Palobar Profile picture
Jul 7, 2022 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
#Gold #Silver #Commodities #Cycles #MarketTiming
I've studied every major price swing in gold & I have observed that [among other mkt conditions]:
▪️ gold follows cycles that expand/contract geometrically
▪️ the 1869 panic has played a key role
▪️ price & time are interchangeable
In this thread, we will discuss the last concept. Often, a significant PRICE (low, high, price range) will repeat in the future in the form of TIME (days, weeks, months) at a major turning point (vice versa). This not TA. It is a lost art.
The charts show the spot market, but the prices & dates are based on the December continuous futures contract. For illustrative purposes, the 1869 gold panic has also been 'shown' in the charts. Selected examples are presented below.
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #1 - 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 𝐦𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐢𝐲𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐡𝐥𝐲 𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭
The red vertical lines show the price range between certain major turning points. Functions of these price cycles keep repeating. Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #2 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2008 𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡
Unbelievable price & time symmetry 28 years after the 1980 major high! The high was 1909 (~1907) weeks from the 1971 low. This time cycle (1907) showed up a few times, a sign that it would show up as a key price point (see the 2011 high). Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #3 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2008 𝐋𝐨𝐰
Gold squared precisely the 2006 high (price became time). 144 is a key WD Gann number. The time cycle of '1047' showed up a few times, a sign that we should be alert for it to show up in price. The MAJOR low in gold (2015) came exactly at $1047! Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #4 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2015 𝐋𝐨𝐰
Price range (1971-2011) = $1872
Time (1980 - 2015) = 1872 weeks!
Time (2008-2011) = 1047 days
Low (2015) = $1047!
Price range (2006 -2012 high*) = $1047
*start of the 5-yr bear mkt
** 860 to show up... Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #5 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2020 𝐀𝐓𝐇
Price range (1971-2011 ATH) = $1872
Time (1869 - 2020 ATH) 1872 months!
Time (1999 low - 2020 ATH) = 7653 days*
*a deviation of only 13 days (not months ~8YCL)
** I called this top 8 months in advance (13d off) Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #6 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 March 2021 𝐋𝐨𝐰 ImageImage
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #7 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐮𝐠 9 2021 𝐋𝐨𝐰 Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #8 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐌𝐚𝐲 16 2022 𝐋𝐨𝐰 Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #9 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2011 (𝐀𝐓𝐇) Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #10 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2013 (𝐋𝐨𝐰)
PRICE ranges between major turning points (1971,1999,2011 etc) repeat in the future as TIME cycles that expand/contract in a geometric fashio.
*6/7: the 'sacred cut'
** 7/6: its reciprocal Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #11 - 𝐓𝐡𝐞 2016 (𝐇𝐢𝐠𝐡)
Notice the perfect square between price & time.
Note> of course at each major turning point there are many other things taking place. Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #12
Since the onset of gold's bull market in 2015, the largest upswing was the move from the Mar'20 low to the Aug'20 ATH ($631). In the future, functions of this price range may define significant swing highs or lows. Image
𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐭 #13 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐮𝐠'2022 𝐡𝐢𝐠𝐡
In our chart #12 analysis we noted the price range from the Mar'2020 low to the ATH ($630) & how we were expecting it to show up as a key time cycle. It came full circle from the 2008 low! Image

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More from @panpalobar

Mar 25
#gold #silver #preciousmetals #cycles #markettiming
🧵Thread
𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐤𝐞𝐲 𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧 𝐠𝐨𝐥𝐝
A key date can cause:
▪️ a change in trend
▪️ pause in trend (consolidation)
▪️ an acceleration of the prevailing trend; or
▪️ provide support (resistance)
𝐔𝐩𝐭𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 Image
𝐄𝐱𝐚𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞 (𝐚) Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 10, 2023
#DXY #USD #EURUSD #trading
I removed 33% of my longs on the EURUSD @ 1.0666-1.0693.
USD net long 67%
I removed another 15% of my longs on the EURUSD @ 1.0702.
USD net long 50%

My tweet on Mar 10 "USD net long 67%" should read as follows "USD net long 33%".
I removed another 15% of my longs on the EURUSD @ 1.0725. USD net long 65%.
Read 4 tweets

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