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Jacob B. Aguilar, PhD Profile picture
Jacob B. Aguilar, PhD
@JacobBAguilar
Applied Mathematician
Jan 16, 2023 • 11 tweets • 1 min read
What will be the TRUE deaths caused by the XBB.1.5 variant?

Here is a mathematical modeling framework to capture it.

A THREAD Let I:=I(x,y,t) be the quantity of infected individuals at time t and spatial location (x,y).
Oct 8, 2022 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
Simplified thread on how public messaging has effectively utilized the ambiguity of the basic reproduction number (R0) to claim that #COVID is currently in an endemic status. Q 1 :What is R0?

Q2: How is it related to an infectious disease being classified in endemic status?
Oct 2, 2022 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
In the very beginning of the pandemic, I created the hashtag #multiyearpandemic

2023 is approaching and we are seeing it span out in reality.

1) #COVID19 is nowhere near endemic status.

2) Mathematical modeling 👉 it’s going to take ~10 years to reach it.

#CovidIsNotOver This highly contagious virus has all of the necessary ingredients to ensure long term staying power. Millions will be disabled for life.

#COVIDisAirborne #asymptomatic #chronic #chronicillness #disability #longcovid #LongCovidKids