Dave Keating Profile picture
May 5 23 tweets 12 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
In 2 days, #Eurovision2023 week begins in Liverpool with delegations arriving on the #TurquoiseCarpet

Surely the most important thing happening in🇬🇧this weekend😉

I'll be there covering. Here's the mother of all threads on the most important things to know for this year. 🧵1/23 Image
The context: Despite what many think (Europeans' cultural cringe and all), #Eurovision is a big deal.

It's the most-watched annual live event in the world, with an average 200m viewers each year. That's more than the 🇺🇸Superbowl, Oscars & Grammys combined en.as.com/en/2022/03/14/…
Each year 40,000 visitors descend on the #Eurovision host city.

🇬🇧Liverpool is hosting this year. They've built a fan zone holding 15,000 people. There will be 9 shows over the week (televised: 2 semis & 1 final).

The 54,000 tickets sold out in an hour. citymonitor.ai/neighbourhoods…
Eurovision is hosted each year by the previous year's winner.🇬🇧was 2nd last year, so why are they hosting?

2022 was effectively a contest for 2nd place (in terms of hosting). There were 2 known knowns: #Ukraine would win, and they wouldn't be able to host theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2…
But 2nd place was disputed last year. And were it not for alleged corruption, this year's contest would be in Spain.

The actual public & jury vote put🇪🇸at 2nd place. But because of suspected jury corruption (see below), a computer reallocated the points. telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/05/2….
You may remember during the show last year there were some weird moments where they didn't go live to some countries to announce their votes, and instead went to EBU president.

That's because a computer detected "vote swapping" - bribery between juries. inews.co.uk/news/eurovisio…
However, the EBU was never able to convincingly prove that the "irregular voting patterns" of 🇵🇱🇦🇿🇬🇪🇲🇪🇸🇲🇷🇴 were actual corruption.

So, a spur-of-the moment decision during last year's final meant a computer decided Eurovision would be in 🇬🇧not🇪🇸 this year eurovision.tv/mediacentre/re…
Last year's vote-swapping scandal didn't just change the host, it's also resulted in a dramatic change to the rules

It's been decided to scrap the juries and go only with the popular vote in future. Both b/c of the scandal and b/c they failed to prevent a political win last year
The national juries of music experts determining 50% of vote came in 2009 after concerns that public's bloc voting was making it an 'Eastern European' contest'

🇬🇧Terry Wogan famously quit in 2008 after Russia's win, saying West Europe could no longer win standard.co.uk/showbiz/exaspe…
The vote had been entirely public for the previous decade. The re-introduction of the juries did lessen bloc voting. No-friends🇩🇪 won in 2010, seeming to prove the system was working.

The one job of the juries is to prevent political voting.
eurovisionworld.com/esc/voting-sys…
But last year's win by #Ukraine was arguably the most political in Eurovision's history, driven by an overwhelming public vote which the juries were reticent to block.

So, people asked, what is the point of the juries actually?
billboard.com/music/music-ne…
So this year EBU decided to scrap juries for the 2 semi-finals, but keep them for the grand final.

I've heard this is meant as a transition year test, with the aim to scrap the juries completely next year and go only with the public vote also for final. wiwibloggs.com/2022/11/22/eur….
For years, EBU has worked tirelessly to keep politics out of #Eurovision. But the situation with #Russia has prompted something of a reevaluation

Efforts to keep the war out of last year's show didn't work. The EBU had crossed a rubicon by banning Russia ip-quarterly.com/en/struggle-ke…
In the past, EBU disqualified songs for political content, even if it was coded

In 2015 they made Armenia change their song "Don't Deny" because it referenced the 🇹🇷genocide. In 2009 after Russia's invasion of Georgia, they completely banned this 🇬🇪entry:
This year, Croatia's entry has openly admitted that their song is about Vladimir Putin and has an anti-Russian message. Yet EBU is letting it through.

Russia is still banned from the contest this year.
n1info.hr/vijesti/let-3-…
In truth, political messages have snuck in for years, but contestants could never admit it B4

Everyone knew #Ukraine's 2nd-place 2007 song "Lasha Tumbai" was meant to sound like "Russia goodbye". 2016 🇺🇦winner 1944 was obviously about 2014 Crimea invasion
Not everyone is happy about the open politicisation of Eurovision. Some fans grumble that the long-running 🇺🇦🇷🇺conflict has coloured the contest for 15 years now.

#BBC has a delicate tightrope to walk this year, partnered with a 🇺🇦broadcaster that would like to be more political
It isn't just the political messaging causing tensions between the broadcasters.

The BBC has been majorly leaning in to Eurovision's popularity with the LGBT community, and some in 🇺🇦 are a bit uncomfortable with that, I hear. bbc.co.uk/programmes/p0f…
Each host country chooses to handle the LGBT aspect differently.

A large proportion of the fans who come to the host city each year are gay. Last year Italy basically ignored that. By contrast, Austria embraced it.

In Kyiv 2017, there were 🇪🇺flags everywhere but few 🏳️‍🌈flags.
Then there's which 🇺🇦artists have been invited to Liverpool.

Some major past contestant names, like Ruslana, Svetlana Loboda and Ani Lorak, are absent. Instead it's mostly younger people.

There are rumours 🇺🇦didn't want anyone who's ever sung in Russian.
wiwibloggs.com/2022/08/17/ukr…
#Eurovision is a political contest. The EBU seems to be more open to accepting that recently.

