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Feb 17 5 tweets 6 min read
1/6 #Russian forces conducted another missile strike on infrastructure facilities throughout #Ukraine on February 16, striking facilities in #Lviv, #Poltava, #Kirovohrad, and #Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.

Our latest: isw.pub/UkrWar021623
2/5 The #Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces fired 32 air- and sea-launched missiles at #Ukraine, including 12 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles from Tu-95MS aircraft over the Caspian Sea,
3/5 8 Kalibr cruise missiles from a Black Sea frigate, 12 Kh-22 cruise missiles from Tu-22M3 long-range bombers over #Kursk Oblast, and 2 Kh-59 cruise missiles from Su-35 aircraft over #Melitopol, #Zaporizhia Oblast.
4/5 #Ukrainian air defense reportedly shot down 14 Kh-101/Kh-555 cruise missiles and 2 Kh-59 cruise missiles, 6 over #Mykolaiv Oblast, 2 over #Kherson Oblast, and the remainder over western regions of #Ukraine.
5/5 #Ukrainian Air Force Command spokesperson Yuriy Ihnat noted that #Russian forces have changed their tactics and are launching cruise missiles at night, instead of in the middle of day, in order to take Ukrainian air defense forces by surprise.

isw.pub/UkrWar021623

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Feb 18
#Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin appears to be mounting an informational counteroffensive against the conventional Russian military establishment. 🧵(1/10) isw.pub/UkrWar021723
2/ Following a video posted on February 16 of #Wagner Group troops stating that they have been cut off from artillery supplies Wagner fighters released another video on February 17 showing a room full of bodies of deceased Wagner fighters.
3/ The fighter in the video claims that #Wagner Group is losing hundreds of personnel a day because the Russian MoD is not providing them with the weapons, ammunition, and other supplies that they need.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 18
Russian Mobilization & Force Generation Update🧵

The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense (UK MoD) reported that Russian forces have likely suffered up to 200,000 casualties since the start of its invasion of #Ukraine. (1/6) isw.pub/UkrWar021723
2/ The UK MoD reported on February 17 that Russian military servicemembers and paramilitary company personnel have suffered 175,000 to 200,000 causalities in #Ukraine, with 40,000 to 60,000 of those killed.
3/ The UK MoD reported that #Wagner Group fighters have likely experienced a casualty rate of up to 50 percent and that the Russian military’s casualty rate has significantly increased since the start of partial mobilization in September 2022.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 18
Southern #Ukraine Update:

Russian and Ukrainian military activity near Nova Kakhovka, #Kherson Oblast indicates that Russian forces are likely deployed to positions close to the bank of the #Dnipro River. isw.pub/UkrWar021723 Image
2/ Geolocated footage published on February 17 shows Ukrainian forces striking a Russian tank under a bridge near the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Station.
3/ A Russian milblogger amplified footage on 17 FEB showing Russian forces launching an anti-tank guided missile from a position at the Nova Kakhovka Hydroelectric Power Station & striking reported Ukrainian positions in Vesele on the right/west river bank on an unspecified date
Read 6 tweets
Feb 18
Eastern #Ukraine Update: #Donetsk Oblast

Russian forces continued ground attacks around #Bakhmut, in the Donetsk City-#Avdiivka area, and in the western part of Donetsk Oblast.🧵(1/9) isw.pub/UkrWar021723 Image
2/ #Bakhmut sector:

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian assaults on #Bakhmut itself and near Fedorivka (20km north of Bakhmut), Rozdolivka (19km NE of Bakhmut), Paraskoviivka (9km north of Bakhmut), and Ivanivske (5km west of Bakhmut). Image
3/ Geolocated footage published on February 17 of a Ukrainian armored fighting vehicle firing at Russian positions in northeastern #Bakhmut shows Russian forces have made minor advances toward Bakhmut’s city center. Image
Read 9 tweets
Feb 18
Eastern #Ukraine Update

Western #Luhansk & Eastern #Kharkiv Oblast:

Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Svatove-Kreminna line on February 17. 🧵(1/8) isw.pub/UkrWar021723 ImageImage
2/ #Svatove sector:

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops attacked near Hrianykivka (55km northwest of Svatove), Synkivka (45km northwest of Svatove), and Stelmakhivka (15km northwest of Svatove). Image
3/ One Russian source claimed that Russian forces took full control of Hrianykivka, while other sources stated that fighting is ongoing near the settlement and that Russian forces took control of unspecified positions in the #Kupyansk area about 45km northwest of #Svatove.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 18
The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) confirmed the names of the four military district commanders, finalizing a complete turnover of the Russian military’s initial command since the start of the invasion of #Ukraine. 🧵(1/7)
isw.pub/UkrWar021723
2/ The Russian MoD confirmed on February 17 that it appointed Lieutenant General Andrey Mordvichev as Central Military District (CMD) commander and that it had...
3/ ...previously appointed Colonel General Sergey Kuzovlev as Southern Military District (SMD) commander, Lieutenant General Yevgeny Nikiforov as Western Military District (WMD) commander, and Lieutenant General Rustam Muradov as Eastern Military District (EMD) commander.
Read 7 tweets

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