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Dec 1 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Protest activity in #Iran may increase on December 5-7. The recent calls for protests may highlight the increasing organization and sophistication of the protest movement as well as some fractures. Read the latest from CTP and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
Anti-regime outlet #Iran_International published a purportedly internal regime memo discussing the protests.
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammad Shia al #Sudani met with US-sanctioned Astan Quds Razavi Custodian Ahmad Marvi in Mashhad, Khorasan Razavi Province, possibly to discuss commercial or financial cooperation.
At least nine protests took place in seven cities across six provinces.
An Intelligence and Security Ministry member died due to an unspecified cause in Zabol, Sistan and Baluchistan Province.

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More from @criticalthreats

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Dec 2
NEW | Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko continued to set informational conditions to resist Russian pressure to enter the war against Ukraine by claiming that NATO is preparing to attack Belarus. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
Russian forces continued efforts to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations and regain lost positions along the Svatove-Kreminna line on December 1. Image
Russian forces continued to make incremental gains around Bakhmut and to conduct offensive operations in the Avdiivka-Donetsk City area. Image
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 1
NEW | Protesters in #Zahedan, Sistan and Baluchistan Province rhetorically defended Sunni cleric Abdol Hamid against the regime on December 1. Read CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s full #Iran update here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… Image
The Raisi administration may be conducting a purge of local officials across Iran to install more loyal cadres.
At least five protests took place in four cities across four provinces.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 1
Russian efforts around Bakhmut indicate that Russian forces have fundamentally failed to learn from previous high-casualty campaigns concentrated on objectives of limited operational or strategic significance. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
Russian forces continued efforts to defend against Ukrainian counteroffensive operations and regain lost positions along the Svatove-Kreminna line on November 30.
Russian forces continued to make incremental advances south of Bakhmut on November 30.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Nov 30
The Islamic State (IS) announced the death of leader Abu Hassan al Qurayshi and the appointment of a successor on November 30.
The death will likely not weaken IS’s many far-flung affiliates. Read more from @KatieZimmerman and @EmilyCEstelle about IS’s resilience to decapitation strikes: criticalthreats.org/analysis/is-is…
US @CENTOM confirmed on November 30 that the Free Syrian Army killed Abu Hassan al Qurayshi in a security operation in Dar’a province, southwestern Syria, in mid-October.
Read 7 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Nov 30
Some Iranian protesters celebrated the US victory over #Iran in the #WorldCup. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… 1/6
At least nine protests took place in eight cities across seven provinces. 2/6
The #IRGC and its proxies in #Iraq threatened to incite conflict and unrest in #SaudiArabia—especially among the Shia population—likely in retaliation the alleged Saudi role in stoking protests in Iran. 3/6
Read 6 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Nov 30
#Russian forces made marginal gains around #Bakhmut on November 29, but Russian forces remain unlikely to have advanced at the tempo that Russian sources claimed. Read today’s update from @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/4
#Russian forces continued to defend against #Ukrainian counteroffensive operations around Svatove as Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations around #Svatove and #Kreminna. 2/4
Russian forces conducted ground attacks near #Siversk and #Avdiivka, and in western #Donetsk Oblast. 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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