1/ Information update : #UkraineMap #Severodonestk
Russians are still totally in the city & about 50% reamins under control of strong UA forces. but contrary to some reports yesterday saying they pushed Ru away is false. it"s quite hard now. and it's going to be harder as i said
2/ Good #Ukrainians troops have been killed and wounded in the last days of this epic battle and as i told you the "seconds couteaux" (territorial defense helping or ex soldiers, can't outnumber the actual Ru forces in the area) the fight could go on couple of days like that..
3/ but don't expect much more really (i mean the simple fact that Ru troops are massively destroyed here is as perfect as it gets of course), because ru artillerie/aviation is also playing a big part here, and Ru still have lots of supports and a good supply chain in this area.
4/ so the situation has not changed yet and #UAarmy can maintain itself for a while, but, as I said few days ago in comments of my maps, don't expect "miracle" here.
5/ so basically we keep the same gen map #UkraineMap of the area since the 30th of May except for #Severodonetsk area :
6/ not going to pretend like some accounts and make fancy map here. Streets by streets we won't know and it would not make sense imo. but we can make a gen "picture" of the situation. #Severodonetsk #UkraineMap
7/ like i said this morning, #Severodonesk #Severodonetsk #Сєвєродонецьк is about 50% occupied but there is still a good #UAarmy dynamic there
reports claiming city 80% free of Russians are false. troops are moving back and forth. both camps trying to communicate their narrative

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More from @HeliosRunner

Jun 6
1/ Gen Map update : #UkraineMap #Severodonestk
Russians are pushing hard now in the city & gained about 60%-70%
some people telling you the opposite yesterday was Lies. that's simple. I waited because i had good reasons for that. I warned you all. but i can only show official Image
2/ statement about it. it is not possible for me to do otherwise. Intel is a job. getting infos from tiktok account and pushing your own desires and narratives is understandable but not my business. I produce less but show the truth.
this is from Luhansk gov & the situation is Image
3/ certainly going to get worse as Meltokine is certainly going to fall too.. but this time not enough #Ukraine -nians back up to take it back. other villages can fall.

that's also why i was showing and trying to find a suitable "exit" zone (egress) for UAarmy.
could be days..
Read 9 tweets
Jun 6
1/ petite note perso :
concernant ces fameux ponts flottants (mais valable pr bcp de choses). il y a encore 50 ans on pouvait travailler (ds le dos de "l'ennemi") si on avait la supériorité (voir suprématie) aérienne. Aujourd'hui, sans même parler des sat US à 2 Mds pièce, on ne Image
2/ peut plus rien "cacher" dans une zone à porté de "vue" d'un drone à 2k euros débridé (av bonne altitude & optique) qui permet de "voir" à plus de 20/30 km tt ce qui se passe. "Demain" avec qq obus guidé, en 10 sec les #Ukraine -niens éparpilleront tt cela façon puzzle...
3/ autre point c'est que les Ru ou les Chinois etc préparent (comme nous) des guerres ou l'ont peut "shooter" des sat/drones d'observations (les US ont des unités dont la résolution est au moins 3 fois sup à ce que Maxar peut vous montrer). mais comme les puissances Nuc ne se
Read 6 tweets
Jun 5
1/ Update infos for general informations about both #Ukraine -nians losses and #Russian ones, of the day (image below) and week (Excel tab in following tweets)
- Pertes Russes estimées et tableaux recap de la semaine. (mini thread)
2/ on notera que j'ai mis à jour les tab aussi pour les "assertions" russes... qui sont de l'ordre du grand délire, mais bon... je fais ça "bien". (NB les prisonniers Russes ne sont pas à jour et ceux prétendus UKr sont non confirmés par @UNHCR ou @CroixRouge )
3/ tableau perso recap. (for the new comers but i've explained a lot about this specific "mind game" here - tableau d'attrition & potential limits) i'll put a link of a short explanation if needed - this is only on the current situation/nb troops involved not all Ru potential).
Read 21 tweets
Jun 4
Very interesting and quite well known by now but what is astonishing is that they still have all their "potentials". These should become a priority asap. (maybe Ukr can't reach comm centers) need some Himars then ;-)
poke @Col_Brown14
People can read this washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
3/ Palantine electronic warfare system in action
▫️Electronic warfare troops perform electronic warfare tasks to suppress enemy force and weapon control systems during the special military operation.
▫️Palantine system blocks the control signal of reconnaissance UAVs of AFU,
Read 7 tweets
Jun 3
1/Map update! #CarteUkraine #UkraineMap #Severodonestk
Russians are pushed back in the city as reported for the last day. about 50% under control of strong UA forces.
also confirmations this morning from free villages around #UAarmy is having a blast now.. less so Ru.
#Ukraine
2/ From the #Luhansk Governor. 03 Juin - end of the day.
Also i got confirmation from other sources. and IMINT.
ALL the accounts doubting these last days... anyhow
Still a long way to go, but the dynamics is strong on #Ukraine -nian side now.
Read 14 tweets
Jun 2
1/ big news of the day (be let see how it unfolds in the coming days before shouting victory)
Source is Arestovich (but Gen staff don't talk about it yet)
#Severodonesk #Asterovich #Ukraine #Russia ImageImage
2/ reportedly some Ru prisonners in #Severodonetsk Image
3/ so now you know why this guy is banned from #UAarmy #Ukraine from reporting with the troops. that's why i'm always telling you to wait and double check all the infos.
this guy is ridiculed now. your word as a value; the fame of the day as none. #Severodonetsk Image
Read 14 tweets

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