🧵#Kosovo is not #Ukraine
A new #Kosovo-#Serbia war is not - and won't be - an option, as #NATO has there its biggest mission. And this is why there will not be a #Ukraine scenario in the #Balkans, despite the desire of many to announce/foresee a new war in Europe
1/4
A new #Kosovo-#Serbia war is not - and won't be - an option, as #NATO has there its biggest mission. And this is why there will not be a #Ukraine scenario in the #Balkans, despite the desire of many to announce/foresee a new war in Europe
1/4
The war in #Ukraine has surely changed our sensibility. However, the two geopolitical contexts are very different.
#Serbia can't afford a war; #Kosovo has not a proper army. But, most importantly, they don't desire it. The status quo is more politically convenient for both.
2/4
#Serbia can't afford a war; #Kosovo has not a proper army. But, most importantly, they don't desire it. The status quo is more politically convenient for both.
2/4
If #Serbia send the army (not an option now), the consequence would be a disaster. And not only for the military reaction by KFOR. Eventual sanctions could literally destroy already weak Serbian economy, that is higly dependent on EU support and trade with EU member states
3/4
3/4
Situation in #Kosovo has been tense for years. This is "only" one of several politically-manipulated cases.
Fake news, unconfirmed reports and quotes out of context (like that from Djukanovic) are not helping but to fuel chaos on the ground
Rely on @N1infoBG and @BalkanInsight
Fake news, unconfirmed reports and quotes out of context (like that from Djukanovic) are not helping but to fuel chaos on the ground
Rely on @N1infoBG and @BalkanInsight
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