If #EU security policy is going through a watershed moment, then this should show in our language. Let’s spell it out: We don’t need ‘strategic autonomy’. What EU needs now is strategic responsibility. THREAD 1/7
‘Strategic autonomy’ has always been toxic in most places in #CentralEurope because it smacks of decoupling from the #US. Defenders of SA can claim ‘til they’re blue in the face that decoupling is happening anyway & that autonomy refers also to tech, energy & supply chains. 2/7
The term is tainted, especially in light of #Russia aggression. #US is actually re-pivoting to #EU, & EU is shouldering much more of the defence burden. Any future US administration would have a hard time returning to #Trump 2017. 3/7
We need strategic responsibility, vis-à-vis our fellow citizens, our eastern & southeastern neighbours & our North American allies. #EU citizens deserve more honesty about the necessity to confront 🇷🇺 under #Putin & the cost of preserving freedom. 4/7
Neighbours deserve more openness to EU membership, clear criteria & assistance in reaching them. No weakening of #RuleOfLaw! 5/7
Allies deserve more support & less EU fence-sitting on #China (also in our own interest) and constant checking if our ideas on security are explicable to US voters. US nuclear guarantees are irreplaceable but we need to help Atlanticists in US to make their case. 6/7
Strategic responsibility, above all, means growing up. Admitting that we’ve been irresponsible in the past. That doesn’t exclude autonomy in energy etc. But changing the name of the game would help us to draw the right lessons from the war & rise to the occasion! 7/7
.@GerardAraud I have no problem with analysis. I have a problem w treating geopolitics like a natural science (I understand you even have an ‘observatoire géopolitique’ in 🇫🇷, very telling) as if there was some kind of gravity law about what Russia’s neighbours can & cannot do./2
And I have an even bigger problem with your separation of the analytical from the normative, as if these were 2 equal parts of an equation. The solidarity of democrats is part of real life, for me and apparently a whole lot of other people. /3
As to concrete policies, there are lots of things we can & should do: delegitimise Lukashenka, prepare observation mission for new elections, tougher sanctions, support BY civil society etc. And THEN we can talk to Putin, firmly putting ourselves on the side of Free Belarus /4
Monsieur Araud. There is a question I’ve been meaning to ask you (and, admittedly, many other French people) for a long time. What exactly do you mean by ‘geopolitical constraints’? That Belarusians (or Ukrainians, Georgians etc.) have less of a right to determine their future /2
...because their country is neighbouring Russia? That they must somehow accept living in a kleptocratic authoritarianism because NATO would risk war with Putin was f push came to shove? Is that what we’re going to ‘discuss with Russia’? Give them a little bit of freedom /3
but let the Kremlin decide their future ‘parce que la géographie, c’est le destin des peuples’, as your ingenious compatriot Napoléon put it? I tell you, If that were true, 1989 would not have happened. If that were true, we would live indeed live in the deterministic world