Ted Darling Profile picture
Nov 18 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 4 min read
Hello #OPEX ๐ŸŒŠ and the week to date

$USD +0.41%
$GBP +0.25%
$GOLD -0.34%

$TLT +2.49%
$HYG -0.63%
$TNX -1.0%

$DAX +0.29%
$SSEC -0.32%
$NIKK -1.29%
$SPX -1.4%

$NATGAS +8.33%
$DBA -1.0%
#Bitcoin -1.93%
$SILVER -3.18%
$COPPER -5.63%
$WTIC -9.5%

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed on a โ†˜๏ธ๐ŸŽต

$NIKK 27900 -0.1%
$SSEC 3097 -0.6%
$TWII 14505 -0.2%
$HSI 17993 -0.3%
$KOSPI 2444 +0.05%
$IDX 7082 +0.5% โฌ…๏ธ

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7152 +0.25%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 61504 -0.4%
Europe with a persistent bid โ†—๏ธ โ™‰๏ธ

$DAX 14412 +1.0%
$FTSE 7393 +0.65%
$CAC 6641 +1.0%
$AEX 714 +0.75%
$IBEX 8107 +0.8%
$MIB 24634 +1.2%
$SMI 10993 +0.7%
$MOEX 21896 -0.75% โฌ…๏ธ

$VSTOXX 21.35

$DAX range = 13563 - 14576 โ™‰๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†—๏ธ into #opex

$ES 3965 +0.45%
$NQ 11738 +0.5%
$RTY 1846 +0.75%

$VIX 23.80

$SPX range = 3685 - 4026 ๐Ÿป
$IWM range = 178 - 189 ๐Ÿป
$VIX range = 21.83 - 25.9 โ™‰๏ธ
GOLD โ†—๏ธ with metals โ†”๏ธ

$GOLD 1769 +0.3%
$SILVER 21.28 +1.45%
$COPPER 3.672 -0.4%
$PLAT 993 +0.1%
$PALL 1984 -1.3%
$ALI 2390 unch
$ZINC 3005 +0.6%

$GVZ 16.77 ๐Ÿ”ป

$GOLD range = 1696 - 1801 โ†”๏ธ
$SILVER range = 20.38 - 22.52 โ™‰๏ธ
$COPPER range = 3.60 - 3.92 ๐Ÿ†•โ†”๏ธ
Hydrocarbons โ†”๏ธ

$WTIC 81.19 +0.65%
$BRENT 90.06 +0.7%
$GASO 2.465 +0.45%
$NATGAS 6.187 -2.85%

$OVX 45.34

$WTIC range = 77.74 - 92.39 ๐Ÿป
$NATGAS range = 5.28 - 6.80 ๐Ÿป
$DBC range = 24.74 - 26.51 ๐Ÿ†•๐Ÿป
for my buddy @pickedalready
Grains ๐Ÿ€ โ†—๏ธ

$WHEAT 813 +0.8%
$CORN 672 +0.6%
$SOYB 1424 +0.5%
$SUGAR 19.81 +0.45%

$COFFEE โ˜•๏ธ 158 +1.45%

$DBA range = 19.69 - 20.24 โ†”๏ธ
1-day rally in $USD โœ…

$EUR 1.039 +0.33%
$GBP 1.195 +0.73%
$AUD 0.672 +0.63%
$USD 106.23 -0.34% โฌ…๏ธ
$USDJPY 139.87 -0.22%
$USDCHF 0.95 -0.12%
$USDCAD 1.332 -0.06%
$USDCNY 7.113 -0.62%

#FX vol 11.47

$USD range = 105.37 - 109.64 ๐Ÿป
$GBP range = 1.156 - 1.198 โ†”๏ธ
#Cryptocurrencies โ†”๏ธ

$BTC 16734 +0.25%
$ETH 1215 +1.25%

#Bitcoin range = 14655 - 18576 ๐Ÿป
UST yields โ†—๏ธ across the curve
10/2s to -68 bps
10Y3M to -46 bps

MOVE 132.18 ๐Ÿ”บ

$TNX range = 3.69 - 4.33 โ™‰๏ธ
$TLT range = 96.3 - 102.09 ๐Ÿป
$HYG range = 71.74 - 74.93 ๐Ÿป

Global 10Ys
UST 3.81
GILT 3.286
BUND 2.085
ITA 4.004
JPN 0.246
AUS 3.654
CAN 3.114
Into #opex we go with a disinflationary phase transition under way

Expecting ๐ŸŒŠ into the close with $SPX 4,000 ๐ŸŽฏcontinuing to serve as a ๐Ÿงฒ

Have a super profitable day ๐Ÿ’ฐ and a GREAT weekend

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Nov 20
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Global Macro Review
11/20/2022

๐Ÿงต 1/7

#Recession cometh
Are you positioned accordingly?

Chart: Conference Board Leading Economic Index -3.2% over the past 6 months conference-board.org/topics/us-leadโ€ฆ Image
1a/7

The 10Y3M treasury spread, as a standalone indicator, has predicted recession with 98% accuracy.

Chart: 10Y3M Treasury Spread to -52 bps Image
1b/7

According to this Richmond Fed article, when both the LEI and 10Y3M are flashing #recession, there is a 99% chance of recession ahead.

richmondfed.org/publications/rโ€ฆ

Chart: Recession Indicators Image
Read 12 tweets
Nov 16
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

Did anyone else notice that the $USD is now ๐Ÿป trend?

