This isn't the 2017/2018 cycle, the institutions are FINALLY coming to crypto
Here's why this time is different 🧵👇
The Infrastructure is Finally Here
-Custody: The quality of custody services was the biggest hurdle cited by institutional allocators for investing in crypto. We now have fintech players like @FireblocksHQ and the biggest custody banks like @StateStreet and @BNYMellon
The Infrastructure is Finally Here (cont.)
Investible Vehicles: 100x the amount of available HF and VC vehicles for inst investors to pick from since 2017. 100x the builders fighting for this capital. Also more direct options. (one-day spot #BTC etf...)
Understanding and Interest in Crypto is Growing
-Institutional investors traded $1.14 trillion worth of crypto via Coinbase alone in 2021, 10 times the amount in 2020.
-Via @Fidelity and @NickelDigital 70- 80% of institutions are planning to allocate to crypto.
There’s Been Massive Venture Investment
-The biggest institutions generally allocate a few % of their portfolio to VC. Endowments over $1B specifically average 11%. In 2017 there wasn’t even $1 billion in crypto investments from VC In 2021 the industry did 11 times that in Q4.
There’s Been Massive Venture Investment (cont)
-In 2017 there was roughly $1-2B in venture and HF combined, focusing on crypto. In 2021 there were $33 billion in crypto investment in VC and over 800 HF allocating $68B. That's roughly 100 times the investment in the space from
The Money Is Actually Coming in
-Corporates are investing and not just @MicroStrategy. Allocations from @Tesla to @KPMG to @PIMCO
- Pensions and endowments were also big accumulators. The death of the 60/40 has helped here. BTC allocations up to 4% have min drawdowns, inc. ret
FOMO is real. Institutions that have invested in crypto outperform those that haven’t by 2.82% annually.
0verall this shift could add trillions in market cap
More in the piece on why now and the implications...
My analysis on ETH/BTC through multiple cycles (risk on/off, inflation regimes, rising/falling interest rates) and vs other major asset classes for @MessariCrypto
To the riskiest growth stocks BTC averages about a 35% correlation over the last four years while ETH averages about a 30% correlation over the same time period. Notably, Ethereum has been exhibiting a much lower correlation to low/no revenue technology stocks more recently.
As cash flow has increased for ETH the last two years, correlation to the S&P and NASDAQ has increased. As most are aware the top 4 names in both are tech giants $aapl $msft $amzn $goog
I missed whitepaper szn but I wrote a quick ~30-page primer to introduce institutions and new investors to blockchains, eth, web3, defi, and the competitive landscape. This is the ground-up investment case for anyone starting out. (link in next tweet)
The Investment Case for Ethereum, Web3, and Decentralized Finance
~30 pages but don't worry there are 25+ pictures and charts drive.google.com/file/d/17zTf9r…
I tried to make this as accessible as possible. A 101 piece with some 201 data. This is a starting point hopefully to get institutions and individuals down the rabbit hole if they aren't already. Hope my @bankless@RyanSAdams@TrustlessState guys enjoy!(Yes we discuss valuation)
A thread on wrapping your head around valuation in the #crypto space👇
Price to earnings: #Ethereum at a Price to earnings of 30 while growing at ~200% per year is insanely cheap. @solana and @avalancheavax have a p/e of ~2000 and 300 respectively via @tokenterminal For perspective Apple has a p/e of ~30 and historically has grown at ~30%