How many People get impacted by #taxterrorism of Newly implemented #TCS (Tax Collected at Source)?
ONLY 4.3 MILLION FAMILIES
That’s JUST 1.2% of INDIAN FAMILIES …. basically the TOP end of
India’s Travelling Abroad in 2019 has Still NOT been exceeded, so let’s use that Number. Indian who Travelled OUTBOUND in 2019 was just 27mn.
Charts of Indians Travelling Overseas
Chart 1: Annual Trend
Chart 2: Percentage of Women & amen
Of the 27 Million Passengers who Travelled Overseas in a year
40% is For LEISURE
19% is For BUSINESS
35% is to meet FAMILY (Parents Travelling to Meet kids or Brothers/Sisters meeting siblings)
6% is for PILGRIMAGE & EDUCATION
Business Travellers will NOT be hurt as per Govt
IN SUMMARY
👉 27 Mn Indians Travel Overseas/yr
👉 Of this 18% who Travel For BIZ & 35% for FAMILY should NOT get Impacted by #TCS
THIS IS #BIG ! #Hawala 2.0 Will EXPLODE in India post JULY 1st. Just My opinion:
By IMPLEMENTING 20% Tax Collected On Source (#TCS) on Foreign Spend (Currency, FX cards, Credit Cards, Debit Cards, Transfers), it becomes Increasingly more Cost Effective to Transfer Via #Hawala
If you try and BUY #Foreign Currency in the Black, that spread that used to be 2-3%, will now become 10% possibly
Unused Balances of Loaded Forex Cards will Go at a Premium of 10-12%
This REMINDS me of what happened in GOLD SMUGGLING in India post June 2022 when @nsitharaman decided to Raise IMPORT duty on GOLD to 12.5% from previous levels of 7.5%
WILL #ITC Hive off the Non-Tobacco FMCG ?
During Q4 & FY23, Operating PAT Growth delivered by #ITCs non-tobacco #FMCG business has been No1 amongst Peers.
Revenue (+19% YoY) but EBITDA (+76% YoY) & margins a respectable 13.3%
Will Investors Attach Super High PE to Non-Tobac FMCH biz ?
I was looking at DABUR, its Consold Op Profit and PAT declined in FY23 vs FY22... its 3 yr CAGR is just 6% (that's way lower than inflation). Its Fwd PE and EV/EBITDA is 47 & 34 respectively (marketScreener.com)
Now lets look at ITC Non-Tobacco FMCG business. Q4 Segment EBITDA up 76% YoY against Q4 Segment Revenue up 19.4% YoY
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#Thread on how the #Foundation Stones & #Modus Operandi for dairy farmers of #Gujarat, who could eventually control not just Karnataka's Pride #Nandini but India's Entire #Dairy Industry
Crystal Ball Gazing into the future!!
CHRONOLOGY 1) Amul Enters a mkt 2) Jul-21: Union govt formed Min of Cooperation under #AmitShah 3) Dec-22: Amendments are made to the Multi-State Co-op Societies Act, allowing State Milk Coops to Merge 4) Dec-22: Amit Shah spoke of a possible #Amul#Nandini Merger
However (contd)
....While there is "No Merger on the cards", nothing stops the Elected Govt of Karnataka & Gujarat to merge #Amul & #Nandini since the Amendments to the Multi-State Co-op Societies Act are cast in stone (lets dig in)
This RANKING Is entirely OBJECTIVE and NOT Survey based. How do they calculate it - Stepwise
1) For each travel destination, if no visa is required for passport holders from a country or territory, then a score with value = 1 is created for that passport.