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Jan 7 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
NEW | The Iranian regime failed to suppress demonstrations in #Zahedan, Sistan and Baluchistan Province on January 6. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
Confusing messaging from prominent protest organizations may risk further reducing protest activity.
Several Friday Prayer Leaders stressed the importance of enforcing mandatory veiling laws.
The US Department of Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned seven individuals associated with Iranian drone and ballistic missile sales to Russia.

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More from @criticalthreats

Critical Threats Profile picture
Jan 7
NEW | Recent Russian gains in Soledar do not portend an imminent encirclement of Bakhmut, contrary to claims made by Russian sources. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… Image
Russian and Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Svatove on January 7. Image
Russian forces made marginal confirmed advances in Soledar amid continuing Russian offensive operations around Bakhmut and along the western outskirts of Donetsk City. Image
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Jan 7
NEW | Supreme Leader Ali #Khamenei continues to empower hardline security figures to enforce his uncompromising position toward the protests and mandatory hijab law. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… Image
The Judiciary executed two additional protesters—Mohammad Mehdi Karami and Mohammad Hosseini—on January 7. Iranian authorities tortured Karami and Hosseini and convicted them in sham trials for their alleged roles in killing a Basij member.
State security services arrested reformist journalist Saeid Seyf Ali, according to his wife.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Jan 6
#Putin’s announcement that #Russian forces will conduct a 36-hour ceasefire in observance of Russian Orthodox Christmas is likely an information operation intended to damage #Ukraine’s reputation. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/4 Image
#Russian forces continued limited counterattacks to regain lost positions along the #Svatove-#Kreminna line, and Russian forces claimed that #Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the area. 2/4 Image
#Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted a successful counterattack as #Russian forces continued offensive operations around #Bakhmut and west of #Donetsk City. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Jan 5
CTP is tracking distribution of the protest groups in #Iran that have reportedly expressed alignment with one or multiple umbrella organizations. Read yesterday's update by @criticalthreats and @TheStudyofWar here: criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-… 1/4 Image
At least one protest occurred in one city across one province on January 4. 2/4 Image
The regime continues to adopt more overtly authoritarian language and policies. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 24, 2022
NEW | Moscow has been setting conditions for a new most dangerous course of action (MDCOA)--a renewed invasion of northern Ukraine possibly aimed at Kyiv--since at least October 2022. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi…
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks in Vysoke in Sumy Oblast (Vysoke is on the international border 50 km southeast of Sumy City) and Khatne in Kharkiv Oblast.
Russian forces continued to conduct offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast on December 23.
Read 4 tweets
Critical Threats Profile picture
Dec 23, 2022
NEW | The #Iranian regime will likely keep the mandatory hijab law but look for new, and perhaps more effective, ways to enforce it rather than using the morality patrol. Read CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s full update here:

criticalthreats.org/analysis/iran-…
The regime might expand an Orwellian surveillance-punishment model relying on collective punishment through shutting down non-compliant businesses and remote punishments, such as seizing financial assets in state banks, as alternatives to the morality patrol.
The Iranian regime is likely in a mounting confrontation with citizens in #Izeh, Khuzestan Province.
Read 6 tweets

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