bob coleman Profile picture
Sep 19 8 tweets 3 min read
The Silver ETF #SLV is getting more perplexing.

On Friday 8.8 million shares outstanding were created, the fund went to a premium to NAV of 2.79%. This means the market value of each share were worth more than the fund's assets per share (silver plus any cash). Image
What was really odd was that on September 16 there were 477,738,959.20 Ounces in the trust. On that day 8.8 million shares were created. Supposedly silver is delivered in lieu of shares being created, However, the net ounces in the fund dropped as of Sept. 18, 2022 Bar list Image
From the prospectus: "The Trust issues and redeems Baskets on a continuous basis. Baskets are only issued or redeemed in exchange for an amount of silver determined by the Trustee on each day that
NYSE Arca is open for regular trading."
prospectus cont'd
"No Shares are issued unless the Custodian has allocated to the Trust’s account (except for an unallocated amount of silver not in excess of
1,100 ounces), the corresponding amount of silver."
Again, it was reported this morning there were 469,631,731.9 ounces accounted for in the SLV depositories. About a 1.7% drop from what was reported the prior day. Image
How can SLV issue net new shares while reducing the net amount of silver at the same time?

At the same time the borrowing fee to short SLV shares remains at the highs of the year. Even after 8.8 million new shares created. Image
Can anyone explain this activity? Please retweet this, I would sincerely like an explanation from any of the Authorized Participants.

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More from @profitsplusid

Aug 2
1/Seen a lot of discussion with lease rates rising in gold. What is happening and why backwardation has abated are interconnected. This may be a little tricky to follow and confuses many to believing the argument of price suppression when in fact market forces are to blame.
2/Lease rates rise when there is a demand to borrow the metal. The recent backwardation was an interesting occurrence. On one hand there was physical demand in the marketplace by investors, the other saw large funds using this period to borrow metal and sell (short) it.
3/To simplify, lets use a stock like Tesla for example. Many believe this stock is overvalued. With that premise, they go to their broker/dealer and ask to borrow stock so they can short it into the market.
Read 18 tweets
Jul 24
1/ Where and How I see a reversal of trend in precious metals. There has been much talk of paper liquidation in ETFs and Futures. A number of research firms are looking for a capitulation to the inflation theme that brought many into precious metals in 2020.
2/ No question we have seen large amount of pressure in the PM sector the last few weeks. However, one point that no research firm has been able to explain is the consistent backwardation that has set in on all 4 precious metals.
3/ I have been on record talking about Bank deleveraging of gold and silver ever since the Basel 3 implementation in 2021. What we have seen in the OCC derivative reports is a vertical rise in the precious metals category.
Read 17 tweets
May 20
Massive jump in Notional principal amount of over-the-counter derivative contracts for Precious metals (Silver, Platinum, Palladium only) for JP Morgan.... $278.8 Billion increase over 1 quarter. This is breath taking.

Appreciate @cruthergien for pointing this out
Dec 31, 2021 total amount was $27,037,000,000 (approx. $27 Billion)
March 31, 2022 total amount was 305,878,000,000 (approx. $305.8 Billion)
Read 7 tweets
May 18
Many questions surrounding the Fed's Reverse Repurchase Agreement ( #RRP ). The ability to raise rates and address inflation has little to do with the #FOMC announcement every 6 weeks and more to do with this program. As one can see almost $2 #trillion is in this program.
As Paul Harvey would say, here is "the rest of the story" Could the #RRP been designed to stop Treasury-Bill ( T-bill ) rates from going negative or keep upward pressure on yields due to a shortage of available t-bills.
Basically having RRP as another form of savings, this removes the normal market pressure of excess funds from T-bill paydowns seeking fewer and fewer T-bills (keeping rates artificially lower).
Read 5 tweets
Apr 26
1/ Could the #LME #nickel fiasco happen to the #Comex #gold and #silver market?

On my recent Twitter Spaces with @PalisadesRadio I mentioned that we may have a problem with current and future availability of gold and silver bars from the expanded refiner list.

Please retweet!
2/ Back in 2020, the #CME expanded the list of approved refineries whose bars are eligible for good delivery to the Comex. This was due to overwhelming demand for physical product and to maintain an orderly market. bullionstar.com/blogs/ronan-ma…
3/ 51 #LBMA approved gold refineries had been added to the eligible brand list for the COMEX 100 (GC 100) gold futures contract. Of the 51 refiner brands, the top countries represented are 12 refineries from China and 7 from Russia.
Read 18 tweets
Apr 19
1/ The #PhysicalVersusPaper discussion and the effect on silver’s price can be a heated topic. Part of the last “#spaces” event we touched on various #derivative products constructed by BofA and JP Morgan.
2/ Expanding on this topic where #Silver (the actual metal) is used as a ploy to create publicly traded #investments, let’s look at 2 more traded #securities.
3/ Just like buying processed food, what is on the front of the box may not necessarily have anything to do with the actual ingredients listed on the back label. Remember to read the #nutritional facts in the prospectus before consuming.
Read 11 tweets

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