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Mar 11 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
Russian forces continue to establish defensive lines in rear areas far from current frontlines and areas in #Russia that will likely never see fighting, likey in furtherance of Russian information operations. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar031023
2/ Russian officials in #Kursk and #Belgorod oblasts may be constructing defensive fortifications in support of information operations that aim to portray #Ukraine as threatening Russian territory in order to frame the war in Ukraine as existential for #Russia.
3/ Additional #Russian fortifications in #Crimea may meanwhile suggest that Russian forces are unsure of their ability to hold occupied territories in southern #Ukraine in the long term.
4/ ISW has not observed #Russian forces deployed to any of these defensive lines at this time, and the fortifications are therefore currently inconsequential for Russian operations in #Ukraine. isw.pub/UkrWar031023

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More from @TheStudyofWar

ISW Profile picture
Mar 13
#Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed on March 12 that @TheStudyofWar's March 11 report about her comments acknowledging #Kremlin infighting is false and an “informational attack.” 🧵(1/7) isw.pub/UkrWar031223
2/ ISW used accounts from Russian media sources as well as a Russian milblogger (who claimed to be in attendance) to report on #Zakharova’s comments in an altercation with information space entrepreneur Igor Ashmanov during a panel discussion in #Moscow.
3/ A milblogger who attended the event quoted Zakharova as saying that the #Kremlin cannot copy the Stalinist approach of establishing a modern equivalent to the Soviet Information Bureau to centrally control the RU info space due to infighting among unspecified Kremlin “elites.”
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 13
The conflict between the #Russian Ministry of Defense and #Wagner shows that different parties in #Putin’s inner circle are competing with one another in potentially zero-sum games that do not further Putin’s overall objectives. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar031223
2/ The #Russian MoD is currently prioritizing eliminating #Wagner on the battlefields in #Bakhmut, which is likely slowing down the rate of advance in the area. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
3/ #Prigozhin saw #Bakhmut as an opportunity to gain leverage on the #Russian MoD and likely in the #Kremlin in pursuit of his own commercial and political aspirations. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 12
March 12 (UPI) -- Maria Zakharova, a spokesperson for #Russia's Foreign Ministry, has hit back after analysts asserted she had confirmed Kremlin infighting. upi.com/7991678634858 via @UPI
2/ "[ISW] had said in its analysis that Zakharova 'confirmed that there is infighting in the Kremlin inner circle, that the Kremlin has ceded centralized control over the Russian information space, and that Russian President Vladimir #Putin apparently cannot readily fix it.'"
3/ "'Zakharova's statement is noteworthy and supports several of ISW's longstanding assessments about deteriorating #Kremlin regime and information space control dynamics,'" the analysis reads."
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 12
Mobilization & Force Gen. Updates

1/ Significant numbers of Russian mobilized soldiers & their loved ones continue to publicly complain that Russian & proxy commanders treat them poorly & use them as expendable manpower to patch holes in combat formations isw.pub/UkrWar031123 Image
2/ The Ural regional branch of a Russian state-owned news agency claimed on March 10 that #Russia is preparing a large-scale recruitment campaign set to launch on April 1. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
3/ #Russian authorities continue to struggle to crack down on desertion and resistance to forcible extension of military contracts. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
Read 4 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 12
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast:

1/ #Russian forces continued ground attacks in and around #Bakhmut but did not make any confirmed advances within the city on March 11. #Wagner Group fighters are likely becoming increasingly pinned in urban areas. isw.pub/UkrWar031023 ImageImageImage
2/ #Avdiivka–Donetsk City area

#Russian forces continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka–#Donetsk City frontline on March 11. isw.pub/UkrWar031023 ImageImage
3/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensives towards #Avdiivka itself; in the Avdiivka area near Kamianka (5km NE of Avdiivka), Severne (5km west of Avdiivka), and Tonenke (6km west of Avdiivka)...
Read 7 tweets
ISW Profile picture
Mar 12
#Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova confirmed that there is infighting in the #Kremlin inner circle, that the Kremlin has ceded centralized control over the Russian information space, and that #Putin apparently cannot readily fix it. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
2/ During a panel discussion Zakharova said that the #Kremlin cannot replicate the Stalinist approach of establishing a modern equivalent to the Soviet Information Bureau to centrally control #Russia’s internal information space due to fighting among unspecified Kremlin “elites.”
3/ #Zakharova’s statement is noteworthy and supports several of ISW’s longstanding assessments about deteriorating #Kremlin regime and information space control dynamics.
Read 5 tweets

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