Created by @snowded this 4 domain framework (5 with disorder) provides decision makers & leaders with a high-level yet practical approach to decision making by appraising the current state & developing an appropriate strategy
Importantly decision making/leadership approaches are dynamic and are adjusted for the current context
Leaders "will need to know when to share power and when to wield it alone, when to look to the wisdom of the group and when to take their own counsel." - Snowden & Boone
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Let's look at these 4 domains
Simple:
It’s clear among all involved that there’s a cause and effect. Aka the “known knowns”. These are less common in healthcare as it really is quite a complex industry. But they do occur and there’s a shared mental model by all.
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Simple contexts exist like the algorithm used to manage a v.fib arrest. CPR/defib…repeat.
The pitfall here is complacency. Regular checkpoints are needed to ensure that subtle difficulties don’t mount and shift the situation from simple to complicated/ complex.
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Checkpoints might be time based or outcome based. But key is to review processes and encourage feedback from team members to promote improvement.
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Complicated:
This requires greater expertise to understand the cause/effect relationship. Aka “known unknowns”, where we recognize our own ignorance to a situation. This is often why we do experiments.
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We have a question, a hypothesis and we seek an answer among a list of expected outcomes. Usually there are several reasonable options but the challenge is picking the “best” one. It is ok to pick a “good” one and leaders should acknowledge this.
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For example, an RSI (aka emergency intubation). There are usually multiple “correct” options but analysis & expertise are key. Plan A, then B then C.
Leaders can also look to cross training for their teams so that they may see problems differently. Or gamify the situation…in creating a game, we remove emotion tied to specific components that we might be tied to and more likely think objectively.
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Complex:
This consists of the unknown unknowns. Its very difficult to establish right answers. There is unpredictability and flux. Most resuscitations are considered complex. Only in hindsight do we understand why things happen. Here, small trials of action are best.
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We use simulation to help hone skills here. It’s critical that leaders explicitly tolerate failure given the high degree of uncertainty (with backstops in place). E.g. hypotensive patient without a clear cause. We’ll trial fluids but if it fails then pressors
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Acknowledge trials of action may not work and what next steps are.
Overbearing in these instances is problematic because it stifles creativity, innovation & good ideas from team members.
Here its important to ask “what else am I missing”.
Flatten the hierarchy.
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Chaos:
This is multiple unknown unknowns. In medicine, an example is a mass casualty event.
Here leaders shift towards a top-down style.
Immediate action is needed. We encourage taking a quick first step. Script out the next 3 steps, next 5 minutes. Then regroup.
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Re-appraise the situation and once shifted into complex or complicated context, then pivot the leadership style.
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As a leader, consider the context in which your operating and titrate your approach accordingly. Understanding which domain you're in is critical, as is understanding when that domain changes & how you must adjust accordingly.
THREAD: Here’s a bit of a systems take on what we’re seeing in the Ontario healthcare system. #covid19
A system that is under stress behaves differently than one that is working efficiently. 1/
2/ The "limits to success" archetype from systems thinking is helpful here...to improve performance, increase effort but theres a limit eventually... then resistance occurs and system function declines...i.e. what's happening right now in Ontario
3/ #Ontario ICU/hospital capacity isn’t so straightforward. Its not like an airplane w/ 200 seats and once you hit 200, there’s no more space. That's a simple system…that has a clearly defined capacity...The solution...build bigger airplanes!
I'll be completely honest, I didn't think 3rd wave was a thing a few wks ago...and I work in the emergency dept. Full disclosure, it now appears I was very wrong (for anyone who knows me...i hate being wrong...)
I heard @ASPphysician@IrfanDhalla@TorontoIDDoc among many others warning us but despite early signs I figured that vaccines will protect elderly. I assumed that #covid19 may circulate higher among young people but that case numbers would be inconsequential
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I figured nicer weather would allow many to socialize outside and honestly even if ppl chose to socialize inside, as long as young/healthy, even if they get #covid19 they'll be fine
I, like many, was just done with the pandemic. We have vaccines...we can see the light
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2/ Many of us have experienced it firsthand
during #COVID19 as we piloted & refined new protected intubations/code blue…but how can we make this type of sim happen?
Lots of places now using sim regularly to identify problems & improve processes...here's a bit of a guide
3/ But first, what exactly is translational simulation? Here’s the defn from @socraticEM who first described this term.
My take relates to crisis management & influencing behavior 1/
I’m not qualified to comment on whether school closure should continue or not. (personally, as a parent of a 4yr old...please re-open! but not the point here)
Some considerations
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1. Transparency: when reports are leaked, there’s high prob for misunderstanding. Transparency in the long run is often the preferred approach (except maybe national security) but it is very true that lack of transparency fosters further mistrust. bit.ly/397ihX8
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THREAD: Amazing article how McLaren improved their F1 pitstop times by undertaking a deeper understanding of their teams. & how this relates to healthcare.
They used eye tracking tech to identify the pit crew wasnt focused on the car entering the pit 1/ wired.com/story/book-exc…
Once issues were identified they implemented several design and training strategies:
1. specific actions for each team member 2. train to focus on wheels 3. painted wheel nuts orange
Net result = record setting speed for pit stops and more wins. Impressive work
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This is the detailed approach that we must take in healthcare to get those 1% gains (and in fact, probably opportunity for 5-10%) gains.
We use simulation to help understand issues and subsequently design solutions that work....
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2/ Why does it matter? Somewhat self evident, but we want to design & test a process that optimizes the number of people who be vaccinated while also ensuring a pleasant & safe experience
Great clip from "the Founder"... example of design #simulation
3/ We began with core objectives/principles for the project.
This informed the blueprints for the design of the space
But we all know, things may look good on paper, but don't necessarily translate to real-life
More importantly, people's behavior can be difficult to predict