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May 18 4 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Geolocated footage posted on May 17 shows that #Wagner Group forces made incremental advances in southwestern #Bakhmut. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar051723 Image
2/ A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces conducted a failed ground attack west of #Bakhmut near Ivanivske (6km west of Bakhmut) but advanced northwest of Bakhmut near the Bakhmut-Khromove highway, Orikhovo-Vasylivka (11km northwest), and Mynkivka (13km northwest).
3/ Another milblogger claimed that Wagner forces completed the capture of a Ukrainian fortified area in western #Bakhmut and began pressuring Ukrainian forces in an adjacent contested area.
4/ #WagnerGroup financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin claimed on May 16 that Wagner forces advanced 200 meters and that Ukrainian forces only control 1.46 square kilometers of territory in #Bakhmut. isw.pub/UkrWar051723

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More from @TheStudyofWar

May 19
"Deepening Iranian economic influence in #Syria will help Iranian leaders revitalize their own economy, especially if Arab states begin to send investment and reconstruction funds to Syria."

Latest #Iran Update from ISW & @criticalthreats: understandingwar.org/backgrounder/i…
2/ The Iran Update by ISW and CTP aims to inform national security policy by providing timely, relevant, and independent open-source analysis of developments pertaining to #Iran and its Axis of Resistance.
3/ This update covers political, military, and economic events and trends that affect the stability and decision-making of the Iranian regime.
Read 4 tweets
May 19
#WagnerGroup financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin and #Wagner sources have long indicated Wagner’s intent to encircle #Bakhmut and trap Ukrainian forces but proved unable to do so after the Ukrainian military command decided to defend the city. 🧵
isw.pub/UkrWar051823
2/ #WagnerGroup financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin admitted on May 18 that #Wagner mercenaries are unable to encircle the Ukrainian forces in #Bakhmut due to the loss of stable flanks north and south of the city. isw.pub/UkrWar051823
3/ #Prigozhin accused the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) of losing advantageous positions after MoD-subordinated units retreated from their positions on #Bakhmut’s flanks necessary for an encirclement.
Read 7 tweets
May 19
The limited nature of #Wagner’s ongoing offensive operations in #Bakhmut compared to the localized Ukrainian counterattacks underscores the loss of Russian initiative in the area. 🧵
isw.pub/UkrWar051823 Image
2/ ISW recently assessed that the Russian military command is reallocating military assets to the #Bakhmut area in order to augment #Wagner’s offensive capabilities and to gain a tactical victory ahead of a Ukrainian counteroffensive.
3/ UKR Eastern Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated on May 18 that UKR forces regained the battlefield initiative & are forcing RU forces to respond to UKR actions, including by transferring Russian Airborne elements to Bakhmut’s flanks in response to UKR advances.
Read 8 tweets
May 19
NEW: Ukrainian forces seized the tactical initiative & made tactically significant gains around #Bakhmut in counter-attack operations on May 18. These operations are part of localized UKR counter-attacks & do not reflect the start of a major new operation. isw.pub/UkrWar051823 ImageImageImageImage
2/ Multiple Russian milbloggers claimed that Ukrainian forces drove through the Russian defensive lines south and southwest of Ivanivske (6km west of #Bakhmut) and northwest of Klishchiivka (6km southwest of Bakhmut) from the northwest.
3/ The milbloggers also claimed that Russian forces retreated from positions north of Sakko i Vantsetti (15km north of #Bakhmut) to positions south of the settlement, but that Ukrainian forces have not yet entered the settlement.
Read 5 tweets
May 18
The #Kremlin reportedly accused three hypersonic missile scientists of treason. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar051723
2/ Employees of the Institute of Theoretical and Applied Mathematics of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Science published an open letter on May 15 in defense of three of their scientists— Anatoly Maslov, Alexander Shiplyuk, and Valery Zvegintsev —
3/ ...whom Russian authorities reportedly arrested in the past year under suspicion of committing “high treason.”

The letter also noted that these arrests deter the younger generation from pursuing careers in science.
Read 4 tweets
May 18
NEW: #Russian and #Ukrainian officials acknowledged continued limited Ukrainian counterattacks near #Bakhmut on May 17.

Our latest: isw.pub/UkrWar051723 ImageImageImageImage
2/ Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated that Ukrainian forces are advancing in unspecified areas on #Bakhmut’s flanks.
3/ Ukrainian Eastern Group of Forces Spokesperson Colonel Serhiy Cherevaty stated that Ukrainian forces advanced up to 500 meters in the #Bakhmut direction in the past day and continue to attack Russian flanks.
Read 6 tweets

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