Thread by @SabFis3

It’s official.

Tomorrow at 15.00 (Moscow time) 🇷🇺 will annex #Donetsk, #Luhansk, #Zaporizhzhia + #Kherson. They will „sign treaties“ at the Kremlin.

#Putin will give #annexation speech after the ceremony (time TBC).

Подписание состоится 30 сентября ria.ru/20220929/rossi…

This means:

1. 🇷🇺 illegally annexes > 20% of 🇺🇦 territory.

2. on this basis it will illegally consider 🇺🇦 attacks on these territories as targeting 🇷🇺itself and use them to legitimize future escalations in its war against 🇺🇦.

3. Putin creates a path dependency that future 🇷🇺 leaderships will find difficult to get rid of. The new 🇷🇺 constitution, adopted in from 2020 in extremely doubtful circumstances, stipulates that it is illegal to “dispropriate” 🇷🇺 territory.

From tmrw 15.00 this applies not only to Crimea (illegally annexed in 2014), but 4 more 🇺🇦 regions.

4. 🇷🇺 “recognized” and now annexes the territories within the borders of the 🇺🇦 oblasts - so it will try to conquer the rest of all 4 oblasts in the coming weeks.

5. Putin also burns the bridges with regard to negotiations. The Istanbul Agreement is dead. 🇺🇦 will find it impossible to return to the table now. And further negotiation about grain, nuclear safety, let alone ceasefires will be extremely complicated if not impossible now.

This is about Putin’s imperialist legacy. He has crossed the point of no return. Very, very, very bad.

#StandWithUkraine