Ted Darling Profile picture
Sep 20 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello Tuesday!

"Whistling past the graveyard" ๐Ÿฅ

Equities are oblivious to the MOVE at 133.79 ๐ŸŒŠ, the 3-month bill tapping 3.377% with the 10-year at 3.518

Ignore at your own peril.
JPOW will remind us again tomorrow.

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 27688 +0.45%
$SSEC 3122 +0.2%
$TWII 14549 +0.85%
$HSI 18776 +1.15%
$KOSPI 2368 +0.5%
$IDX 7197 unch

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 6806 +1.3%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59945 +1.35%
European equities โ†”๏ธ at the open

$DAX 12784 -0.15%
$FTSE 7264 +0.4%
$CAC 6046 -0.25%
$AEX 667 +0.2%
$IBEX 7981 -0.15%
$MIB 22100 -0.2%
$SMI 10611 -0.05%
$MOEX 2389 -1.7% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 25.87 ๐Ÿ”ป

$DAX range = 12549 - 13369 ๐Ÿป
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†”๏ธ into #vixperation

$ES 3898 -0.05%
$NQ 11935 -0.15%
$RTY 1813 +0.15%

$VIX 26.00

$SPX range = 3825 - 4007 neutral
$VIX range = 22.08 - 28.02 ๐Ÿป
Metals โ†”๏ธ

$GOLD 1677 -0.05%
$SILVER 19.363 +0.05%
$COPPER 3.51 -0.1%
$PLAT 923 +0.5%
$PALL 2176 -2.0% โฌ…๏ธ
$ALI 2249 -0.1%
$ZINC 3196 +1.8% โฌ…๏ธ

$GVZ 18.37

$GOLD range = 1654 - 1726 ๐Ÿป
$COPPER 3.37 - 3.73 ๐Ÿป
Hydrocarbons โ†—๏ธ a bit

$WTIC 85.77 +0.5%
$BRENT 92.65 +0.7%
$NATGAS 7.832 +1.05%
$GASO 2.489 +1.05%

$OVX 46.75 ๐Ÿ”ป

$WTIC range = 80.86 - 88.71 ๐Ÿป
$NATGAS range = 7.15 - 9.95 โ™‰๏ธ
Grains trading โ†—๏ธ

$WHEAT 835 +0.55%
$CORN 683 +0.7%
$SOYB 1465 +0.3%
$SUGAR 17.70 unch

$COFFEE 222 +0.2% โ˜•๏ธ

$DBA range 20.21 - 20.87 ๐Ÿป to neutral
Closed my short yesterday
#FX โ†”๏ธ

$EUR 1.008 -0.14%
$GBP 1.435 +0.05%
$AUD 0.671 -0.28%
$USD 109.525 +0.05%
$USDJPY 143.63 +0.3% โฌ…๏ธ
$USDCHF 0.966 +0.13%
$USDCAD 1.328 +0.23%
$USDRUB 60.037 -0.2% ๐Ÿช†

$USD range = 108.99 - 110.40 โ™‰๏ธ
$GBP range = 1.131 - 1.16 ๐Ÿป
#cryptocurrencies ๐Ÿ€ hard of the low end of the range yesterday, but โ†˜๏ธ a bit this morning

$BTC 19304 -1.2%
$ETH 1358 -1.4%

#Bitcoin range = 18354 - 21895 ๐Ÿป
UST yields โ†—๏ธ
10/2s to -45 BPS

MOVE 133.79 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

$TNX range = 3.24 - 3.59 โ™‰๏ธ
$TLT range = 105.51 - 109.82 ๐Ÿป

Global 10Ys
UST 3.524 +0.035 โฌ…๏ธ
GILT 3.219 +0.06
BUND 1.883 +0.094
ITA 4.15 +0.102 โฌ…๏ธ
JPN 0.251 +0.005
AUS 3.681 +0.025
CAN 3.151 +0.004
We are getting the expected ๐Ÿ€ into #vixperation and it's your opp to reload ๐Ÿฉณ

For some reason equity investors think the guy who said "pain to households and businessesโ€ just 3 weeks ago will pivot tomorrow with #CPI +8.3%

OK.

โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ and have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Sep 21
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

Last day of summer ๐ŸŒป
#FOMC announcement ๐Ÿ’ฆ
๐Ÿช†mobilization ๐Ÿฅท with โ˜ข๏ธ threat

What could possibly go wrong?

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†˜๏ธ again

$NIKK 27313 -1.35% ๐Ÿ‘
$SSEC 3117 -0.15%
$TWII 14425 -0.85%
$HSI 18429 -1.9% ๐Ÿซ
$KOSPI 2347 -0.85%
$IDX 7271 -0.35%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6700 -1.55%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 59468 -0.4%
Europe โ†”๏ธ despite ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿฅทโ˜ข๏ธ

$DAX 12602 -0.55%
$FTSE 7224 +0.45%
$CAC 5956 -0.4%
$AEX 661 -0.15%
$IBEX 7867 -0.05%
$MIB 21859 +0.4%
$SMI 10413 -0.6%
$MOEX 2155 -2.75% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿซ

$VSTOXX 27.81 ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ›—

$DAX range = 12563 - 13353 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets
Sep 19
Hello Monday!

The beatings ๐Ÿช“๐Ÿฉธ will continue until ๐Ÿ’ฆ improves.

Unfortunately, for risk asset โ™‰๏ธ, that is not any time soon.

