ISW Profile picture
Mar 13 7 tweets 4 min read
#Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed on March 12 that @TheStudyofWar's March 11 report about her comments acknowledging #Kremlin infighting is false and an “informational attack.” 🧵(1/7) isw.pub/UkrWar031223
2/ ISW used accounts from Russian media sources as well as a Russian milblogger (who claimed to be in attendance) to report on #Zakharova’s comments in an altercation with information space entrepreneur Igor Ashmanov during a panel discussion in #Moscow.
3/ A milblogger who attended the event quoted Zakharova as saying that the #Kremlin cannot copy the Stalinist approach of establishing a modern equivalent to the Soviet Information Bureau to centrally control the RU info space due to infighting among unspecified Kremlin “elites.”
4/ The milblogger did not comment on Zakharova’s denial on March 12 but amplified a social media post from another milblogger who claimed that the West (presumably ISW) misrepresented Zakharova’s statements. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
5/ The social media post, however, also blamed Zakharova and the #Kremlin for failing to adopt stronger information space policies.
6/ Several other milbloggers confirmed that Ashmanov accused #Kremlin organs of failing to create a trusted centralized information campaign but argued about how other attendees attempted to downplay his statements.
7/ This milblogger discourse not only confirms that the incident occurred, but also that ultranationalist figures reiterated variants of ISW’s assessment that the #Kremlin’s ability to control the #Russian information space is diminishing. isw.pub/UkrWar031223

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Mar 14
#Russian forces conducted ground attacks across the #Donetsk Obl. front line and made further advances in and around #Bakhmut on March 12 & 13 but have not succeeded in completing a turning movement, envelopment, or encirclement of the city as of March 13. isw.pub/UkrWar031323 ImageImage
2/ Russian milbloggers widely circulated claims on March 12 that Wagner fighters began assaults on underground sections of the AZOM complex in northwestern #Bakhmut and strengthened their positions at the complex on March 13. Image
2/ Several #Russian sources discussed purported Russian attacks and gains in southern #Bakhmut. Russian milbloggers also claimed that the Wagner Group has further advanced towards the T0504 and is conducting positional battles near Ivanivske, Stupochky, and Khromove. Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 14
Eastern #Kharkiv/Western #Luhansk Oblast:

Russian forces continued ground attacks throughout the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line and made marginal gains northeast of #Kupyansk and east of #Siversk. isw.pub/UkrWar031323 Image
2/ Russian forces have made marginal territorial gains northeast of #Kupyansk as of March 13. Geolocated footage posted on March 13 shows that Russian forces advanced south of Hryanykivka (17km northeast of Kupyansk). ImageImage
3/ #Russian forces continued to conduct ground attacks along the #Svatove-Kreminna line on March 12 and 13. Ukrainian Luhansk Oblast Head Serhiy Haidai stated that Russian forces are focusing on operations near #Kreminna & Bilohorivka and constantly attack near the Kreminna area. ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Mar 13
The conflict between the #Russian Ministry of Defense and #Wagner shows that different parties in #Putin’s inner circle are competing with one another in potentially zero-sum games that do not further Putin’s overall objectives. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar031223
2/ The #Russian MoD is currently prioritizing eliminating #Wagner on the battlefields in #Bakhmut, which is likely slowing down the rate of advance in the area. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
3/ #Prigozhin saw #Bakhmut as an opportunity to gain leverage on the #Russian MoD and likely in the #Kremlin in pursuit of his own commercial and political aspirations. isw.pub/UkrWar031223
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
March 12 (UPI) -- Maria Zakharova, a spokesperson for #Russia's Foreign Ministry, has hit back after analysts asserted she had confirmed Kremlin infighting. upi.com/7991678634858 via @UPI
2/ "[ISW] had said in its analysis that Zakharova 'confirmed that there is infighting in the Kremlin inner circle, that the Kremlin has ceded centralized control over the Russian information space, and that Russian President Vladimir #Putin apparently cannot readily fix it.'"
3/ "'Zakharova's statement is noteworthy and supports several of ISW's longstanding assessments about deteriorating #Kremlin regime and information space control dynamics,'" the analysis reads."
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
Mobilization & Force Gen. Updates

1/ Significant numbers of Russian mobilized soldiers & their loved ones continue to publicly complain that Russian & proxy commanders treat them poorly & use them as expendable manpower to patch holes in combat formations isw.pub/UkrWar031123
2/ The Ural regional branch of a Russian state-owned news agency claimed on March 10 that #Russia is preparing a large-scale recruitment campaign set to launch on April 1. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
3/ #Russian authorities continue to struggle to crack down on desertion and resistance to forcible extension of military contracts. isw.pub/UkrWar031123
Read 4 tweets
Mar 12
Eastern #Ukraine: #Donetsk Oblast:

1/ #Russian forces continued ground attacks in and around #Bakhmut but did not make any confirmed advances within the city on March 11. #Wagner Group fighters are likely becoming increasingly pinned in urban areas. isw.pub/UkrWar031023
2/ #Avdiivka–Donetsk City area

#Russian forces continued ground attacks along the Avdiivka–#Donetsk City frontline on March 11. isw.pub/UkrWar031023
3/ The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensives towards #Avdiivka itself; in the Avdiivka area near Kamianka (5km NE of Avdiivka), Severne (5km west of Avdiivka), and Tonenke (6km west of Avdiivka)...
Read 7 tweets

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