Sofi Oksanen Profile picture
Sep 30 12 tweets 4 min read
Some of you have wondered, why an earth would Russia destroy its own infra #nordstream. The question itself is the answer: all eye balls on the #gaspipe and national security > the attention is drawn to something else than Ukraine. Besides: (1/x) 🧵
- If a country is willing to kill it's own citizens the way #Russia does, why infra would be some special exception? (2/x)
- If #Putin is ok with using terrorist attacks against Russia's own citizens, why infra would be such an impossible idea? Remember how he rose to power? By blowing up apartment buildings and claiming it was a terrorist attack.(3/x)
- RU is not good at waging conventional war. It's best at hybrid operations and hybrid war. Sometimes psychological impact is worth all the money burned. Now it obviously is. (4/x)
- All the discussion circles around the nukes even though RU hasn't used all the escalation steps before the nukes (bio weapons, testing nukes). We also forgot eco terrorism from the escalation list. Before you can use #ecoterror as a deterrent, you have to give a sample. (5/x)
- Last week Putin was ridiculed in the West. This week nobody is laughing at Putin. Masterful change of narrative I say.
For Finns: watch this A-talk -episode (In Finnish, @ristoej explains this very eloquently.) (6/x) areena.yle.fi/1-50949894
- Already years back one of the security concerns about the Nordstream was that RU could justify its military presence in the Baltic State by saying that they need to secure the pipes. The terror attack indeed gives them now that "justification".(7/x)
- Russian #maskirovka by excellence: our focus is now on the national security. We do have limited resources when it comes to security personnel and Russia loves to make us thinking about it.
- Plausible deniability, Russia's favourite thing!(8/x)
- Russia's military force is already destroyed in Ukraine. By moving our gaze to the sea they remind us about the subs (nobody has been talking about Russian submarines for ages.) (9/)
Think how badly the flag ship Moskva hurt them. Is it really a bad idea to get everyone talking about something that should be working? (10/x)
- Last, but not least: In the West we think it's insane to blow up your flag ship business which was to attract enterprises to do business with RU. But Putin is almost 70. His tombstone project is not to restore economical ties with the West. (11/x)
>Who would remember that in 100 years? Nobody. His tombstone project is to restore Russia's might which equals with the fear of Russia. In that game pipes can go.
Yes, desperate this might, but not insane. #kaasuputki (12/12) End of 🧵

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More from @SofiOksanen

Sep 26
About "referendums" in #Ukraine. Many have asked, why #Russia even makes the effort to stage "#referendums", which look so fake to any Western country. But let's go back a bit and look at the #Baltic states under Soviet occupation.(1/x) 🧵
- In Baltic states we know this "referendum"-play very well: the USSR occupied Baltic states through performances that bears similarities to these "referendums". (2/x)
- As a result in my textbooks in #Finland there was no word about occupation, but I was told how Balts "joined" happily to the family of Soviet republics. This is what Finnish curriculum taught at school a decade after decade.(3/x)
Read 16 tweets
Sep 21
In March I understood that the invasion might lead to the end of #Russia'n Federation. Since that I haven't seen signs suggesting this scenario wouldn't be possible. But is the West prepared for the possible dissolution of the federation and its consequences? #Venäjä (1/x) 🧵
- If the Kremlin understands the collapse might be a possibility, they might find themselves in #China's pocket. That's not good for the West and this also might lead to lifting the sanctions > the rule of tyranny in Russia continues. (2/x)
- There's no empire that would've given up its expansive and colonial ideas willingly. In Europe the former empires chose the path of the EU. So, it's not given that former colonial powers choose the bad path for the future. (3/x)
Read 9 tweets
Sep 6
I'm grateful to #Ukraine, because:
- I've been writing about #Russia'n colonialism and its consequences for 20 years. I define myself as post-colonial author. But when I said that aloud, Western journalists very seldom understood what I meant: (1/x)🧵
They didn't connect #Estonia's occupation history nor the USSR with colonialism. Since February I haven't had to explain this.
- You made the energy-weapon visible. Even though Russia has been using it for ages, the Western countries just didn't see it. (2/x)
- You made the Russian cultural appropriation visible. Even Google defined Ukrainian artists like #Repin and #Gogol Russians. The West didn't understand it's a problem even though cultural appropriation is a tool to make the colonialism look like "justified" or "natural". (3/x)
Read 7 tweets
Aug 29
Muutama sana aiheesta, onko #Venäjä heikko vai vahva. Vaikka sen taistelutaidot ovat ilmeisen heikot #Ukraina'ssa, sen kyky aiheuttaa kaaosta muualla maailmassa on vahva, samoin eskalaatiotaito on kova. 🧵(1/x) mtvuutiset.fi/video/prog1649…
Vaikka Venäjän propaganda ei lännessä uppoa enää yhtä hyvin kuin ennen, samat vanhat disinformaatiokanavat operoivat tehokkaasti esimerkiksi Afrikassa. (2/x)
Vaikka Venäjä ei kykene massavainoihin (ainakaan vielä), se on kyennyt murskaamaan opposition ja vapaan median omassa maassaan. Nostamalla esiin rangaistavia esimerkkitapauksia se eskaloi pelon ilmapiiriä omassa maassaan. (3/x) @MTVSuomi #viidenjälkeen
Read 8 tweets
Aug 22
Few more thoughts on the killing of the daddy's girl. Many have speculated, if Russia might revenge the recent bombings in Crimea when Ukraine is celebrating its independency on the 24th of August, and if #Dugina's car bomb would spike up the revenge plans. #Dugin #Russia 🧵(1/x)
But Dugina is not important in that way. However the date of the Dugina-bombing has a symbolic meaning of its own. Russians remember what happened in August between the 19th and 21st. in 1991 - the old guard tried the coup in the USSR. (2/x)
It was the beginning of the decade of the chaos for Russians. I think this is the message that they do read in Kremlin. #Putin has a huge love for symbolic dates. (3/x)
Read 4 tweets
Aug 1
Monet ovat kyselleet, miten jaksan vuodesta toiseen kirjoittaa aiheista, jotka moni kokee ahdistavina:#Venäjä, #Ukraina, #sota. Koska sotaväsymyksestä on nyt puhuttu paljon, samoin siitä, miten lapsille pitäisi puhua sodasta, tässä muutama ajatus:🧵 1/
- Olen kasvanut kahden erilaisen yhteiskuntajärjestelmän välissä: diktatuurin ja pohjoismaisen demokratian. Sen vuoksi olen koko ikäni tiennyt, minkä puolesta taistelen. 2/
- Lapsena en nähnyt koskaan painajaisia esim. GULAG:ista, #KGB:stä tai Afganistanin sodasta, vaikka ne olivat osa kasvuympäristöäni. Ne olivat osa arkea eikä silmien ummistaminen ollut sen vuoksi vaihtoehto. En menettänyt sen arjen vuoksi elämäniloani.3/
Read 6 tweets

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