ISW Profile picture
Mar 3 5 tweets 4 min read
Russian authorities appear to be concerned over a growing loss of leverage in #Serbia, which #Russia has worked to integrate into the Russian sphere of influence for many years. isw.pub/UkrWar030223
2/ #Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) Spokesperson Maria Zakharova stated on March 2 that reports of Serbian authorities secretly transferring multiple-launch rocket systems (MLRS) ammunition to #Ukraine are a matter of “deepest concern.”
3/ Russian state-affiliated news aggregator Mash claimed on February 27 that #Serbian defense company Krusik supplied over 3,500 Grad MLRS rockets to #Ukraine but claimed that it is not clear that Krusik knew that Ukraine was the final buyer of the rockets.
4/ #Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin responded to Serbian President Alexander Vucic’s prior complaint that Wagner Group is recruiting in #Serbia, claiming that no Serbian personnel have served in Wagner Group in 2023 & accusing Vucic of having “thrown a tantrum in vain.”
5/ Vucic’s complaints about #Wagner Group recruitment efforts in #Serbia are one factor in Vucic’s possible reconsideration of Serbia’s close ties with #Russia, as @TheStudyofWar has recently (yesterday) reported. isw.pub/UkrWar030223

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Mar 4
#Donetsk: Russian forces continued ground attacks in and around #Bakhmut as Ukrainian forces appeared to prepare for a controlled withdrawal from at least parts of the city. Russian forces continued ground attacks in the #Avdiivka-Donetsk City area. isw.pub/UkrWar030323 ImageImageImage
2/ Geolocated footage posted on March 3 shows that Russian forces have made incremental advances on the NW outskirts of #Donetsk City near #Vodyane. Russian sources continued to report on Russian efforts to seize the remainder of western #Marinka. isw.pub/UkrWar030323 ImageImageImage
3/ Western #Donetsk: Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on March 3. Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 4
While #Putin did not address the reported situation in #Bryansk Oblast, #Russia in the read-out of the meeting, he did use his remarks to outline new, albeit limited, support measures for Russian soldiers serving in #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar030323
2/ #Putin announced that all families of soldiers killed in #Ukraine will receive the standard insurance coverage provided for by law, a one-time lump sum allowance of 7.4 million rubles (98,143 USD).
3/ #Putin also called for “appropriate payments” for those wounded in #Ukraine in the form of insurance payments and one-time injury payments. isw.pub/UkrWar030323
Read 5 tweets
Mar 4
Russian officials released limited info about the March 2 incursion in #Bryansk Oblast but failed to provide clarity about what actually transpired. #Putin did not address the reported incident in a meeting with the Russian Security Council, per a readout. isw.pub/UkrWar030323
2/ The head of the Russian Volunteer Corps, which claimed responsibility for the incursion, claimed on March 3 that Ukrainian officials greenlit the incursion. isw.pub/UkrWar030323
3/ The #Russian Investigative Committee did not corroborate the Volunteer Corps’ claim, instead announcing that it has initiated an investigation into the actions of “Ukrainian saboteurs.”
Read 5 tweets
Mar 4
#Russian forces have been fighting to take #Bakhmut, a city with a pre-war population of roughly 70,000 people, since roughly May 2022 and have suffered devastating casualties in the process. (1/7) isw.pub/UkrWar030323
2/ Geolocated footage posted on March 3 confirms that #Ukrainian troops have destroyed two critical bridges in the #Bakhmut area—one across the Bakhmutivka River in northeastern Bakhmut and one along the Khromove-Bakhmut route just west of Bakhmut.
3/ The preemptive destruction of bridges is likely an indicator that Ukrainian troops may seek to inhibit #Russian movement in eastern #Bakhmut and limit potential westward Russian egress routes out of Bakhmut.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 3
Here are today's control-of-terrain maps of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine from @TheStudyofWar & @criticalthreats. ImageImageImage
+ Southern #Ukraine ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Mar 3
#Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin and several #Russian milbloggers continue to debate the appropriateness of criticism of Russian war efforts as they react to a proposed amendment to Russia’s Criminal Code which would increase punishments for “discrediting” the war.
2/ #Prigozhin yesterday defended his statements made earlier that day defending criticism of the war effort. He claimed that Russians should have the right to criticize Russian commanders and strategists, including himself, but not to criticize or “discredit” ordinary soldiers.
3/ Former Russian officer (and avid #Putin critic) Igor #Girkin feigned repentance and mockingly told his users not to make statements calling Russian leadership “illiterate, irresponsible mediocrities"...
Read 4 tweets

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