Paul Maidowski Profile picture
May 16 5 tweets 7 min read
Con gusto. New links to observe how the Arctic sea ice (#BOE) and Greenland ice sheet (#GIS) export fresh cold water to the Atlantic. How long until the AMOC tips and shuts down, accelerating warming and sea level rise?

earth.nullschool.net/#current/ocean…
Hansen 2016 acp.copernicus.org/articles/16/37…
Monsoons. Note what mental contortions the authors perform under the absurd @Peters_Glen @hausfath @MLiebreich crusade against #RCP85. Have we stopped this nonsense yet? egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022…

@climate_ice, is GIS subglacial methane cycling accelerating? pulse.ghgsat.com/?lat=68.66&lng…
@Peters_Glen @hausfath @MLiebreich @climate_ice This really isn't hard. Please focus and do science that matters if you can. We need your support.
“These conclusions are not news; they were all included in a paper that we and other colleagues at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies wrote in 1989.” etc., Hansen & Sato

We are fast running out of time. What you do now matters more than at any other point in history.
It has been clear for years that ice melt is faster than the worst-case scenarios considered by the IPCC (RCP8.5). This is important: if the IPCC underestimates how early and severely climate impacts will hit us, then states and markets globally systematically underestimate risk.

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More from @_ppmv

May 17
I got zero feedback when claiming that #SARS2 is effective climate policy - obvious to anyone who looked in early 2020 but undeniable since Omicron (#SARS3). Here BOE confirms it. Transmission must be stopped (#ZeroCovid).

Read @DonEford’s LongCovid article if you don’t see why.
China shows #zerocovid works. This was always clear for #SARS2 - the West has failed catastrophically in allowing uncontrolled spread & evolution. Since Omicron (#SARS3) we have no choice. “Let it rip” will end society. China scholars, where is your voice?
Where is everyone’s critical voice? Who is organizing meaningful policy advice? h/t China and global governance scholars - @AMFChina @thorstenbenner etc.

Rates of learning are far too slow. Our time to act is running out - not only on climate change policy.
Read 5 tweets
May 16
I tried to explain this over a picknick with friends yesterday but it's impossible to introduce climate AND SARS-2 even in a long conversation.

And to a science journalist (!) on twitter - same result.

Collective behavior is our fundamental problem as @CT_Bergstrom observed,
Read 7 tweets
May 16
Systems thinkers, let's use the tools of systems analysis to solve the problems that really matter. The climate clock is ticking, and climate scientists, activists and policymakers are untrained for such complexity. We need to break down barriers to learning and join forces. 😇🙏
I get such questions all the time - here the kind & highly qualified @BernhardSteinb4 (GFZ). Few can even imagine that 3.2°C warming means 7.5°C for us.

@rahmstorf & Co., will we not help? How does only @RogerHallamCS21 tell people what it means - collapse of human civilization?
Read 5 tweets
May 14
Some personal feedback if you are a scientist / scholar or would like to share: How has my writing or online presence helped you professionally or personally? More important, how should I change?

Asking for self-evaluation (and some interview). Appreciate any comments or DM 🙃🦄 Image
I tend to integrate the work of others, to bridge some of the vast disconnects in society and policy that are visible only to insiders ; a meta or systems analysis function if you will. - Thanks and credit to @nephologue @ProfSteveKeen and all of you here.
If possible I’ll continue to work on policy and language - in narrative, mathematical & graphical form - to see and change where we are and may be heading.

Tim speaks of the hammer performing work on society. I’ll add @KateRaworth as a huge inspiration for HOW to rework society. ImageImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Apr 28
Hi all. Every newspaper must explain this data DAILY. We left the Holocene. We risk returning to stable (hothouse) climate structures that kept Earth 4-8°C warmer than today 15 million years ago (Miocene) or even 55 mya (PETM). People deserve to know. Decarbonize now or never. 😘
We need systems thinking - mental models that reflect our fundamental interconnectedness in a global world, to solve real problems. Else performative governance will continue with fatal results. @bberwyn, with quotes by Jim Skea (IPCC), @ClimateHuman & me. insideclimatenews.org/news/05042022/…
@bberwyn @ClimateHuman #Klimacharta, a German initiative by @SaraSchurmann @wblau @SueEhlerding etc., demands exactly this: cover climate as a systemic problem that affects everything else, to give people a chance to learn and make informed decisions.

Journalists can sign here: klimajournalismus.de/charta/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 27
Soundcloud keeping it real. @DeathPanel_ & @fitterhappierAJ are my current #1s for the stage of the tragedy in which authorities think a pandemic ends whenever they are fed up with the nuisance of having to provide public health policy. Do follow for exciting sequels/sequelae! 🙃
@DeathPanel_ @fitterhappierAJ Honorable mention: @DonEford, indefatigable sharer of LC research findings.

This is the single most effective & entertaining LC read I've seen. Here a glimpse because no one will read it in one session - frankly, too crushing if any of it is news to you!

donford.substack.com/p/riskoflongco…
@DeathPanel_ @fitterhappierAJ @DonEford Why I share: recently chatted with my empathetic, young, visual-designer neighbor about Covid. Imagine my surprise when, minutes later, she shares that "now that the pandemic is over," the government will make up new things to keep us under control. Expect aliens, she half-jokes?
Read 4 tweets

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