1/ Operational situation update / #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on September 11, 2022
The situation has evolved today in the continuity of yesterday movements. Ru are definitively (for now) leaving the #Kharkiv Oblast. all reports confirms.
but.. #UkraineMap#CarteUkraine
2/ there is still a huge "fog of war "actually on the actual limits of Ukr "insertion" past the #Oskil river, (which is actually not that "wide" right now, & would be easily crossed by SOF if they want to reiterate their exploit of the past 72h). & conflicted reports are out.
3/ So as we do know and have intel about is the fact that the majority of Ru troops flew away - giving huge "gifts" as expected, to Ukr army (actually 100's of materials & vehicles already) in the direction of Luhansk Oblast & major cities there, but we don't know abt Ru forces
4/ that were "forced" to stay in the are of Oskil to Lyman and all the way north to the Russian frontier...
this sudden move actually let the Ukr in small groups everywhere right now, (lots of videos of cities "liberated" everywhere, but in terms of "dynamic" - paradoxically -
5/ this total "Berezina" for Ru, left the Ukrainians soldiers like the only "janitors" available to clean the mansion after a Hugh Hefner party!
it's a total mess!
suddenly 5k to 7k soldiers move out, & now you get to check everything everywhere..
which is a pain in the a...
6/ So As we heard yesterday even form official accounts that villages like #Lyman were liberated, now we had confirmation by Gaidai for example that it is not done right now & Ru TG claims counter attack there..
so this is "wasted" opportunity right now...
7/ he also reports some really important moves (from direct vid evidence) that : #Stanytsia Luhanska, there is currently a 12-kilometer queue of cars #Shchastya, the queue is also several kilometers long #Starobilsk orcs are driving towards #Luhansk
The same #Svatovo
8/ All the collaborator are panicking right now and they get their chances to move out before the same happens to DNR/LNR
9/ but anyway to finish my Point about the current situation in Lyman area..
if #UAarmy could manage to push Ru back to -at least- past #Kreminna then it would certainly force Ru to move out then of the #Lyssichantsk pocket..
but that's an entire new front & battles there to win
10/ what i mean here, is ..i've seen plenty (& i myself am more than happy about the current situation) but all the soldiers "blocked" now to the north frontier can't fight where it is necessary to fight right now to keep the momentum, so we got to be cautious about what's next.
11/ if Putin has decided now to play the "defense" of the entire area, regrouping all the forces and sending within couple months a new army, this could take some more time.. much more than right now lots of people are expecting.
but we'll talk again about that another day.
12/ on the other fronts not much to say.
some claims that #Pisky was a successful attack by Ukrainians today.. some claim the opposite
So we'll have also to wait for true confirmations about that one.
14/ be careful also with these kind of "claims"..
'on s'autorise a penser dans les milieux autorisés"... like 150k think tank reporting -yesterday- of motorcade in Moscow to capture Putin, or other stupid tweets abt Ukr crossing the border to #Belgorod
"certified" means nothing
15/ Also rumours in the south in the kherson Oblast, and Gen staff talked a bit about it.. some ru mvts recorded.. but we have no real intel right now about the situation.
I don't know what is the "new plan" of Putin for that area, but he could decide the same thing /Kharkiv
16/ and suddendly decide that the Ru will simply "protect" one side of the "Dniepr" in order to secure these "acquired" land up to #Zaporijia & to protect #Crimea .. maybe in order to pass a "deal" to stop the war before winter... who knows..
23/ before i forget :
alleged losses of the day and recap of the week as usual for the last 6 months..
24/
25/
26/ you can read the short conversation here if some basic explanations needed :)
i'll try to recap all at the end of the month.
ask long time Brothers here, the "average" always fit w actual observation on the field of incoming/happening problems for Ru.
