Before wars begin and end, the country strategists must invest in proper risk analysis and intelligence.
Country Risk Analysis is not just about surveying Banker's Almanac or doing lousy ratio analysis and setting risk limits to counterparty exposures, jurisdictions, desks, etc.
Very few financial institutions and especially banks hire country risk analysts.
Most of the work is done by credit underwriting and back-office analysts with some input taken from Compliance, and Risk Management Desks.
Credit Manuals talk little about International banking.
Global Banks should hire Political Science, International Political Economy Experts, and related subject area professionals, who can provide qualitative input that is needed for risk assessment.
ECL/Default Risk is not just LGD X PD X EAD.
@BIS_org must provide more guidance.
The merging of various arms of #correspondentbanking, #ALM, trade finance, supply chain finance, & traditional (spot/ready/#derivatives, misc asset classes) #Treasury Fund Mgmt., under one desk which is #Transaction banking, has created severe operational problems at some banks.
International Banking and Financial Institutions is a distinct skilled trade.
Not many Treasury blokes who start their careers as desk dealers (basically working as telephone operators with pencil and erasers dirtying the deal blotters, watching Reuters) can understand credits.
Those who liken Banker's Acceptance to be a run-of-the-mill Money Market Product show their academic upbringing.
Discounting must factor country risk policy into account.
Which trade finance interlinked discount rates should be applied, adjusted for sovereign risk factors?

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More from @SAH16928046

Mar 14
#SBER Bank of #Russia was at least a giant on paper before the war began.
The downfall of this bank alone can bring down the Russian Economy.
Russia, irrespective of whatever comes out of the war, will suffer immensely.
But, such a nation, with precious resources, be closed down?
At least $300 bio plus reserves of Russia are frozen/impounded by foreign financial firms and government authorities due to sanctions.
What will be the consequences of this for other economies such as GCC Sheikdoms and Chinese that invest big time in overseas sovereign paper,etc?
For e.g. KSA earns around $1 Billion roughly every day from the export of oil.
A lot of that money is invested in overseas financial markets.
Other sovereign wealth funds in the GCC also invest petrodollars in large amounts across the world.
This impounding of reserves is a novel
Read 9 tweets
Feb 18
Most of the #ERM Units / Desks at banks hire Actuaries as Quantitative Risk Experts in either the front or the middle offices.
However, to be a CRO, you ideally ought to know the business model risks, credit underwriting risks (if you are working at a Commercial Bank),
the governance, risk and compliance issues, IT/Data and Cybersecurity related Risk Issues, risk culture, risk attitudes, risk conduct and risk change management processes, DRP and BCP, and the Non -Financial Operational Risks in addition to quantifiable risks such as Credit,
Market and Liquidity Risks that exists across financial markets and asset class/es.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 18
Avoid doing superfluous degrees from top-notch academic institutions.
Most of the top academic brand names will help you up to a certain extent, but, what employers are looking for are skills earned from subjects/specializations which can add value to their brands and bottom line
Just recently saw a top-notch social science specialist school offering a degree in #history in conjunction with another excellent #Asian Uni.
The problem is that nobody wants to hire exotic #historians, unless you are applying to work in the civil services or as a journalist.
Beware.
A lot of universities are also advertising all types of degrees from financially #besmirching faculties which aren't contributing much to the university revenues.
So the vultures (FT staff) are offering degrees with a twist to lure innocent students to save their own jobs
Read 5 tweets
Feb 12
Do business school professors need business experience?
Many #PhDs / #DBA's end up in teaching and/or academic business research.
Both are different areas.
For teaching, you have to have practical experiences that you are supposed to share with the classroom.
Many corporate world leaders are the most sought after when it comes to teaching business courses in an #MBA program!
Most of these corporate bigwigs don't have Doctorate degrees, but, even then, universities would like to bring them on board because they have an adequate amount of insights.
Read 10 tweets

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