Thread by @HeliosRunner

1/ Simple thread on few things I read today from people, saying one more time, that the loss of #Rubizhne #Roubijne #Рубіжне would be catastrophic... well like for Popasna it would be a "simple" loss, that helped destroyed many Ru forces
have a look: the area with #Lyssytchansk

2/ is almost 120 km2 !!! (the diagonal of this area is the length of Paris intra muros !)
so you are going to tell me, but why do you "couple" the 2 cities? well because of this.. one his really backing up the other one and at perfect "range" for ATGMs to work "well"

3/ plus there is 3 bridges that #Ukraine -nians defenders can blow up to be safe if needed. and this is quite a big river, not easy to cross, even now... (and we have seen the result of Ru attempts yesterday. failed)
Also watch the High grounds (heights) of Lyssytchansk ...

4/ It is going to be extremely difficult for Ru to simply "raid" the city... they are going to be harassed by artillery also and with a such a diff of heights... it's gonna be painfull for months if they want to try (if some artillery specialists are here to speak out ;)

5/ Also and to put it in perspective you got to understand that now, the "surprise attack/ suprise effect" is gone for long... #Ukraine -nians had almost 2 months to reinforce every single defense of the diff cities all along the area you can see below.. enough to be defeated.

6/ and least but not last...
just put it now in the perspective of the larger situation map of the area and of the "profondeur stratégique" of the #Ukrainian military there...
#Russian spent more than 10k men in the area (dead or wounded) to take some very very small places...