Russian forces are continuing to panic about maintaining their positions in the east (left) bank #Kherson Oblast ahead of an anticipated Ukrainian #counteroffensive.
2/ The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) published a video on May 15 claiming that Russian airborne (VDV) artillery units are shelling Ukrainian infantry units in forested areas on the eastern bank of the #Dnipro River in #Kherson Oblast.
3/ A #Kremlin-affiliated milblogger claimed that there are ”witch hunts” among Russian troops in #Kherson Oblast because many accuse each other of exposing Russian positions to Ukrainian forces by cooperating with Russian volunteers or reporting about the situation on the ground.
4/ #Ukraine reported that RU forces launched 4 KAB-500 bombs from 4 Su-35 fighter aircraft at Beryslav and Kizomys on the west (right) bank of the #Dnipro River. RU forces also shelled the west bank #Kherson Oblast 86 times and used incendiary munitions to target Kherson City.
5/ Russian and Ukrainian sources reported explosions in #Tokmak on May 16. #Zaporizhia Oblast occupation official Vladimir Rogov accused Ukrainian forces of shelling Tokmak, while Ukrainian #Melitopol Mayor Ivan Fedorov did not specify the reason for the explosion.
6/ Ukrainian state nuclear company Enerhoatom reported that Russian forces are intensifying security measures at the #Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) and are increasing military presence at the facility. isw.pub/UkrWar051623
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"Deepening Iranian economic influence in #Syria will help Iranian leaders revitalize their own economy, especially if Arab states begin to send investment and reconstruction funds to Syria."
2/ The Iran Update by ISW and CTP aims to inform national security policy by providing timely, relevant, and independent open-source analysis of developments pertaining to #Iran and its Axis of Resistance.
3/ This update covers political, military, and economic events and trends that affect the stability and decision-making of the Iranian regime.
#WagnerGroup financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin and #Wagner sources have long indicated Wagner’s intent to encircle #Bakhmut and trap Ukrainian forces but proved unable to do so after the Ukrainian military command decided to defend the city. 🧵 isw.pub/UkrWar051823
3/ #Prigozhin accused the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) of losing advantageous positions after MoD-subordinated units retreated from their positions on #Bakhmut’s flanks necessary for an encirclement.
The limited nature of #Wagner’s ongoing offensive operations in #Bakhmut compared to the localized Ukrainian counterattacks underscores the loss of Russian initiative in the area. 🧵 isw.pub/UkrWar051823
2/ ISW recently assessed that the Russian military command is reallocating military assets to the #Bakhmut area in order to augment #Wagner’s offensive capabilities and to gain a tactical victory ahead of a Ukrainian counteroffensive.
3/ UKR Eastern Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated on May 18 that UKR forces regained the battlefield initiative & are forcing RU forces to respond to UKR actions, including by transferring Russian Airborne elements to Bakhmut’s flanks in response to UKR advances.
NEW: Ukrainian forces seized the tactical initiative & made tactically significant gains around #Bakhmut in counter-attack operations on May 18. These operations are part of localized UKR counter-attacks & do not reflect the start of a major new operation. isw.pub/UkrWar051823
2/ Multiple Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces drove through the Russian defensive lines south and southwest of Ivanivske (6km west of #Bakhmut) and northwest of Klishchiivka (6km southwest of Bakhmut) from the northwest.
3/ The milbloggers also claimed that Russian forces retreated from positions north of Sakko i Vantsetti (15km north of #Bakhmut) to positions south of the settlement, but that Ukrainian forces have not yet entered the settlement.
2/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces conducted a failed ground attack west of #Bakhmut near Ivanivske (6km west of Bakhmut) but advanced northwest of Bakhmut near the Bakhmut-Khromove highway, Orikhovo-Vasylivka (11km northwest), and Mynkivka (13km northwest).
3/ Another milblogger claimed that Wagner forces completed the capture of a Ukrainian fortified area in western #Bakhmut and began pressuring Ukrainian forces in an adjacent contested area.
2/ Employees of the Institute of Theoretical and Applied Mathematics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Science published an open letter on May 15 in defense of three of their scientists— Anatoly Maslov, Alexander Shiplyuk, and Valery Zvegintsev —
3/ ...whom Russian authorities reportedly arrested in the past year under suspicion of committing “high treason.”
The letter also noted that these arrests deter the younger generation from pursuing careers in science.