Fact Finder, The 🇮🇳 Profile picture
Mar 29, 2023 8 tweets 7 min read Read on X
#BRILLIANT CHARTS showing India’s GDP Growth - A Notable #ACHIEVEMENT by #Modinomics

Let’s look at India's nominal GDP that matters to Households & Businesses

EXCLUDING government borrowing & spending) Indians Households & Business Experience ~ZERO GROWTH since 2014-22 Image
This contrasts with the period FY 2008-14 when non-government component of GDP accounted for 38% of nominal growth.

Economists believe these animal spirits to be a vital ingredient for high growth of #SMEs & #Businesses Image
But you might argue that lots of STARTUPS have created jobs and lots of govt data shows lots of New Business Registrations since 2017

BOTH ARE TRUE but

During these yrs #Farmers, #Unorganised Biz & #SMEs LOST a total of #45-60 MILLION JOBS. So 1-2 Million Startup jobs is a drop
What about New Business Registrations ? India is a Services economy

Well GST (2017), If I had a business with 3 Verticals in 24 states, I would need to have ONE SERVICE TAX Registration.

Post GST, I would need 3X24 = 72 GST REGISTRATION Numbers (see TREE)

You got the JOKE ? ImageImage
In conclusion, the ENTIRE INCREMENTAL NOMINAL growth in GDP from 2014 to 2022 = the INCREMENTAL government borrowing & spending

EXCLUDING the Govt, India’s HOUSEHOLDS & BUSINESSES (formal & informal) did NOT witness any growth !! ImageImage
One might Ague that 2014 to 2022 Experienced Several Crises (#Demonetisation, #GST, #NBFC ILFS, #COVID etc). EXCEPT for Covid, Everything was #Modinomics Policy

but there were many crises during 2004-14 as well viz. GFC, Euro crisis, Arab Spring, Taper tantrum, Oil @ $120/bbl ImageImage
Bottom-Line, #Modinomics ONLY WORKS FOR
1) BIG Corporates
2) GIFT City in Gujarat

CORPORATE tax's share in Centre's gross tax collections is 26% in 2021-22, down from 32% in 2018-19.

TODAY INDIVIDUALS TAX Collections is HIGHER than CORPORATE TAX.

See Revenue Foregone ImageImageImageImage

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More from @TheFactFindr

Jul 4
FACT CHECKING INDIAN ARMY …. On the #AgniveerScheme #Agnipath #Agniveers

A THREAD 🧵
Quoting INDIAN ARMY @adgpi …. “Of the total amount due, family of Agniveer Ajay has already been paid Rs 98.39 lakhs”

INDIAN ARMY is making it sound that they paid 98.39 lakhs

TRUTH IS this 98.39 lakhs has been paid via 2 Insurance Policies (Self Sponsored & State Govt)
Let’s Check the Facts …. GOVT till date has ONLY paid Rs39,000 … Rest is all INSURANCE Image
Read 6 tweets
Apr 2
#BREAKING !! #Internal Opinion Polls of #BJPee

#ModiKiGuarantee is that @BJP4India is loosing #Election2024

Multiple intelligence agencies did surveys on behalf of the BJP govt.

The results are:
1. BJP is estimated to win 190-220 seats ✅

12 other key take always below Image
2. Modi's image is not the marketing USP anymore. ✅
3. Ram Mandir is not a selling point anymore. ✅
Read 14 tweets
Mar 25
People are asking WHY DID #INR to fall so sharply on FRIDAY to 83.64/USD?

A quick 🧵 explaining why …#RBI Image
Who BENEFITS most when INR Depreciates?

✅It’s Financial Year end and @RBI has PROFIT targets & DIVIDEND targets of 120,000 Crores to pay Govt of India

✅ when INR Depreciates (#USDINR Rises), @RBI makes profits since it’s ASSETS are USD BONDS/GOLD & it’s LIABILITIES is INR
✅ When #INR depreciates (#USDINR rises), EXPORTS become competitive and IMPORTS become cheaper

✅ When #INR Depreciates, The BIGGEST component of GST (IGST of GST) grows faster since IGST is levied on IMPORTS, Basic & Intermediate Raw Materials, Inventory
Read 12 tweets
Oct 1, 2023
#NRI #Remittances will not only #COLLAPSE but they could reverse

A quick thread with implications for the #INR Image
#NRI #Remittances will not only collapse but they could reverse as outflows unless the DEPOSIT Rates offered by Indian Banks to NRIs are at-least 6-7% $ Rates
Today the US Rates are
1) 4.7% on the US 10yr
2) Investment Grade US bonds offer $6.5%
3) MBS Securities offer $7% at-least
4) US High Yield Bonds are offering $8-9% pa

Compared to that FCNR deposits are at just 5.5-5.8%
Read 7 tweets
May 29, 2023
#Genius #MasterStroke 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

CANNOT MAKE THIS SHIT UP!

Govt Introduces a #POLICY estm to SAVE Rs 36,000 Cr/Yr in #Forex

BUT To SAVE Rs 36000 Crore, the Govt & Indian Public are SPENDING 300% or 117000 Crores more 😳

= 81,000 Cr LOSS/yr

#Thread on A #MasterStroke
#Modinomics decided in 2020/21 to Introduce the 20% #Ethanol Blending (Petrol) Policy.

Intention of the Policy designed by the @NITIAyog was to save India Rs36,000 in FOREX & help the Environment

Link to the document niti.gov.in/sites/default/… Image
BUT AT WHAT COST ?

FIRST: Every litre of Ethanol, Govt India will lose Rs15-20 in Tax Collections since:
👉Cost of Procuring PETROL is Rs45/lt
👉Cost of Procurement of ETHANOL is Rs65/Lt

👉Difference is Rs20/lt is LOSS IN TAX REVENUE

1020cr Ethanol = 20400cr in Tax Losses/Yr ImageImage
Read 21 tweets
May 28, 2023
#SHOCKING #CRICKET

@BCCI is the #WORLDS #RICHEST CRICKET board (Valuation: Rs16500cr, Income: Rs3900cr)

Has NOT PUBLISHED its #ANNUAL #REPORT post FY17.

BUT that is NOT the Shocking Part, Read the #Thread

#CRICKET is a #RELIGION in India & #TRANSPARENCY should be Foremost Image
As per the FY17 Annual Report, @BCCI paid an INTEREST Cost of Rs115 Cr (400% YoY) while it’s INTEREST Income of Rs171 Cr (Fell 2% YoY).

BUT WHY were they paying 171Cr of Interest Costs when they had a CASH BALANCE of 3770 Cr (3560 Cr in FY16) ? ImageImage
Read 4 tweets

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