- $HORDE & $GRAPE are stables: ideal for nodes = add sunkens
- Eying @EmpMoneyBSC: token tied to $ETH = add sunkens
- $POLAR, $FIRE, $THOR & $VPND tokens need to stabilize = wait and see
- @pandafinance_: rebrand of exploited @bamboo_fi = wait and see
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- $BTC is always bullish in the long run (power law)
- Current medium-term outlook is ranging (halving cycle)
- Model is not indicative of short-term price action (not technical analysis)
- Strategy of choice depends on time horizon (time conquers all)
Model background:
- #Bitcoin Dynamic Power Cycle (DPC) model background:
(May 3 update) A list of @polar_nodes creator codes you can use to get a discount when buying $POLAR nodes/NFTs.
The list is in alphabetical order with affiliates offering the max 2% discount first (be sure to verify claims). Please reply with additions/corrections.
Yesterday's $BTC closing price & respective model multiples (projected model price ÷ price of #bitcoin) are shown on the 2nd chart. Best fit is by the HODL model (orange dash dot curve): 0.996 * $BTC was projected for yesterday's close.
Models included:
- Power law: Log-log growth
- HODL: Inverse Hyperbolic Tangent
- DPC: Dynamic Power Cycle
- RS2FO: Raised Stock-to-FOMO
- Exp. growth: Constant annual return
- RMA730: Raised 730-day moving ave.
- S2F: Stock-to-Flow
- LCONT: Life Cycle of New Technology
We need a #profitable investment strategy. When it comes to #bitcoin, this task seems very simple: just hold and number will go up. This maxi view advocates a constant buying strategy commonly called dollar (or unit) cost averaging (#DCA/UCA). But is this the best we can do? 🧵 9
1. The annual chart above shows that, indeed, #number just keeps going up. What about those red candles though? Can we avoid losing money in the red years? Is there a #pattern to them?
The losses can be significant (56-73%) so it would be good to know what to do in those years.
2. The simple answer is that the #red candles repeat every 4 years (the 1st one is an exception: it came 1 year late late due to a lack of #bitcoin market for the first 1.5 years).
Why every 4 years? Because that's the length of the block subsidy #halving cycle (vertical lines).
Many #Americans are led to believe that there are only two sides to a question. This way of thinking goes back to the times before the civil war (1861-65), when the two major political parties had already formed.
In other western democracies, a plurality of parties is the norm: there are typically 3 or 4 major parties and a large number of others: Japan 3, Germany 3, UK 4, France 3, Italy 4.
False dichotomy leads to a polarization of views and gives rise to movements on the extreme left and right. How is it possible, that every federal election goes right down to the wire on a 50-50 split?
The vast majority of CT is misunderstanding the #Canadian situation. The simple fact is that the #convoys have nothing to do with #freedom or peaceful #protests.
First off: the #EmergenciesAct is not martial law and is not above the law.
#Sabotaging the delivery of food and medical #supplies, blocking the movement of #international goods and services, holding up ambulances and firetrucks, preventing people from getting to #work - these are #criminal activities and not peaceful protests.