The question of who participates is also political. #Berlusconi's 13-year ban on Eurovision in Italy ended only after he was ousted. #Orban has taken 🇭🇺out.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italy_in_…
#Erdogan's decision to take Turkey out of #Eurovision in 2013 (to launch #Turkvision with other Turkic nations instead) was seen as symbolic of turning away from Europe.

If Erdogan loses in 14 May election, his replacement has promised to bring 🇹🇷back in.
So, that's the politics of #Eurovision2023

I'll have a separate thread about the music. The bookies have #Sweden's Loreen tipped to win again (she won in 2012). #Finland and #France also favoured.

Interesting BTW: 🇸🇪🇫🇷singers are both of 🇲🇦Moroccan origin 🧵23/23 Image

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More from @DaveKeating

May 6
As the 🇬🇧#Coronation takes place in London, here's some fun facts about monarchies around the world.

I find Americans have the mistaken impression that Europe has many monarchies. In fact, excluding microstates, there are just 8 - and only 3 have been there more than 200 years. Image
There are actually more monarchies in Asia than in Europe.

The world has 16 kings, and only one queen (🇩🇰). Then there are 4 princes, 3 sultans, 2 emirs, 1 pope and 1 emperor (🇯🇵). Image
There are 4 types of monarchies remaining in Europe:

🇬🇧British
🇸🇪🇩🇰🇳🇴Scandinavian
🇳🇱🇧🇪🇱🇺Low Countries
🇪🇸Iberian
🇻🇦🇱🇮🇦🇩🇲🇨Microstates

This map shows when other European monarchies ended (most give the year of national independence from a imperial monarchy) Image
Read 7 tweets
May 4
It seems Salvini is jealously eyeing Meloni's centrist rebranding and he wants in on the action. She is also reportedly thinking to link with EPP.

Question: Is Europe's far-right becoming more centrist, or is Manfred Weber's #EPP becoming more far-right? euractiv.com/section/politi…
One thing is clear: whatever power Marine Le Pen previously had among the European far right has evaporated.

Far-right parties want to distance themselves from 🇫🇷#LePen, seeing her as a loser and 🇮🇹#Meloni as a winner.

Meloni has momentum on the European stage.
Meanwhile, the Tories’ decade-long romance of the EU’s far right is coming to a crescendo this month with the yearly Nat Con conference being hosted in London.

National Conservatism is a rebranding of the Trumpist far right designed to lure the center. nationalconservatism.org/natcon-uk-2023…
Read 4 tweets
Apr 17
🇵🇱Poland, 🇸🇰Slovakia & 🇭🇺Hungary have banned #grain imports from 🇺🇦Ukraine, saying 🇪🇺EU's freeze of import tariffs to help get Ukraine grain around the world is flooding their markets and hurting their farmers.

But such unilateral trade actions cannot be taken nationally.
Despite these bans being a clear violation of EU law, the 🇪🇺Commission took a soft approach today and wouldn't even say what possible repercussions there could be.

Why? They likely don't want to become a pawn in Polish election politicking.
Poland's hard-right nationalist governing party PiS depends on the farmer and rural vote to maintain power - and there's an election later this year.

🇵🇱farmers have been protesting the Ukrainian grain influx (which has drastically lowered prices) and the Ag minister resigned.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 28
Just in: EU national governments have just passed #CombustionEngineBan legislation.

Germany dropped its block on final adoption after being given a written guarantee from the Commission they will create a new category of ICE vehicles running only on #eFuel exempt from 2035 ban
Controversially, Germany has instructed the Commission to do this through a delegated act added into existing Euro6 type approval legislation - which could be forced through with no vote by the 🇪🇺Parliament or member states.

Expect already-angry MEPs to push back hard on this.
If a legal objection is successful against using a no-vote delegated act to do this politically sensitive thing, then 🇪🇺Commission will move to Plan B: revising the legislation (to Euro7).

That would need approval by 🇪🇺Parliament & 🇪🇺Council.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 4
Tomorrow, the EU's ban on refined Russian oil product imports (petrol/diesel) takes effect. It comes in addition to the existing ban on crude oil.

In addition to that, the EU & G7 agreed last night to ban their companies from shipping Russian petrol/diesel trading above $100.
This is expected to be a much more complex and disruptive cap for the world markets than the existing one for crude. It may shock fuel prices.

To limit the impact, there will be a 55 day transition period. The $100 cap is just a bit below the current diesel price of $117.
A senior Commission official says they couldn't go any lower than the $100 per barrel cap without risking major market disruption.

$100 is for refined oil products that trade at a premium to crude. There's a lower $45 cap for cheaper refined oil products like fuel oil & naphtha.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 1
David Frost is spouting so much nonsense in this interview, but I want to hone in on his claim that 🇬🇧wasn’t a “full democracy” while in 🇪🇺

A nationalist perspective, looking at only 1 layer of governance. 🇪🇺layer “constraining” 🇬🇧 was/is also a democracy.globalplayer.com/podcasts/episo…
So many in 🇬🇧, a unitary state, cannot understand the concept of federalism (or, in 🇪🇺 case, an international confederation).

UK citizens directly voted for 🇪🇺Parliament and the ministers who take decisions in 🇪🇺Council. They voted for both “constrainor” and “constrainee”.
Is an American not living in a “full democracy” because her state is “constrained” in some ways by the federal government?

It’s an absurd argument to make when she votes for both her state and federal government (and her state makes 60% of the laws affecting her).
Read 5 tweets

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