1/ Operational situation update regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on August 31, 2022.
-minor changes on the front line-
There is still some major operations in the initiative of Ukr in #Kherson area & Ru have some big losses right now.
#UkraineMap #CarteUkraine Image
2/ About #Kherson to #Mykolaiv area.. this is what the FEBA line could look like right now. i know it's not the most "sexy" map... but there is some areas where doubts remains -so best case scenario is red dot line.
There is for sure a huge push on the main axis to #Kherson but Image
3/ no visual confirmations yet as i can really tell. but we know that Ru this morning shelled #Oleksandrivka, #Lyubomyrivka, #Novomykolayivka, #Lupareve, #Chervonyi Yar, #Novohryhorivka, #Stepove, #Pervomayske, #Kyselivka (north), #Partyzanske etc
plus Ru indications on areas...
4/ on the #Kherson #Krivyyrih Rih axis.. also several changes as we had visual confirmation of part #Arkhangelske was at one point under Ukr control as other cities, but apparently some ru moves went the other way this afternoon so it's hard to be certain there. but close enough! Image
5/ the other very interesting point is the area around #Andriivka #Bilohirvka as it seems to be a major break through there, but one more time conflicting report for this area. best case scenario Ukr are advancing maybe (pincer move) to try to take #Davydivbrid . would be awesome
6/ Also about the #Bakhmut south situation, all the day major attacks happened but Ukrainian Defense Forces have repelled attempts to attack the enemy in the directions of Vesela Valley, #Bakhmut, #Zaitseve, #Mayorsk (black arrow - they try sometimes there) and #Kodema
#Ukraine Image
7/ last gen staff report of the day : ImageImage
8/ from this morning report : Ru units continued shelling from barrel artillery and multiple rocket launcher systems and jet strikes near #Dolyna, #Krasnopilla, #Bohorodychne & #Virnopilla
so i don't get the pseudo Ukr advance as it seems to be the same FEBA line there... Image
9/ In the Avdiivka direction, Ru fired mortars, tanks, barrel and rocket artillery near Avdiivka, Opytne, Umanske, Pervomaiske ...., tried to improve the tactical position in the directions of Krasnohorivka & Mariinka, traditionally suffered losses & retreated.
yep same map Image
10/ In the #Zaporijia direction, Ru is carried out shelling along the contact line. The enemy is regrouping units and units of the 3rd Army Corps on the temporarily occupied territory of the #Zaporizhzhia region with the aim of resuming the offensive in the specified direction.
11/ Quick thread on the losses of this last couple of days as it sounds really important in the Ru rank.
I wanted to explain that for a long time... i made a word script - you can read below the alleged Russians losses in Ukraine. ImageImage
12 A/ so here are my (partly) my thoughts about it. Image
12 B/ Image
12 C/ and that's it.
sorry it's not a full proper analysis of the subject but at the end of an 10 hours days, it's quite hard to do something more than a "correct" memo.
ok..; thank you! Image
13/ More pamphlets appeared in #Kherson. Partisans are adding some more pressure (and recently killed "figures proéminente" de la compromission avec l'envahisseur Russe (yeah i don't have it in English tonight..) Image
14/ #Ukraine AF looks still active! & teddy bear is still doing great job being wingman! amazin pics from last days - flew 16 missions, striking Ru ammo depots, hardware etc. #Geoloc would be great! ImageImage

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More from @HeliosRunner

Sep 1
Thanks to @NLwartracker : some clue about soldiers rotation now /#Soledar
"Following reports from the front in #Donbass and #Kharkiv, it appears that the #Ukrainian army has followed a daring strategy in the months after the repulsed attack on #Kyiv. It has a large part of the.."
2/ "having experienced regular troops rotate to the hinterland to recoup and be replenished with new fresh recruits who have received thorough training in recent months. Their place was largely taken by the so-called TDF battalions"
3/ "militias such as o. a. Azov, international fighters battalions and officers who were extremely motivated. What was also noticeable for some time was that from time to time criticism came from these troops about a lack of heavy (western) weapons and artillery..."
Read 8 tweets
Aug 30
1/ Operational situation update regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on August 30, 2022.
-minor changes on the front line-
There is an ongoing major operations in the initiative of Ukr in #Kerson & Ru are certainly on their way to control #Kodema
#UkraineMap #CarteUkraine
2/ More infos from Gen staff last report ;
3/ "RU are trying to establish control over the settlement of #Kodema from several directions at the same time, fighting continues." which means 2 things in gen staff own language : sometimes "only" that, with 24h delay OR it means "ok, bad, we are close to the end/place taken.."
Read 10 tweets
Aug 30
1/ so apparently yesterday There were 12 directions (not 4 like a lot of people rushed to claims) of the offensive of the Armed Forces. Four of them were successful (but i don't know more this morning). but then the Ru stopped them in lots of areas. no major "retreat" at all.
2/ The offensive will continue for exactly two or three days. (so one more time not an "indefinite" ongoing action.
of course contrary to Ru claims there were not any huge losses (in the directions reported by trustee Ukr soldiers). lots of wound for sure. it was an attack..
3/ Gen staff don't even mention it (of course) this morning and actually this won't be the first time all this happens in the south..
Read 15 tweets
Aug 29
1/ Operational situation update regarding the #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on August 29, 2022.
-no major changes on the front line-
But a very particular day today - all major Ru offensives were pushed back and some ukr alleged victories near #Kerson
#UkraineMap #CarteUkraine
2/ i could produce a map in the #Kherson area with lots of crosses and says : here & here & here... but the truth is no one right now is able to confirm anything! nothing!
so we'll see in the coming days how it goes. nothing to worry. only good news today.
3/ i just give last gen staff report. i got to stop tonight. just be careful with infos as Pro russians r sharing some old footage now, so when you claim Ukr have advanced in a specific area then they will shut you down.. & point out your failures and mistakes
take care you all!
Read 14 tweets
Aug 29
Absolute devastating deep Impact on the roof of buildings adjacent to reactor 2 at the #Zaporizhzhia #Zaporijia #zaporizhzya NPP.

This is roughly 100m from the reactor 2 building.
2 of this through the shell protecting the main reactor room could turn catastrophic. ImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Aug 29
so please people stop tagging me or DM me about this
#Kherson story
yes could be true! yes would be super cool and all!
i just don't spend my day on Telegram !
even if i have infos, i'll wait as usual 24h or if something with legit #geoloc / dates pops up i'll look into it!
thx!
2/ this afternoon is gonna be hectic:
"on s'autorise à penser dans les milieux autorisés" :

"There are initial (unconfirmed) reports that Ukrainian forces reached and liberated #SukhyStavok "

but keep cool head..
3/ In Russian-occupied Nova Kakhovka, #Kherson region, evacuations from workplaces has been announced, people are leaving for shelters - per RIA Novosti
but we don't if it's global or a simple report for a specific area.
Read 16 tweets

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