Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jun 1 11 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. I've been listening to @MSNBC and the parade of hosts and guest losing it over the fact that the document that is being shown in the grand jury is an invasion scenario for #Iran. Notably the reporting is that it was classified as 'Secret.' It's critical to understand
2. where this information came from, how the persons disclosing it obtained the information and why it's more than likely that this is a "Goldilocks" document needed to indict #45 for crimes related to his handling of national defense information including ,but not
3. limited to, classified material. If the guests, hosts or the audience don't know what the term CIPA means, it's the procedural law related to handling classified government information in court proceedings. I concede I didn't know much about it until #45 and his parade of
4. foreign agents like Flynn and Manafort came into focus. The government does not like to put classified or other secrets in the record of court proceedings. They look for illegally handled documents that can be made public and not damage the US national security.
5. The idea that we have contingency plans for war with Iran is not a secret. We've likely had them since the Shah was deposed in 1979, if not before. They are not static. They change based on many factors. No old battle plan would ever be used because things change and the plan
6. can get out as this one did. From a international geopolitical perspective, the fact that we have war planning about Iran will only served to bolster the US standing. The plan is now burned and likely tossed shortly after #45 left office especially if they knew it was missing.
7. So what we are finding out is that the grand jury was read-in along with witnesses who had to know the context of the recording at Bedminster. The plan can be redacted in court and still give the defense the material that the court, in camera, decides is required to defend.
8. The existence of the Iran plan will not be disputed. What's in it may have little relevance other than to prove it was national defense information, classified secret and that the former POTUS took it and showed to people in his golf course. But the plan is not likely to ever
9. be disclosed but if it were disclosed, it would have very little ability to harm the actual existing plans related to Iran. But I don't think the plan details are relevant or that the juries, grand and/or petit, will ever see the contents of it.
10. With the FBI Crossfire Hurricane Presidential Directive issued by #45 on January 19, 2021, the Govt has more than enough to prove claims of mental declassification are known by #45 to be false. There may be a few more Goldilocks documents that they have and Image
11. I would imagine those would be only shown to the grand jury through the FBI witnesses so there will be no reporting like we see regarding Bedminster. I think they are very close to indicting him and likely will when the Congress breaks after the debt limit is put to bed.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Jun 3
1. Today Russian insurgents attacked from NE of #Kharkiv and engaged and destroyed Russian amor that was lured into an engagement with infantry supported by tanks of the #RussianVolunteerCorps. Image
2. The reports conflict but it appears the two tanks in support of mounted infantry entered Russia west of where the insurgent forces attacked on Thursday when the insurgents attacked Russian FSB forces at a border control point south of #Shebikino.
3. Thursday Russia moved in and insurgents withdrew back into Ukraine but successfully fixed the Russian mechanized forces for today's attack. With the Russian mechanized forces near of #Shebekino, rather than attack the border control point again, the insurgents Image
Read 10 tweets
Jun 2
1. I've thought for some time that #45's obsession with things to do with Iran, especially towards the end of his presidency, were the result of his credible belief that the IRGC would target both #45 and Pompeo for assassinating Qasem Soleimani on Jan 2, 2020. Image
2. When he ordered it, and then like a dope admitted it, I knew they would try to get him. I also think Pompeo made a deal that allowed Iran to conduct the Jan 8, 2020, missile strike that struck al Assad air base that seriously injured more than 150 US military service members. Image
3. But that didn't satisfy Iranian hardliners who still make threats of revenge. Here is today's new State Dept sanctions against Iranians for targeting former US Govt officials. #45 is terrified. I can imagine him trying to make a deal with Iran to get off the Fatwa by Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 1
1. Schumer offered Debt Ceiling bill motion to proceed and there was no objection. Several amendments are being reported and they are limited. Require 60 votes to pass. 7:30 pm the Senate will vote. Lee, Cain and Kennedy amendments are treated differently. 10 GOP amendments
2. and 1 Democratic. Each amendment will get 10 minute votes so the members have to stay on the floor. There will be a joint statement by Schumer and McConnell put in the record.
3. I missed what the special treatment was for the Lee, Kennedy and Cain amendments. Here is the link to the Senate floor video feed. senate.gov/legislative/fl…
Read 7 tweets
Jun 1
1. Ukraine continues preparing for the offensive by attacking Russian oil facilities in #Krasnodar and military facilities in southern occupied areas.
For several days #Ukraine has attacked #Russianoilfacilities inflicting serious damage on one of Russia's largest refineries. Image
2. Ten strikes were conducted in recent days with about half of them successful and Ukraine has hit and reportedly damaged five facilities in the #Krasnodar region.

Ukraine released results of an earlier reported #StormShadow strike on #Yukivka between #Berdyansk & #Mariupol. Image
3. The strike was on Russian forces housed in a resort facility killing 100 Russian military personnel and wounding 40. Past reporting claimed targets of earlier strikes were high-value like pilots, SOF and Marines. ImageImage
Read 12 tweets
May 31
1. Not the first time we have confirmed the presence of HIMARS in Syria for US force protection. With Turkey's Al-Qaeda and ISIS affiliated allies and the Iranians it should come as no surprise. Here are some of my earlier reports on HIMARS in Syria.
2. In 2016 after we deployed forces to the area around LaFarge and Ain Issa. Image
3. 2017 during the battle for Raqqa. Image
Read 4 tweets
May 30
1. Obvious lies cause even the great KGB liar to choke up. IMO other than for projection and deflection of Russian attacks on Ukrainian civilians, I'm at 90% certain it's a false flag is to justify the movement of Russian air defenses to Moscow. Why? Because it's undefended.
2. If you view the Russian democratic partisans' attacks on #Belhorod as reconnaissance-in-force, and then overlay the actual deployment of Russian forces based around Moscow, it would not be hard to imagine that Putin fears Moscow could be the target of an offensive.
3. First, the sheer size of the Russian force deployment to Ukraine is staggering. It has be the bulk of the entire Russian ground force. They've burned up most of their serviceable armor and the pilots needed for air support are being killed in deadly Storm Shadow strikes. Image
Read 7 tweets

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