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Ted Darling Profile picture
@tdarling1
Apr 25 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Hello Tuesday

Have you noticed the now almost daily $VIX pop in the overnight, providing bait ๐ŸŽฃ for vol ๐ŸŒŠ sellers?

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia mostly โ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 28620 +0.1%
$SSEC 3265 -0.3%
$TWII 15371 -1.65%
$HSI 19618 -1.7%
$KOSPI 2489 -1.35%
$IDX holiday ๐Ÿ•Œ

Australia โ†”๏ธ
$ASX 7322 -0.1%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 60243 +0.3%
Europe decidedly โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15835 -0.2%
$FTSE 7890 -0.3%
$CAC 7521 -0.7%
$AEX 757 -0.75%
$IBEX 9282 -1.3%
$MIB 27239 -1.1%
$SMI 11489 +0.2% โฌ…๏ธ
$MOEX 2632 -0.15%

$VSTOXX 17.80 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 15600 - 16129 โ™‰๏ธ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†˜๏ธ

$ES 4115 -0.55%
$NQ 12904 -0.5%
$RTY 1766 -1.25%

$VIX 17.75 ๐Ÿ”บ

$SPX range = 4101 - 4206 โ™‰๏ธ
$COMPQ range = 11784 - 12310 โ™‰๏ธ
$IWM range = 173 - 180 ๐Ÿป
$VIX range = 15.95 - 18.62 ๐Ÿป
GOLD โ†”๏ธ with metals โ†˜๏ธ

$GOLD 2000 +0.05%
$SILVER 25.315 -0.8%
$COPPER 3.907 -1.45%
$PLAT 1092 -0.55%
$PALL 1511 -1.55%
$ALI 2349 -1.35%
$ZINC 2636 -1.25%

$GVZ 16.88 ๐Ÿ”บ

$GOLD range = 1962 - 2054 โ™‰๏ธ
$SILVER range = 24.71 - 26.33 โ™‰๏ธ
$COPPER range = 3.87 - 4.05 ๐Ÿป
Hydrocarbons โ†”๏ธ

$WTIC 78.69 -0.1%
$BRENT 82.48 -0.05%
$GASO 2.612 +0.05%
$NATGAS 2.425 -1.85%

$OVX 34.28 ๐Ÿ”ป

$WTIC range = 72.32 - 85.24 ๐Ÿป
$NATGAS range = 2.19 - 2.64 ๐Ÿป
$DBC range = 23.31 - 24.72 ๐Ÿป
Grains mostly โ†—๏ธ

$WHEAT 658 +0.1%
$CORN 609 +0.35%
$SOYB 1438 +0.2%
$SUGAR 25.84 -0.1%

$COFFEE โ˜•๏ธ 188.43 -2.25% ๐Ÿ”ป

$DBA range = 20.70 - 21.41 โ™‰๏ธ
$AUDUSD โ†˜๏ธ

$EUR 1.104 -0.01%
$GBP 1.247 -0.08%
$AUD 0.666 -0.46% โฌ…๏ธ
$USD 101.12 +0.05%
$USDJPY 134.06 -0.12%
$USDCHF 0.887 -0.08%
$USDCAD 1.357 +0.24%
$USDCNY 6.916 +0.28%

#FX vol 9.14

$USD range = 100.77 - 102.56 โ†”๏ธ
$GBP range = 1.231 - 1.252 โ†”๏ธ
#Cryptocurrencies โ†˜๏ธ
great spot to #btfd if you're โ™‰๏ธ

$BTC 27363 -0.5%
$ETH 1821 -1.2%

#Bitcoin range = 26547 - 31226 โ™‰๏ธ
UST yields โ†˜๏ธ from 1s to 30s
10/2s to -62 bps
10Y3M to -174.5 bps ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

MOVE 126.28 ๐Ÿ”บ

$TNX range = 3.29 - 3.67 โ†”๏ธ
$TLT range = 102.73 - 108.49 โ†”๏ธ

Global 10Ys
UST 3.439
GILT 3.72
BUND 2.436
ITA 4.324
JPN 0.49
AUS 3.424
CAN 2.912
HFs sellin' vol ๐ŸŒŠ and shortin' treasuries - that's an epic set up with MOVE to 126, 10Y3M to -175, and $IEF ๐Ÿฉณ getting squeezed

Long $IVOL $VIXM

๐Ÿงจ coming โš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ

Have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 27
Hell Thursday!

Ahead of today's Q1 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ GDP report, the @AtlantaFed has reduced its projected growth by a whopping -140 bps to only +1.1% ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed broadly โ†—๏ธ

$NIKK 28458 +0.15%
$SSEC 3286 +0.65%
$TWII 15412 +0.25%
$HSI 19812 +0.3%
$KOSPI 2496 +0.45%
$IDX 6942 +0.45%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7293 -0.3%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 60500 +0.35%
Europe trying to muster a bid โ†”๏ธ

$DAX 15804 +0.05%
$FTSE 7854 unch
$CAC 7497 +0.4%
$AEX 749 -0.15%
$IBEX 9308 +0.15%
$MIB 27166 +0.2%
$SMI 11395 +0.25%
$MOEX 2631 +0.4%

$VSTOXX 18.33 ๐Ÿ”ป

$DAX range = 15680 - 16066 โ™‰๏ธ
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 26
Hello Wednesday!

