NEW | Supreme Leader Ali #Khamenei continues to empower hardline security figures to enforce his uncompromising position toward the protests and mandatory hijab law. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar here:
The Judiciary executed two additional protesters—Mohammad Mehdi Karami and Mohammad Hosseini—on January 7. Iranian authorities tortured Karami and Hosseini and convicted them in sham trials for their alleged roles in killing a Basij member.
State security services arrested reformist journalist Saeid Seyf Ali, according to his wife.
At least two protests occurred in two cities across two provinces.
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NEW | Recent Russian gains in Soledar do not portend an imminent encirclement of Bakhmut, contrary to claims made by Russian sources. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar here:
Russian and Ukrainian forces continued offensive operations near Svatove on January 7.
Russian forces made marginal confirmed advances in Soledar amid continuing Russian offensive operations around Bakhmut and along the western outskirts of Donetsk City.
NEW | The Iranian regime failed to suppress demonstrations in #Zahedan, Sistan and Baluchistan Province on January 6. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar here:
#Putin’s announcement that #Russian forces will conduct a 36-hour ceasefire in observance of Russian Orthodox Christmas is likely an information operation intended to damage #Ukraine’s reputation. Read today’s update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar. criticalthreats.org/analysis/russi… 1/4
#Russian forces continued limited counterattacks to regain lost positions along the #Svatove-#Kreminna line, and Russian forces claimed that #Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in the area. 2/4
#Ukrainian forces reportedly conducted a successful counterattack as #Russian forces continued offensive operations around #Bakhmut and west of #Donetsk City. 3/4
NEW | Moscow has been setting conditions for a new most dangerous course of action (MDCOA)--a renewed invasion of northern Ukraine possibly aimed at Kyiv--since at least October 2022. Read the full update from CTP and @TheStudyofWar:
The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks in Vysoke in Sumy Oblast (Vysoke is on the international border 50 km southeast of Sumy City) and Khatne in Kharkiv Oblast.
Russian forces continued to conduct offensive operations in western Donetsk Oblast on December 23.
NEW | The #Iranian regime will likely keep the mandatory hijab law but look for new, and perhaps more effective, ways to enforce it rather than using the morality patrol. Read CTP and @TheStudyofWar’s full update here:
The regime might expand an Orwellian surveillance-punishment model relying on collective punishment through shutting down non-compliant businesses and remote punishments, such as seizing financial assets in state banks, as alternatives to the morality patrol.
The Iranian regime is likely in a mounting confrontation with citizens in #Izeh, Khuzestan Province.