In the very beginning of the pandemic, I created the hashtag #multiyearpandemic

2023 is approaching and we are seeing it span out in reality.

1) #COVID19 is nowhere near endemic status.

2) Mathematical modeling 👉 it’s going to take ~10 years to reach it.

#CovidIsNotOver
This highly contagious virus has all of the necessary ingredients to ensure long term staying power. Millions will be disabled for life.

#COVIDisAirborne #asymptomatic #chronic #chronicillness #disability #longcovid #LongCovidKids
Here are the equations, if interested.
Mathematically: Diseases in endemic equilibrium have a Rt stably at 1, i.e. the average number of secondary cases per primary case is 1.

Fact: #COVID19 is not an endemic yet and if it ever happens it’s not a good thing.
Public messaging is equating endemic with success and safety but that’s far from the truth.

A disease in an endemic state is not a guarantee of safety. It’s an assurance to be constantly on guard.

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