JACKIS Profile picture
Jan 26 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
The Market Maker REKT Model ๐Ÿงต

This entire run-up in January is very tricky to play

Most #ALTs, including #Bitcoin, look like this or very similar

After a year of down only, people have PTSD to just blindly buy here, reasonably so, so they wait for the "proper" pullback

1/5
The market however is not giving any clean retests and this creates frustration and "built-up energy" in the market

Until it finally does retest. Most are happy and finally get in. If lucky, the market creates another swing higher.

2/
That's when most sidelinooors & bears can't take it anymore and FOMO

IMO we are currently around wave 4, to fulfill wave 5

They were all dragged to slaughter as the market finally does that HTF pullback they were all waiting for initially

3/
REKT

4/
BTW we have seen something similar just two years ago in, surprisingly, January 2020

Not saying this leg needs to go as low, nor do I think it will.

Just saying be careful FOMOing here and keep this schematic in mind โœ๏ธ

5/

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More from @i_am_jackis

Jan 22
#Bitcoin has reversed and confirmed its trend change as the majority of #crypto experts still fail to accept it and will be missing out.

The question is, will you โ“

Find out why in this thread below ๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡

1/
Nearly all major longer-term tools a lot of people use such as market structure, moving averages, supertrend, RSI, MACD, MVRV, Puell, % drop, and so on are pointing out to a trend reversal

That by itself wouldn't matter that much, it's the CONFLUENCE that matters here

2/
So first of all it's important to realize the time spent during each bear market + the percentage drop!

Diminishing returns each bull = diminishing drop each bear

With higher market capitalization the volatility will also diminish.

3/
Read 24 tweets
Nov 25, 2022
What most people dont realize is that what has happened to #FTX can happen to literally any bank in the world at any time

Banks run on a fractional reserve system & yes, they hold far less reserves than FTX had

FTX was then nothing more than a better TradFi-crypto bank ๐Ÿ‘€

1/4
If people for some reason do a bank run on any of your fiat banks, it will collapse

Had for some reason people start doing it in herds on multiple banks, the fear would spread & the system would collapse.

Then only hard assets such as #Bitcoin | #Silver | #Gold would be secure
When u deposit money (currency) to a fiat bank, it's not your money anymore

When u deposit money (#Bitcoin) to a crypto bank (exchange), it's not your money anymore

Crypto banks need far more reserves than traditional banks & you can always opt-out to spot #BTC, unless too late
Read 4 tweets
Nov 1, 2022
I've been saying this before and I'll say it again, #Bitcoin is trading as a digital commodity ๐Ÿ’ฏ

The rules are simple...

If you are bearish on #BTC you are bearish on #Copper. If you see new ATHs for COPPER you are seeing new ATHs for BTC as well ๐Ÿซก

1/4
#Bitcoin is here to stay, whether you like it or not.

The big difference between the two is the volatility of a new asset. Where one does 100% the other does 1000%. The same goes for HTF pullbacks.
The math is then pretty simple.

We live in a world of unlimited credit/fiat money, where governments/CBs, even if they don't want to, will be forced to "print digitally"

But we also live in a world of limited scarce assets.

Infinite credit will be chasing finite assets.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 8, 2022
How do you solve the unaffordability of houses for the young ones, when the older ones are using them as a Store of Value to defend themselves against an inflating currency?

You change the Store of Value for the older ones -> #Bitcoin
In the end, you could see countries guiding people to rather store value in #BTC than real estate

It's a far better solution than putting a price cap on it

Then real estate will once again become way more affordable
I can see this shift gradually happening over the course of the next 10-20 years

The value is then being secured by the most powerful, physical (PoW), most robust defense system in the world.

And that is the future
Read 4 tweets
Oct 6, 2022
๐Ÿงต I had to make this #Bitcoin schematic & small thread to explain why the 30K "floor" = 6K "floor" in terms of psychology

Why we already did undergo the Depressing Capitulation & are possibly Bottom Ranging

You may like it, you may dislike it but... it is what it is ๐Ÿ‘Œ๐Ÿ’ฏ

1/7
The major critical part is that after the bull run we experienced the first major drop, which was bigger than -50% to test the first demand zone (OB+), which was followed by a Complacency +100% rally

That 1st drop & OB+ created a floor that in both cases lasted +280 days

2/
It makes sense to see the narrative this way cause psychologically wise in both cycles majority of people got in at the late stage of 2017 & early 2021.

They experienced the first drop and then had to endure a long time "underwater" thinking-hoping it will recover

3/
Read 8 tweets
Oct 3, 2022
1) House of the Dragon ๐Ÿฅ‡
2) Nothing
3) Rings of Power ๐Ÿ˜•
4) ๐Ÿ’ฉ
5) ๐Ÿ’ฉ
6) ๐Ÿ’ฉ
7) Witcher Season 2 ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜ญ
Let's be honest tho. House of the Dragon most likely surprised most of us.

After the failure of GoT ending, I thought, I'd never return to this world, especially from HBO but they have redeemed themselves and after a long time actually enjoying a TV show again
Rings of Power I'm sort of enjoying if I forget the lore & skip the boredom scenes & stop thinking here & there & just enjoy the world of Arda

Episode 7 was a decent improvement at last but let's be honest... it had the potential to outdo everything but its just ok fantasy show
Read 5 tweets

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