Some people have the impression that the UCP won an 11-seat majority. Numerically, it's true - the UCP got 49 seats, the NDP 38. So, 11 more seats. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#Yeg
But that's not a legislative majority. The house has 87 seats, Support from 44 MLAs is necessary to win a vote. The UCP has 49 seats; a legislative majority of five votes. Previous low for any government was 13 for the NDP in 2015. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#Yeg
And the five-seat majority is weaker than it looks. A speaker must be elected. The speaker is nominally impartial but can vote to break a tie. One MLA, Jennifer Johnson, will sit as an independent. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#Yeg
The thin majority means that both UCP and NDP will have to marshall every MLA for key votes. There's little room for death, illness, or personal misadventure. The government falls if it loses a money vote. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#Yeg
So this a big change in Alberta politics - unique over 31 provincial elections, in fact - even though various trolls would like the media to ignore it. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#Yeg
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The dangers of reporting too quickly late at night after a long campaign. Result - errors in what I reported and tweeted last night about vote count. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#yeg
First, the scanners at advance polls DO count votes. They are not connected to the internet. Each local returning officer communicates the riding-by-riding votes from each machine to Elections Alberta. #ableg#abpoli#cdnpoli#abvotes#yyc#yeg