1/ Operational situation update / #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on September 13, 2022
The situation is still evolving in favor of Ukr troops North of the Donets river, but it not really possible to confirm a real definitive FEBA line for now.
on the.. #UkraineMap#CarteUkraine
2/ other hand Russian claims to have size a village of 25 inhabitants. they are almost claiming (some do) that this a major blow to Ukraine Army 😂😬🤡
it has still to be confirmed though, so i'll try to check this tomorrow...
on all other places they were pushed back w certainty
3/ Nothing really change in the Donetsk or Zaporijia area, & in #Kherson area, 2 "minor-major" changes has been recorded (hope Ukr army can hold on there & progress) that would be a real progress in south.
orange Vs yellow line. will update map in coming days. Reports saying
1/ Mid Day report : #Izium to #Severodonetsk area - 13/09/2022 (yeah, day first!)
Dozens of reports are coming in & we have at the same time a clear view of the situation in some areas & it is totally unclear in others. Only things certain: Ru are existing the zone w hard losses
2/ Today with direct contact to locals in diff cities -via TG contact - i had confirmation that Ru were totally moving out several cities like #Svetove or #Kreminna which was still very surprising to me as i thought Russia would want to keep a line of defense, in order to protect
3/ Their "north". so the possibility for the Ukrainians army to surrender their previous "frontier" of LNR established in 2017. but apprently they are really moving out (i'll talk about it and about possible consequences)
& then, later we have received infos from direct sources
1/ Operational situation update / #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on September 12, 2022
The situation is still evolving & lots or reports of Ukr troops pas #Oskil river, but it not really possible to confirm a real definitive FEBA line for now.
on the... #UkraineMap#CarteUkraine
2/ on the other hand, regarding the situation on the south of the Donets river, the situation remains almost unchanged, even if Gen staff confirms that The enemy continues to focus its efforts on establishing control over the territory of Donetsk oblast.
They regroup to push back
3/ Ukrainians out .. beyond the #SiverskyDonets but today there were new about more Ukrainians troops (i reported some were already there days ago) went from #Bilohorivka area to #Kreminna#Kremina (but very diff outcomes are reported) also few vids (no geoloc) to corroborate all
1/ 1. The operation continues - not only in the East, but also in the #Kherson region. 2. The breakthrough, rapid-advancing, tsunami phase has been replaced by the phase of consolidating results and fighting for the most profitable frontiers - as stepping stones for the next leap
2/ 3. Our team does not allow themselves to get carried away - and this is the highest sign of professionalism. 4. Conditions and resources are needed for the advancement and they are created not in one day. 5. The results of the tsunami in the East are brilliant. One piece of
3/ equipment has been taken over to fully provide our new mechanized and otherwise tanked crew. About moral aspects - what can I say - the myth of the invincibility of the Russ army is broken all over the world, which means a total change of perspective - to the Kiev-centric one.
1/ we have also just received some new conversation btwn russian & his wife (he was stationed in #Kharkiv area and now moving away he recently talked to her) :
"Russian orcs are felling the pressure of the Armed Forces in #Kharkiv region full of their 200s comrade and say goodbye
2/ to their relatives...
The decisive actions of the Ukrainian defenders in the east sowed despair among the invaders. They are running out of ammunition, there is no air support, and they have to fight even with injuries. So they only have to say goodbye to their relatives & cry
3/ from hopelessness.
This is confirmed by the Russian occupier's conversation with his wife, which was intercepted by the SBU.
"We cannot defend, they have too strong weapons compared to ours. We asked for aviation support, they told us to "defend yourself as you wish (can),"
1/ IMPORTANT NEWS !
following the recent update (read down below after the announcement) of Command South regarding the recent progress of Ukr army today in lots of different area in the #Kherson Oblast
Nataliya Humenyuk, the head of press center of command "South" just said :
2/ "The Russians are trying to negotiate the terms of how they will lay down their arms and come under the auspices of international humanitarian law"
IF true, the entire area of #Kherson could collapse as entire Ru forces could "give up" within ddays!!
Please share !!! #Ukraine
3/ This was following the recent news :
"As of today, since the start of active actions we have managed to move the front line from 4 to 12 km.
The total area of the freed territories is over 5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ sq. km." etc. read below...