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27568 -1.1%
$SSEC 3116 -0.35%
$TWII 14426 -0.95%
$HSI 18547 -1.15%
$KOSPI 2356 -1.15%
$IDX 7216 +0.65% โฌ…๏ธ

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6720 -0.3%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59113 +0.45%
Europe โ†˜๏ธ at the open as ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง bids the ๐Ÿ‘‘ adieu

$DAX 12684 -0.45%
$FTSE 7237 -0.6%
$CAC 6014 -1.05%
$AEX 660 -0.65%
$IBEX 7963 -0.25%
$MIB 21921 -0.85%
$SMI 10580 -0.3%
$MOEX 2446 +0.6% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 27.22 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 12487 - 13395 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets
Sep 11
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Global Macro Review
September 12, 2022

1/10

Comping against the June lows, equities, yields, and #bitcoin ripped โ†—๏ธ as the USD and vol ๐ŸŒŠ โ†˜๏ธ even as a litany of #FedHeads reaffirmed more ๐Ÿ‘Š๐Ÿฅฃ removal

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/10

The $USD ๐ŸŽณ paused while ECB, BOC, RBA hiked 75 BPS

$FXY -1.7% (w) -6.0% (T)
$UUP -0.65% (w), +4.9% (T)
$FXA +0.6% (w), -3.0% (T)
$FXE +0.91% (w), -4.75% (T)
$FXC +1.04% (w), -1.9% (T)
$FXF +2.14% (w), +2.6% (T)

Chart: capitulatory selling in $FXY ๐Ÿ’ด
3a/10

Treasury bond ETFs were ๐Ÿช“ as the $UST10Y +9.8 BPS to 3.3.15%

10/2s to -24.8 BPS

MOVE 121.54 ๐Ÿ›—

$TLT -1.75% (w), -4.8% (T)
$TIP -1.05% (w), -5.05% (T)
$IEF -0.85% (w), -1.05% (T)

Chart: $TLT oversold and exploring a double bottom
Read 12 tweets
Sep 9
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$TNX +3.1%
$TLT -1.95%
$HYG +1.6%

$SPX +2.1%
$SSEC +2.3%
$NIKK +2.05%
$DAX -1.1%

$USD +0.18%
$GOLD -0.17%

$WITC -3.85%
$NATGAS -9.9%
$COPPER +3.5$
#Bitcoin -3.2%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ and the risk that is on!
With the USD โ†˜๏ธ hard, Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 28215 +0.55%
$SSEC 3262 +0.8%
$TWII 14583 +1.2%
$HSI 19380 +2.8% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2384 +0.35%
$IDX 7243 +0.15%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 694 +0.65%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 59722 +0.05%
Buyers are out in force in Europe โ†—๏ธ

$DAX 13110 +1.6%
$FTSE 7367 +1.45%
$CAC 6219 +1.5%
$AEX 685 +1.6%
$IBEX 8045 +1.6%
$MIB 22089 +1.9%
$SMI 1083 +0.85%
$MOEX 2402 +0.5%

$VSTOXX 24.97 ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ›—

$DAX range = 12437 - 13182 ๐Ÿป ๐Ÿฉณ
Read 11 tweets
Sep 5
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Global Macro Review
September 5, 2022

Hello Labor Day ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ!
Other than the $USD, very little that was in the green long side last week. This morning, commodities are bouncing but equities โ†˜๏ธ

Letโ€™s review the week and the real-time ๐Ÿงฎ!

๐Ÿงต
Asia ๐Ÿช“๐Ÿฉธ last week with $HSI -3.55%, $NIKK -3.45%, and $KOSPI -2.9%.

Today โ†”๏ธ
$NIKK 27620 -0.1%
$SSEC 3200 +0.4%
$TWII 14661 -0.1%
$HSI 2404 -0.25%
$IDX 7232 +0.75%

$ASX 6852 +0.35%

$BSE 59209 +0.7%

Chart: $NIKK flipped to neutral Trend (T) -0.4% over the past 3 months
Unambiguously ๐Ÿช“๐Ÿฉธ โ†˜๏ธ this morning, Europe was โ†”๏ธ last week with $DAX + 0.44% and $CAC -1.7%

$DAX 12640 -3.15%
$FTSE 7200 -1.1%
$CAC 6031 -2.2%
$AEX 666 -1.9%
$IDEX 7778 -1.95%
$MIB 21327 -2.7%
$SMI 10704 -1.7%
$MOEX 2457 -0.6%

$VSTOXX 28.96 ๐Ÿ”บ

Chart: $DAX bye higher low ๐Ÿ’ฃ
Read 11 tweets
Aug 30
Hello Turnaround Tuesday!

This equity market keeps giving you opportunities to reduce exposure long side and to add ๐Ÿฉณ

Kashkari be damned!

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia is the mirror image of yesterday ๐Ÿชž
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ†—๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28196 +1.15%
$SSEC 3227 -0.4%
$TWII 14954 +0.2%
$HSI 19910 -0.55%
$KOSPI 2451 +1.0%
$IDX 7159 +0.4%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 6998 +0.45%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 59150 +2.05% โฌ…๏ธ โ™‰๏ธ
Europe โ†—๏ธ at the open

$DAX 13080 +1.45%
$FTSE 7465 +0.5%
$CAC 6390 +1.1%
$AEX 706 +1.15%
$IBEX 8071 +1.0%
$MIB 22112 +1.25%
$SMI 10976 +0.75%
$MOEX 2310 +0.6% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 27.22 ๐Ÿ”ป

$DAX range = 12679 - 13503 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets

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