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Sep 12 4 tweets 3 min read
1/ "The Export Sales Data Snafu," by @JosephJanzen bit.ly/3QzFP9p

The absence of regular export sales reports raises at least two questions.

First, what is the state of export sales for the old-crop 2021-22 and new-crop 2022-23 marketing years for #corn and #soybeans?
2/ Based on the information we do have, prospects for old-crop US #corn and #soybean exports are mixed bit.ly/3QzFP9p
3/ A second, broader question pertains to the value of having publicly available USDA export sales data for agricultural commodity markets.

Past instances where USDA reports were not released due to federal government shutdowns shed some light on this question.
4/ Analysis of those cases suggests options-implied volatility and thus the cost of risk management using options was elevated.

However, those shutdowns affected nearly all USDA data products which would be expected to have a larger effect. bit.ly/3QzFP9p

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More from @FarmPolicy

Nov 29, 2021
At the top of the hour--

farmdoc webinar:

* "#Illinois #Farm Economic Summit 2021- - - 2021/22 Market Outlook for #Corn and #Soybeans."

* Presenters: @ScottIrwinUI and @JosephJanzen.

* Register here: bit.ly/3lkVCMt
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Sep 22, 2021
1/ "#Brazil Starts Planting Grain Crop with Forecast of a New Record," by Joana Colussi bit.ly/3kE0H2N

#Farmers in Brazil began planting in September for what is expected to be a recording-breaking 2021-2022 harvest.
2/ The first projection from CONAB (National Supply Company in Brazil) projects farmers will produce 289.6 million tons of soybeans, corn, cotton, rice, and beans – accounting for nearly 95% of the total grain produced in #Brazil. bit.ly/3kE0H2N
3/ About 99 million acres are expected to be devoted to #soybeans, and about 51 million acres to #corn, both records. bit.ly/3kE0H2N
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Sep 22, 2021
1/ "Debt Financing and Timing Farmland Purchases," by Gary Schnitkey. bit.ly/3ECjsvr

Both cash rents and farmland prices rose in 2021. Image
2/ Figure 2 shows current returns to farmland from 1970 to 2021.

A close relationship between current returns and Treasury rates is expected. bit.ly/3ECjsvr Image
3/ Land prices increased in most years from 2006 to 2014, resulting in large capital gains in those years.

Land prices were stable and declined from 2014 to 2020, leading to low and negative capital gains. bit.ly/3ECjsvr Image
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May 26, 2020
At the top of the hour- farmdoc webinar, May 26th.

* Updated Perspectives on the #Pandemic and Policy Responses

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At the top of the hour- farmdoc webinar, April 28.

* @farmdocDaily Live | #COVID19 and Ag.

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