Dave Keating Profile picture
May 24 8 tweets 4 min read
🇪🇺President @VonDerLeyen at #Davos2022: "This war and this 🇷🇺 behavior has only strengthened Europe's resolve to get rid of Russian fossil fuel dependency."

"The climate cannot wait. But now the geopolitical reasons are evident too. We have to diversify away from fossil fuels."
"🇺🇦 must win this war" says 🇪🇺President VDL. "Putin's aggression must be a strategic failure"

"We will do everything we can to help 🇺🇦 prevail and retake the future into their hands. For the first time in our history, 🇪🇺 is providing military aid to a country under attack"
"We will – hand in hand – help Ukraine rise from the ashes," says @VonDerLeyen. "That is the idea behind the reconstruction platform that I have proposed to President @ZelenskyyUa.

"The amount of work is colossal. But together, we can and we will master the challenge."
VDL says Russia "is weaponising its energy supplies" as well as food security.

"Ukraine is one of world's most fertile countries. Even its flag symbolises the most common Ukrainian landscape: a yellow field of grain under a blue sky. Now those fields of grain have been scorched"
"In Russian-occupied Ukraine, the Kremlin's army is confiscating grain stocks and machinery," says 🇪🇺President VDL at #Davos2022.

"For some, this has brought back memories from a dark past – the times of the Soviet crop seizures and the devastating famine of the 1930s."
"Today, Russian artillery is bombarding grain warehouses across Ukraine – deliberately," says 🇪🇺President VDL at #Davos.

"And Russian warships in the Black Sea are blockading Ukrainian ships full of wheat and sunflower seeds."
"The consequences of these shameful 🇷🇺acts are there for everyone to see. Global wheat prices are skyrocketing. And it is fragile countries and vulnerable populations that suffer most," says 🇪🇺President VDL.

"#Russia is now hoarding its own food exports as a form of blackmail."
President von der Leyen says 🇪🇺working on 3 urgent solutions to the coming global #FoodCrisis resulting from #Russia's invasion:
🍞Getting grain out of 🇺🇦 to send from 🇪🇺ports
🚜Increasing 🇪🇺production to ease pressure on global food markets
🌍Helping #Africa produce its own food

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More from @DaveKeating

May 25
Breaking: 🇪🇺Commission right now proposing new law to confiscate and sell Russian assets in the union.

This is a big step beyond just freezing the assets, which is what they've done already. Image
The rules would target 🇷🇺 assets skirting EU sanctions, as part of a larger framework on targeting all assets from organised crime.

"Organised crime has become more international," says VP @MargSchinas. "70% of organised criminal groups now operate in more than one country" Image
There are existing rules on seizing assets profiting from crime but they are fragmented and not uniformly enforced, 🇪🇺VP Schinas says.

Given the Russian situation, they need to be rapidly updated because there is no time to lose, he says.
Read 5 tweets
May 9
So why are the Nordic & Eastern EU countries opposed to treaty change and the Western & Southern countries are (increasingly) for it? Size matters.

Smaller countries don't want to lose their ability to veto EU laws (like we're seeing now with Hungary vetoing the 🇷🇺oil embargo).
So the battle lines are being drawn. Why did this all come to a head today? It started in 2017, when Macron had the idea for a citizen's convention to recommend reforms for the EU.

But it was steadily diluted, almost designed to fail. berlinpolicyjournal.com/has-eu-reform-…
EU national governments are still traumatized by the constitution-turned-Lisbon-Treaty experience of 2000s. They're scared of opening the pandora's box of treaty change again.

But this change is a normal part of the EU's development. This is the longest EU has gone without it.
Read 7 tweets
May 9
#Macron has taken the floor after receiving the recommendations of the citizens’ #CoFoE conference, including a call for treaty change.

He says Europe must unite, including in defence, in order to protect member countries from the Russian threat.
Macron says the conference’s proposals will be evaluated in September and then acted upon [possibly with a convention drawing up treaty change, for instance].

He says the conference will not be just a talking shop. He promises EU reform.
And here it is, the big announcement:

#Macron says, in English, 🇪🇺 must do “whatever it takes” (quoting 🇮🇹PM #Draghi) to become sovereign & efficient.

That will mean reforming treaties, and he will discuss this with other leaders at the June #EUCO summit.
Read 5 tweets
May 9
The closing ceremony of the #CoFoE conference recommending 🇪🇺 treaty change has started with an interpretive dance recital and I’m really confused. audiovisual.ec.europa.eu/en/ebs/live/2
Now Guy Verhofstadt is speaking in French and I’m really confused!

Never seen him speak in anything other than English in this hemicycle.
Now he’s speaking English.

“In contrast to what we may think, people don’t fear change,” Verhofstadt tells national EU governments. “On the contrary, they urge us to reform the 🇪🇺union, and they want this to happen now.”
Read 7 tweets
May 9
How immensely typical.

EU national governments ask citizens to recommend reforms for 🇪🇺. Then, when they don't like what's been recommended (treaty change), 10 of them write a letter scolding the citizens: 🇩🇰🇸🇪🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇸🇮🇧🇬🇨🇿🇲🇹politico.eu/newsletter/bru…
But not every country agrees with these 10 reactionaries that 🇪🇺 works perfectly fine.

🇮🇹PM Draghi endorsed treaty change earlier this month.

🇫🇷President Macron is expected to do so at his speech accepting the #CoFoE recommendations in 2 hours. audiovisual.ec.europa.eu/en/ebs/live/2
This #CoFoE didn't end up being the bold exercise Macron originally envisioned. The power-preserving instincts of national capitals kicked in (as I wrote here in 2020).

But today Macron will try to ride current momentum for change driven by 🇷🇺 invasion.
berlinpolicyjournal.com/has-eu-reform-…
Read 4 tweets
May 2
Speaking after the emergency meeting of EU energy ministers in Brussels, French minister Barbara Pompili says ministers agreed that the conditions of their contracts should be respected.

She says the Commission provided guidance on legality of paying in rubles.
Energy Commissioner Kadri Simson says she explained to ministers that payment in rubles constitute a clear violation of sanctions against Russia, "and cannot be accepted".

"Countries should not have any illusions they can rely on the good faith of Gazprom in this matter"
🇪🇺Commissioner Simson disputes the Bloomberg story that a number of European countries are already paying for #RussianGas in rubles.

She says she’s not aware of any EU country that is doing so or has announced their intention to do so.
Read 8 tweets

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