Thread by @BeauxReliosis

Since @US_FDA is dragging their feet posting my comments to regulations.gov/docket/FDA-202… “Early Lyme Disease as Manifested by Erythema Migrans: Developing Drugs for Treatment; Draft Guidance for Industry” here you go. #LymeDisease
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Breaking News: The incidence of #LymeDisease erythema migrans (🎯) rash is overstated by more than 10X.

This is done by sleight of hand in calculation method and reliance on the public to infer that the calculation is based on @CDCgov’s estimate of 476,000 cases per year.

Here are the last 2 pages of my document. The #LymeDisease “authorities” want the public to believe the 🎯 rash appears in 70%-80% of nearly half a million cases/year. In reality, the figure is calculated on *confirmed* cases, only about 45,000 in 2020.

How are #LymeDisease cases confirmed? Either through lab testing (usually the bogus 2-tier serology method) or by ***diagnosis of an EM rash***

It’s a circular reference, just like the @CDCgov #Lyme serum repository.

This #LymeDisease scam has been under our noses for a decade, as @CDCgov finally admitted in 2013 that cases are 10-12X higher than actually reported.

Look:
CDC says 476,000 cases/yr
Only 45,000 met reporting criteria in 2020
Difference: 431,000

Incidence of #LymeDisease EM 🎯 rash CANNOT be 70% of 476,000 because that would be far more than the 45,000 reported cases, for which the criteria *require* either EM rash or lab test confirmation.

Real incidence based on @CDCgov figures = 6.6%

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If there were more EM🎯 cases among the other 431,000 they would have been reported as per @CDCgov #LymeDisease surveillance criteria.

Gov agencies, public health “authorities” & self-proclaimed experts have propagated a massively distorted narrative about the #Lyme rash.

They have created a false sense of security among the public, promoting the lie that most #LymeDisease cases will get a 🎯 rash. People need to know that the rash is rare & they could get #Lyme without any cutaneous signs at all.

When I started composing my comment for this @US_FDA docket on treatment for #LymeDisease presenting w/ EM🎯 rash, I was going to rely on the usual reports that can go as low as around 40% & say “not a good idea to base a treatment trial on so few cases.”

I quickly realized that the widely propagated figure of 70% EM 🎯 rash incidence in #LymeDisease was impossible because those cases are required to be reported to @CDCgov. Cases reported in 2020: 45,000. That’s nowhere near 70% of 476,000.

I should point out that the ~45,000 figure is from a CDC source of “provisional” data that has been scrubbed. Their actual # of reported confirmed & probable cases is much lower, which only makes our case stronger.