The ongoing divergence between $IWM and $RSP on one side and the $SPX and $QQQ on the other is the setup for the ๐Ÿซ

Rising interest rate vol is also a good place to look with MOVE to 137

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†”๏ธ

$NIKK 28416 -0.7%
$SSEC 3264 unch
$TWII 15375 +0.05%
$HSI 19791 +0.9%
$KOSPI 2485 -0.15%
$IDX 6863 +0.55%

Australia โ†”๏ธ
$ASX 7316 -0.1%

India โ†”๏ธ
$BSE 60194 +0.1%
Europe under pressure โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 15764 -0.7%
$FTSE 7862 -0.35%
$CAC 7470 -0.8%
$AEX 749 -0.85%
$IBEX 9248 -0.45%
$MIB 27007 -0.9%
$SMI 11428 -0.75%
$MOEX 2628 +0.05%

$VSTOXX 19.91 ๐Ÿ”บ ๐Ÿซ

$DAX range = 15646 - 16097 โ™‰๏ธ
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Apr 17
Hello Monday!

This week is all about flowzzz ๐ŸŒŠ in the US with tax payments due today/Tuesday, Vixperation on Wednesday, and the end of a 5-week #opex cycle on Friday

Be on the lookout for ๐Ÿ‘ฑ& ๐Ÿงฟ

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†”๏ธ with ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ & ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ โ†—๏ธ ahead of ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ GDP

$NIKK 28515 +0.05%
$SSEC 3386 +1.4% ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ
$TWII 15929 +0.8%
$HSI 20786 +1.7% ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ
$KOSPI 2576 +0.15%
$IDX 6777 -0.06%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$ASX 7381 +0.25%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 59843 -0.95%
Europe mostly โ†—๏ธโ™‰๏ธ

$DAX 15828 +0.15%
$FTSE 7904 +0.4%
$CAC 8523 +0.05%
$AEX 760 -0.25%
$IBEX 9373 +0.1%
$MIB 27917 +0.15%
$SMI 11329 -0.1%
$MOEX 2585 +1.2%

$VSTOXX 17.2

$DAX range = 15360 - 15968 โ™‰๏ธ
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 20
Hello Spring 2023!

The swap lines are open, and we're buying $GOLD $TLT and #Bitcoin (unbelievably)

But what about the Qs?

Let' dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†˜๏ธ with $HSI๐Ÿฉธ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐ

$NIKK 26946 -1.4%
$SSEC 3235 -0.5%
$TWII 15120 -0.2%
$HSI 19021 -2.55% โฌ…๏ธ ๐Ÿฉธ
$KOSPI 2379 -0.7%
$IDX 6612 -1.0%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6898 -1.4%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 57260 -1.25%
Europe โ†˜๏ธ sharply with $MIB ๐Ÿฉธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช

$DAX 14523 -1.65%
$FTSE 7222 -1.55%
$CAC 6824 -1.45%
$AEX 713 -1.25%
$IBEX 8552 -1.95%
$MIB 24951 -2.1% โฌ…๏ธ ๐Ÿฉธ
$SMI 10422 -1.8%
$MOEX 2354 +1.35% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 30.04 ๐Ÿ”บ

$DAX range = 14501 - 15324 โ™‰๏ธ โฌ…๏ธ buy?
Read 11 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 12
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ’ฐ
Macro Review 03/10/23

๐Ÿงต 1/8

The #Kraken may have been unleashed on financial markets this week with volatility up across asset classes.

Letโ€™s dig into the critical ๐Ÿงฎ from the week!
ยฉ Adobe Stock
2a/8

After a week of reflation and my #CrashRiskRising call from 02/26/23, Jay Powell stepped up to the plate and told us โ€œdot plot going higher.โ€

The UST2Y ripped, the curve inverted further, and the MOVE โ†—๏ธ

Chart: MOVE index 140.06
2b/8

After two days of Powell chatting with Congress, the UST 2Y accelerated to 5.05%, a multi-year high, before crashing hard on the SVB news.

Chart: $UST2Y with -1.6 STD move in 2 days
Read 16 tweets
Ted Darling Profile picture
Mar 10
Hello Friday and the week to date!

$USD +0.78%
$GBP -1.0%
$GOLD -1.08%

$TLT +0.18%
$TNX -0.98%
$HYG -1.73%

$NIKK +0.78%
$DAX +0.35%
$SSEC -2.94%
$SPX -3.16%

$COPPER +0.69%
$WTIC -4.97%
$SILVER -5.08%
#bitcoin -8.91%
$NATGAS -15.59%

Let's dig into the market ๐Ÿงฎ!
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†˜๏ธ ahead of #NFP

$ES 3905 -0.3%
$NQ 11883 unch
$RTY 1819 -0.5%

$VIX 22.73

$SPX range = 3860 - 4030 โ†”๏ธ
$VIX range = 17.74 - 24.32 โ†”๏ธ
Hydrocarbons โ†˜๏ธ

$WTIC 75.19 -0.7%
$BRENT 81.19 -0.5%
$GASO 2.60 -0.2%
$NATGAS 2.52 -0.85%

$OVX 34.86 ๐Ÿ”บ

$WTIC range = 74.13 - 81.02 โ™‰๏ธ
Read 7 tweets

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