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Jun 1 4 tweets 4 min read
#Node projects - Jun 1 update

Total of 100 sunkens (units) invested as below:

- @polar_nodes: 42
- @HordeTweets: 18
- @phoenix_fi: 15
- @grape_finance: 8
- @_ThorFinancial: 5
- @VaporNodes: 3
- Written off: 9 (busted nodes)
With current prices & rewards, initial investment will be recovered (ROI) after the following number of days:

- @polar_nodes: 378
- @HordeTweets: 83
- @phoenix_fi: 1,951
- @grape_finance: 49
- @_ThorFinancial: 547
- @VaporNodes: 1,469
Token prices compared to 10 days ago:

- $POLAR: -44% (USD), -31% ($AVAX)
- $HORDE: 0% (USD), +1% ($BNB)
- $FIRE: -34% (USD), -19% ($AVAX)
- $GRAPE: 10% (USD), +35% ($BNB)
- $THOR: -37% (USD), -23% ($AVAX)
- $VPND: -33% (USD), -18% ($AVAX)
Outlook:

- $HORDE & $GRAPE are stables: ideal for nodes = add sunkens
- Eying @EmpMoneyBSC: token tied to $ETH = add sunkens
- $POLAR, $FIRE, $THOR & $VPND tokens need to stabilize = wait and see
- @pandafinance_: rebrand of exploited @bamboo_fi = wait and see

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More from @DeFi_initiate

May 28
#Bitcoin DPC price model - Weekly update (May 28, 2022)

- Current projection: $32K ($18-56K)
- Projected cycle trough (Nov 15, 2022): $30K ($17-53K)
- Projected cycle finish (Apr 24, 2024): $88K ($51-160K)
- Next projected cycle peak (Sep 20, 2025): $220K ($130-380K) ImageImageImage
Main messages:

- $BTC is always bullish in the long run (power law)
- Current medium-term outlook is ranging (halving cycle)
- Model is not indicative of short-term price action (not technical analysis)
- Strategy of choice depends on time horizon (time conquers all)
Model background:

- #Bitcoin Dynamic Power Cycle (DPC) model background:
- DPC genesis post (Dec 26, 2021):
- Periodicity in $BTC price:
- Comparison of long-term models:
Read 4 tweets
May 3
(May 3 update) A list of @polar_nodes creator codes you can use to get a discount when buying $POLAR nodes/NFTs.

The list is in alphabetical order with affiliates offering the max 2% discount first (be sure to verify claims). Please reply with additions/corrections.

🧵 of 4 Image
Page 1/4 (2% discount)

@0xKrastoz: 0xKrastoz
@Analyserxx: Analyser
@bwolf43: Wolfpup
@Ch0wja: CHOW
@Crypthopea: crypthopea
@cryptowithlollo: Cryptowithlorenzo
@DigitalDegener8: Degener8
@F1sT: F1st
@joaopalma_: joaopalma
Page 2/4 (2% discount)

@MGermaica: Node-Lover
@miz0adam: mizo
@ncscroatia: tsunami
@OsvaldoDeLeOnOf: PolarPromo
Read 5 tweets
May 1
The clash of long-term #bitcoin price models - Weekly update (May 1, 2022). Model projections for yesterday's $BTC closing price:

- Power law: $37K
- HODL: $38K
- $BTC: $38K
- DPC: $40K
- RS2FO: $75K
- Exp growth: $75K
- RMA730: $78K
- S2F: $81K
- LCONT: $120K ImageImage
Time span of charts: 16 years & 5 years

Yesterday's $BTC closing price & respective model multiples (projected model price ÷ price of #bitcoin) are shown on the 2nd chart. Best fit is by the HODL model (orange dash dot curve): 0.996 * $BTC was projected for yesterday's close.
Models included:

- Power law: Log-log growth
- HODL: Inverse Hyperbolic Tangent
- DPC: Dynamic Power Cycle
- RS2FO: Raised Stock-to-FOMO
- Exp. growth: Constant annual return
- RMA730: Raised 730-day moving ave.
- S2F: Stock-to-Flow
- LCONT: Life Cycle of New Technology
Read 5 tweets
Feb 21
We need a #profitable investment strategy. When it comes to #bitcoin, this task seems very simple: just hold and number will go up. This maxi view advocates a constant buying strategy commonly called dollar (or unit) cost averaging (#DCA/UCA). But is this the best we can do? 🧵 9 Image
1. The annual chart above shows that, indeed, #number just keeps going up. What about those red candles though? Can we avoid losing money in the red years? Is there a #pattern to them?

The losses can be significant (56-73%) so it would be good to know what to do in those years.
2. The simple answer is that the #red candles repeat every 4 years (the 1st one is an exception: it came 1 year late late due to a lack of #bitcoin market for the first 1.5 years).

Why every 4 years? Because that's the length of the block subsidy #halving cycle (vertical lines).
Read 10 tweets
Feb 16
Many #Americans are led to believe that there are only two sides to a question. This way of thinking goes back to the times before the civil war (1861-65), when the two major political parties had already formed.

cliffsnotes.com/study-guides/a…
In other western democracies, a plurality of parties is the norm: there are typically 3 or 4 major parties and a large number of others: Japan 3, Germany 3, UK 4, France 3, Italy 4.

Here is a list of political parties around the world: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_r…
False dichotomy leads to a polarization of views and gives rise to movements on the extreme left and right. How is it possible, that every federal election goes right down to the wire on a 50-50 split?

logical-fallacy.com/articles/false…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 16
The vast majority of CT is misunderstanding the #Canadian situation. The simple fact is that the #convoys have nothing to do with #freedom or peaceful #protests.

First off: the #EmergenciesAct is not martial law and is not above the law.

cbc.ca/news/politics/…
The protesters are a fringe #rightwing #minority group, partly supported by the American #extreme right.

cbc.ca/news/canada/co…
#Sabotaging the delivery of food and medical #supplies, blocking the movement of #international goods and services, holding up ambulances and firetrucks, preventing people from getting to #work - these are #criminal activities and not peaceful protests.
Read 9 tweets

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