It is a concerning since we may end up seeing either multiple pandemics together or relay race as new organisms try jump into humans ctd)
101/n Whie people like all of us were fighting #Covid , #Hepatitis in kids we all missed how 1284 people got #monkeypox with lethality of 4.5 % ctd)
102/n Interesting paper on efficacy of soaps shows that 1 min hand washing to be effective in cell free virus but not as much in intracellular virus doi.org/10.1016/S0166-…
Ctd)
103/n While the question is great I think we are benefiting by - better media attention & better diagnosis because sequencing data shows so BUT the host issues caused by #Covid19 is a question that can put a spanner into the idea ctd)
104/n cautious BUT very active - 1) Immeditate quarantine of all at risk 2) #Ring vaccination of the contacts 3) creating international coordination to get vaccine doses to everyone exposed 4) creating media attention 5) informing HCW 6) masking @DrEricDing@CT_Bergstrom ctd)
105/n In the US, the two-dose live Jynneos vaccine is licensed to prevent monkeypox, they have over 1,000 doses of that available, and expect that level to ramp up very quickly in the coming weeks as the company provides more doses BUT that's 500 cases ONLY ctd)
106/n There is another smallpox vaccine licensed in the US, ACAM2000, that could be used to prevent monkeypox, and US has more than 100 million doses.ACAM2000 is an older-generation smallpox vaccine that has some potential significant side effects with it. Ctd)
107) So what happens in the next few weeks is very important as companies ramp up production, but we can land up in soup at 2 scenarios a) we allow the virus to establish animal niches BEFORE we can break the chain by vaccines b) we fail to apply vaccine + strategy ctd)
108/n There have been questions asked about why the WHO has not supported isolation now when they supported it earlier . One reason given was CFR is higher in Congo clade BUT ctd) ttps://twitter.com/baconsauerkraut/status/1528818733686239232?s=20&t=lo2jMxuzTIf7SUjLObYFcQ
109/n We need to realize that the huge population base may end up to cause more deaths . 1% of 300 million may be more than 6% of smaller population at risk ctd)
@CBroendsholmA@itosettiMD_MBA@SSTSundhed 111/n While the divergence is not enough to find huge mutation into new form there is impression that these SNP's are small changes which accumulate to allow enough changes in the virus to adapt.
@CBroendsholmA@itosettiMD_MBA@SSTSundhed 112/n @vmuecke_k posted how couple of weeks ago nobody thought of #monkeypox when a lesion like this presented in University Hospital. Even in Congo the misdiagnosis was 50% helping all health care workers * & general public know what to look for is very important .Ctd)
@CBroendsholmA@itosettiMD_MBA@SSTSundhed@vmuecke_k 113/n In 1949 the last case of small pox was found in US , that means only 72 yr + will have been vaccinated/ exposed , that leaves a large population at risk , @RolandBakerIII has posted 21% , even cross Immunity to others pox viruses may not help. ctd)
114/n )At 3/n & 4/n we discussed how #COVID19 is suppressing T cell responses along with hypocomplementemia causing immunocompromised status, now we know that #monkeypox is able to hide from T cells & suppress recognition @fitterhappierAJ
doi: 10.1073/pnas.0800589105.
115/n In 12/n modeling study from Congo showed R0 of 2 @fitterhappierAJ is quoting the R0 of the Nigerian clade HOWEVER we both agree that the T cell depression may cause this to change , let me remind of #mucor outbreak in India during #Delta wave ctd)
119/n @AndrewALover has put a good thread from old history BUT the important point here is that 18% patients may go asymptomatic, they will therefore lead to poorer detection rate & progression of the disease .
120/n Over 200 people being monitored for monkeypox in Massachusetts , USA from the 1st patient , most of them health care workers who inadvertently came in contact BUT also relatives & friends reports NYT .
121/n For my Australian friends where mass smallpox vaccination was never used and only an estimated 10% of Australians have been vaccinated, that too most above 70 yrs age . All in all Australia may see a bigger outbreak since it may possibly have lesser protection 😢😢 ctd)
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Small Thread on who are " ASHA workers " & why did the WHO recognize them . These million plus workers have helped India put more than 1.8 billion doses in arms over rough terrain , mountains , snow filled gorges & overwhelmed rivers, sometimes at huge risk to their lives ctd)
2/n They climbed over difficult terrains , over snow full mountains , across deep gorges.... these are strong women of #India 🇮🇳🙏ctd)
3/n Sometimes we may see them go into homes , go to fields, barns... no place is unapproachable for these women ..🙏🇮🇳ctd)
71/n Biden finally comments on monkeypox , saying: "It's something that everybody should be concerned about."😢😢. So there is definitely more than we know , it is not everyday that the President comments on stuff. Ctd)
72/n A child has been rushed to the intensive care unit of a London hospital after they were diagnosed with monkeypox, as per reports. 😢😢 ctd)
Why I feel we will have a much bigger outbreak of #MonkeyPox & top 70 updates ( we had 50 yesterday ) in the thread below . Let's start by what we already know & then go further
51/n Spain is seriously looking at whether the 80K strong LGBT community get together was a super spreader , they are also trying to find if one of the Saunas ( where gay men go for sex) has been the source , so the consequences are not due to genital spread but congregation ctd)
52/n The problem is its large number of likely reservoirs and things we probably can't entirely avoid including animal droppings : rats, mice, squirrels, shrews, opossums, ground hogs etc . So once it gets into a geographical location #monkeypox will be a tough nut ctd)
2/n It seems to me that all viruses have become overactive Mozambique🇲🇿confirms first wild poliovirus case in 30 years. Case in child in Tete province follows detection of similar strain in Malawi in February, officials say.This was also seen in Isreal 😢😢
Ctd)
3/n Though we dont want this to be a political issue BUT to change information as such will probably boomerang as kids show up with lesions on face ctd)
Small thread on why I think we will see a bigger outbreak of #monkeypox d/t #COVID19 .We know Covid causes T cell response suppression in some & also complement mediated injury leading to effective reduction in levels of complements (hypocomplementemia) ctd)@fitterhappierAJ ctd)
2/n We know for a fact that at least in kids the complement induced injury caused hypocomplementemia in young , this was one of the pathways of acute liver injury in some kids , if the complement system is exhausted #monkeypox
doi: 10.1097/INF.0000000000002804. PMID: 32639461.
Long Thread -1/n
There is a visible effort by some quarters to steer the discussion about Pediatric Liver Injuries away from Covid ( blame Lockdowns & Adeno) . So let's recap what we already know from SARS & MERS effects on the liver ctd)
2/n We know that the liver injury can be due to -direct viral replication, caused by poor blood flow ( hypoxia) , caused by ventilation ( In PICU) , Immune response, breakage of the gut vascular barrier and the alteration in the gut bacteria ( gut - liver axis) and drugs ctd)
3/n When you have 15% people have raised liver function tests in SARS , I think it is fool hardy to try and distract attention away from hepatic issues in Covid since SARS is the closest that we have and not Adeno dx.doi.org/10.1016%2Fj.am…