If it stays that way, the implications for risk assets are quite โ™‰๏ธ. And that's you're set up for the ๐Ÿซ

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†”๏ธ to โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28028 +0.15%
$SSEC 3120 -0.45%
$TWII 14537 -0.05%
$HSI 18256 -0.45%
$KOSPI 2477 -0.1%
$IDX 7104 -0.3%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7122 -0.25%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 61811 -0.1%
Europe has been ๐Ÿ”ฅ but mostly โ†˜๏ธ this morning

$DAX 14274 -0.75%
$FTSE 7389 +0.25%
$CAC 6633 -0.15%
$AEX 716 -0.05%
$IBEX 8130 -0.7%
$MIB 24625 -0.3%
$SMI 10957 -0.65%
$MOEX 2222 unch

$VSTOXX 21

$DAX range = 13413 - 14612 โ™‰๏ธ
+6.1% over the past 3 months
Read 11 tweets
Nov 15
Hello Tuesday!

Big move ๐Ÿš€ overnight in Hong Kong ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ and the โ™‰๏ธ continues to sniff around China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ with G20 making headlines in Indonesia as oil ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธcontinues to soften

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia mostly โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 27990 +0.1%
$SSEC 3134 +1.65%
$TWII 14546 +2.6%
$HSI 18343 +4.1% ๐Ÿš€
$KOSPI 2480 +0.25%
$IDX 7035 +0.25%

Australia โ†”๏ธ
$ASX 7142 -0.05%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 61683 +0.1%
Europe โ†”๏ธ and overextended

$DAX 14282 -0.2%
$FTSE 7387 +0.05%
$CAC 6628 +0.3%
$AEX 710 +0.5%
$IBEX 8134 -0.4%
$MIB 24527 -0.3%
$SMI 11017 +0.15%
$MOEX 2222 -1.0%

$VSTOXX 20.92

$DAX range = 13333 - 14552 โ™‰๏ธ
Read 11 tweets
Nov 14
Hello Monday!

Fed Governor Waller out with a reminder that your risk asset exuberance is misguided

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed mostly โ†˜๏ธ as Joe meets Xi

$NIKK 27964 -1.05%
$SSEC 3083 -0.15%
$TWII 14175 +1.2% ๐Ÿ’พ
$HSI 17620 +1.7% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2475 -0.35%
$IDX 7109 +1.0%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7146 -0.15%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 61710 -0.15%
Europe trading โ†—๏ธ โ™‰๏ธ

$DAX 14248 +0.15%
$FTSE 7357 +0.55%
$CAC 6613 +0.3%
$AEX 704 +0.2%
$IBEX 8113 +0.2%
$MIB 24517+0.25%
$SMI 11079 -0.6%
$MOEX 2242 +1.1%

$VSTOXX 21.43 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 13249 - 14466 ๐Ÿ†•โ™‰๏ธ
Read 11 tweets
Sep 23
Hello Friday and the week to date:

$TNX +7.55%
$TLT -1.7%
$HYG -1.55%

$SPX -2.95%
$DAX -1.65%
$NIKK -1.5%
$SSEC -1.2%

$USD +1.25%
$GBP -1.5%
$GOLD -0.15%

$WTIC -1.5%
$NATG -8.65%
$COP -1.4%
$BTC -2.0%

Let's dig into today's market ๐Ÿงฎ!
$NIKK closed for the ๐Ÿ‚ ๐ŸŒ— with Asia โ†˜๏ธ ๐Ÿฉธ

$SSEC 3088 -0.65%
$TWII 14118 -1.15%
$HSI 17934 -1.2%
$KOSPI 2290 -1.8% โฌ…๏ธ
$IDX 7179 -0.55%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6575 -1.85%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 58236 -1.5%
Europe โ†˜๏ธ at the open ๐Ÿฉธ as UK parliament hands out stimmy checks #inflation

$DAX 12431 -0.8%
$FTSE 7094 -0.9%
$CAC 5876 -0.7%
$AEX 649 -1.25%
$IBEX 7680 -1.2%
$MIB 21544 -1.15%
$SMI 10228 -0.7%
$MOEX 2109 -3.75% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 28.15 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range 12275 - 13288 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets
Sep 22
Hello Thursday and the post-Powell 117 point swing in $SPX from a peak of 3907 to the close of 3790 ๐Ÿซ

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Kuroda-san left rates unch but BOJ intervenes in #FX as Asia closes โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 27154 -0.6%
$SSEC 3109 -0.25%
$TWII 14285 -0.95%
$HSI 18109 -1.8%
$KOSPI 2332 -0.65%
$IDX 7219 +0.45%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6700 -1.55%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 59351 -0.2%
European bourses โ†”๏ธ

$DAX 12748 -0.15%
$FTSE 7235 -0.05%
$CAC 6007 -0.4%
$AEX 669 -0.1%
$IBEX 7883 +0.15%
$MIB 22149 +0.5%
$SMI 10442 +0.1%
$MOEX 2188 +2.7% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 27.01

$DAX range = 12510 - 13320 ๐Ÿป
Read 11 tweets

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