGAS 4.756 +0.15%

$OVX 59.35 ๐Ÿ”ป
Grains mostly ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€

$WHEAT 1065 -0.2%
$CORN 739 +1.25%
$SOYB 1659 +0.65%
$SUGAR 18.86 +1.6%

โ˜•๏ธ 217.55 +0.25%
USD โ†˜๏ธ with the ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ

$EUR 1.104 +0.11%
$GBP 1.3175 +0.23%
$AUD 0.733 +0.5% โ™‰๏ธ๐Ÿ€
$USD 98.27 -0.36%
$USDJPY 118.69 -0.04%
$USDCHF 0.941 +0.05%
$USDCAD 1.266 -0.15%
$USDRUB 104.00 -3.7% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†
#cryptocurrency โ†—๏ธ๐Ÿ€

$BTC 50805 +0.75%
$ETH 2766 +3.35%
๐Ÿฅž๐Ÿฅž for breakfast in the bond market as the 5 inverts with the 10 and the 20/30s remain inverted

10/2s 19 BPS โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿฅž

MOVE 100.57

2Y 1.939 1.939 -0.03
5Y 2.142 -0.055 โฌ…๏ธ
10Y 2.13 -0.057 โฌ…๏ธ
20Y 2.495 -0.069
30Y 2.389 -0.069

Global 10Ys mostly โ†˜๏ธ
JPN 0.209 +0.01
The ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ #FOMC has resulted in epic ๐Ÿฅž of the yield curve and a renewed ๐Ÿš€ in ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ๐Ÿช™๐ŸŒฝ setting the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ for continued #stagflation

I know. I know. The Q2 base effects give us #quad4, but why not compare against 2019 instead of 2021?

Happy ๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€ and have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
ใ€€

Keep Current with Ted Darling

Ted Darling Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @tdarling1

Mar 18
Hello #OPEX Friday!

Week to Date:

$AUD +1.15%
$USD -1.17%
$GOLD -2.1%
$SILVER -2.1%

$HSI +4.6%
$CAC +5.65%
$NIKK +5.9%
$COMPQ +6.0%

$COPPER +1.65%
$WHEAT -0.1%
$WTIC -7.0%

$TLT -2.3%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia finished the week โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 26827 +0.65%
$SSEC 3251 +1.1%
$TWII 17457 +0.05%
$HSI 21464 -0.15%
$KOSPI 2707 +0.45%
$IDX 6955 -0.15%

Australia โ†—๏ธโ™‰๏ธ
$ASX 7294 +0.6%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE closed for Holi
Europe under pressure โ†˜๏ธ at the open

$DAX 14317 -0.5%
$FTSE 7361 -0.3%
$CAC 6569 -0.65%
$AEX 707 -0.1%
$IBEX 8411 unch
$MIB 24182 +0.25%
$SMI 12033 -0.25%
$MOEX closed for ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 32.02 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Mar 14
Hello Monday!

Big week

Not only are the Ides upon us, but we have both #FOMC and #OPEX to process.

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Mixed ๐Ÿ‘œ in Asia as ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ and ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ ๐Ÿ”’ โ†˜๏ธ ๐Ÿฆ 

$NIKK 25308 +0.6%
$SSEC 3224 -2.6% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
$TWII 17263 unch
$HSI 19541 -4.95% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
$KOSPI 2646 -0.6%
$IDX 6952 +0.45%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7149 +1.2%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59215 +1.2%
Europe opens with a โ†—๏ธ bias

$DAX 13872 +1.8%
$FTSE 7150 -0.05%
$CAC 6288 +0.45%
$AEX 672 -0.45%
$IBEX 8264 +1.5%
$MIB 23313 +1.2%
$SMI 11517 +0.2%
$MOEX closed for ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿช†
Read 11 tweets
Mar 13
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review 03/13/22

1/11

Focus on whatโ€™s working - long #inflation ๐Ÿ›ข, #vol ๐ŸŒŠ, and long USD ๐Ÿ’ต

Nothing says these will continue to work, given the geopolitical risk ๐Ÿ’ฅโ˜ฎ๏ธ

But, what choice do you have? Fade it?

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/11

Metals โ†”๏ธ on the week but โ™‰๏ธ -
giving you opportunity long side

$COPPER -6.3%
$PLAT -2.55%
$GOLD +0.95%
$SILVER +1.45%

Chart: $SILVER +11.95% t, +17.85% T, vol 53 (3.3%)๐Ÿ”ป
3/11

Hydrocarbons โ™‰๏ธ pulled back sharply = more opportunity long ๐Ÿ›ขโ›ฝ๏ธ

$GASO -7.35%
$NATGAS -6.0%
$WTIC -5.5%
$BRENT -4.2%

Chart: $DBC +12.28% t, +27.75% (T), vol 50 (3.1%) is over extended but a lower vol way to play commodities
Read 11 tweets
Mar 10
Hello Thursday!

Did everyone enjoy the 1-day โ™‰๏ธ in equities and rejoice in the ๐Ÿป in commodities?

Or, โ€ฆ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Trading on a one-day lag, Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 25690 +3.95% โฌ…๏ธ
$SSEC 3296 +1.2%
$TWII 17433 +2.45%
$HSI 20890 +1.25%
$KOSPI 2680 +2.2%
$IDX 6924 +0.85%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7131 +1.1%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 55464 +1.5%
Europe back to ๐Ÿปโ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 13489 -2.6%
$FTSE 7101 -1.25%
$CAC 6232 -2.45%
$AEX 678 -1.5%
$IBEX 8058 -1.5%
$MIB 23138 -3.15%
$SMI 114667 -0.2%
$MOEX closed ๐Ÿช†

$VSOTXX 41.50 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Mar 9
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

And what a classic ๐Ÿซ day it is!
First equity ๐Ÿป get ๐Ÿซ along with CRB โ™‰๏ธ
And thenโ€ฆ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†”๏ธ

$NIKK 24718 -0.3%
$SSEC 3256 -1.15% โฌ…๏ธ
$TWII 17015 +1.15% โฌ…๏ธ
$HSI 20628 -0.65%
$KOSPI closed for ๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ
$IDX 6864 +0.75%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7053 +1.05%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 54647 +2.05%
Europe with a ๐Ÿป market ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

$DAX 13443 +4.75%
$FTSE 7066 +1.45%
$CAC 6225 +4.4%
$AEX 679 +3.45%
$IBEX 8003 +2.8%
$MIB 23417 +4.85%
$SMI 11312 +2.3%
$MOEX closed for ๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 45.56 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 12 tweets
Mar 8
Hello Tuesday from ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ!

The $VIX spiked to the top end of the BB while the $SPX sank to the bottom, and for once the big #dix at 42.1 were not buyers. Is big money now the contra indicator?

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
No relief for late to the ๐Ÿป๐Ÿช… Asian equities โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 24791 -1.7%
$SSEC 6980 -0.85%
$TWII 16825 -2.05%
$HSI 20766 -1.4%
$KOSPI 2622 -1.1%
$IDEX 6814 -0.8%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6930 -0.85%

India trading โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 53424 +1.1% โฌ…๏ธ
Europe ๐Ÿ€ โ†—๏ธ mid-morning

$DAX 12941 +0.8%
$DTSE 6963 +0.05%
$CAC 6057 +1.25%
$AEX 660 -1.35%
$IBEX 7844 +2.6%
$MIB 22694 +2.4%
$SMI 11101 -0.9%
$MOEX closed ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 48.24 โฌ…๏ธ
implied moves of +/- 3%
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(